Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $147.7371 (1.07%) ($145.8277 - $147.7742) on Mon. Dec. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $147.7371(1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(59%)    IWF(59%)    XLP(59%)    QQQ(58%)    SPY(58%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    GDXJ(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $150.43
5 Day Moving Average   $148.64(-0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $149.51(-1.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $150.43(-1.79%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $65.229b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_21_2015	139.88	150.43	149.51	148.64	148.65	147.23	147.74(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-84	-70	-82	-89	1.45	55%	0.1	-6.1	1.24%	0	-1.1	49	INF
2	Dec_18_2015	139.74	150.61	150.2	149.09	149.47	148.66	146.17(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-70	-30	-72	-63	4.3	55%	0.09	15.8	1.24%	0	-1.9	46	INF
3	Dec_17_2015	139.62	150.88	151.05	149.52	149.9	150.07	148.93(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	20	-1	-19	1.7	58%	0.11	36.6	1.22%	0	-0.9	46	INF
4	Dec_16_2015	139.47	150.92	151.35	149.74	149.49	150.28	150.86(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	30	30	1	2.2	60%	0.13	50	1.21%	0	-0	52	INF
5	Dec_15_2015	139.29	150.76	151.22	149.18	149.43	149.73	149.5(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	22	20	33	-12	2.38	60%	0.12	45	1.21%	0	-0.6	50	INF

6	Dec_14_2015	139.13	150.58	151.22	150.58	149.17	148.71	150.01(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-59	-50	-68	-33	2.43	60%	0.12	58.5	1.21%	0	-0.2	48	INF
7	Dec_11_2015	138.96	150.24	151.26	151.56	150.79	149.13	148.32(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-60	-90	-73	-21	2.51	60%	0.1	52.9	1.2%	0	-0.6	45	INF
8	Dec_10_2015	138.82	150.1	151.62	152.82	152.36	149.62	150.03(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-115	-130	-145	-24	3.65	60%	0.11	61.3	1.19%	0	-0	49	INF
9	Dec_9_2015	138.67	149.87	151.7	153.16	153.25	152.45	148.04(-5.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-103	-30	-134	-9	9.53	56%	0.11	61.1	1.18%	0	-0.5	49	INF
10	Dec_8_2015	138.52	149.75	151.98	153.41	154.01	155.1	156.52(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	119	60	118	120	3.16	69%	0.17	59.3	0.97%	0	1.9	78	INF

11	Dec_7_2015	138.29	149.09	151.43	152	152.54	154.06	154.9(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	108	80	108	108	2.79	68%	0.16	46	0.99%	0	1.7	80	INF
12	Dec_4_2015	138.07	148.61	151.01	150.95	151.36	152.91	154.61(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	122	80	122	123	2.58	65%	0.15	39.4	1%	0	1.8	83	INF
13	Dec_3_2015	137.86	148.08	150.6	150.35	150.7	151.02	151.7(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	82	20	71	114	3.44	63%	0.15	34.8	1%	0	1.2	70	INF
14	Dec_2_2015	137.66	147.76	150.38	150.11	150.47	149.8	149.31(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-20	-37	86	1.59	63%	0.12	32.7	0.98%	0	0.5	65	INF
15	Dec_1_2015	137.49	147.62	150.22	150.32	150.62	150.38	149.5(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-11	-10	-47	96	1.94	60%	0.12	36.8	1%	0	0.6	65	INF

16	Nov_30_2015	137.33	147.5	149.83	150.72	150.76	151.13	149.62(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	36	20	4	133	3.06	60%	0.14	44.9	1.01%	0	0.7	69	INF
17	Nov_27_2015	137.14	147.32	149.18	151.03	150.92	150.87	151.62(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	-0	25	143	0.87	64%	0.23	52.6	0.99%	0	1.5	65	INF
18	Nov_25_2015	136.83	147.03	148.49	150.89	150.97	150.38	150.52(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-30	-25	110	1.83	68%	0.15	56.7	1.1%	0	1.3	66	INF
19	Nov_24_2015	136.62	146.78	147.94	150.68	151	150.97	150.33(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	0	-4	116	2.8	61%	0.18	62.2	1.1%	0	1.4	63	INF
20	Nov_23_2015	136.37	146.54	147.4	150.07	150.42	151.56	151.5(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	77	60	64	116	1.17	61%	0.11	64	1.23%	0	2.1	60	INF

21	Nov_20_2015	136.22	146.19	146.58	148.77	149.24	151.04	151.18(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	125	90	131	106	2.05	55%	0.19	61.5	1.31%	0	2.3	58	INF
22	Nov_19_2015	135.96	145.81	145.98	147.02	147.24	149.29	150.93(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	112	100	125	71	2.96	55%	0.18	54.3	1.32%	0	2.8	60	INF
23	Nov_18_2015	135.71	145.55	145.29	145.76	145.39	147.44	149.46(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	96	90	115	40	2.15	55%	0.18	61.5	1.31%	0	2.6	57	INF
24	Nov_17_2015	135.46	145.24	144.82	144.85	144.53	145.19	147.27(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	68	30	87	11	2.5	54%	0.17	69.2	1.3%	0	1.5	53	INF
25	Nov_16_2015	135.23	145.02	144.72	144.39	144.05	143.34	145.01(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-25	-40	-21	-38	1.78	52%		62.2	1.29%	0	-0	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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