Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $147.1344 (0.65%) ($145.7476 - $147.2823) on Mon. Nov. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $147.1344(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(59%)    IWF(59%)    XLP(59%)    SPY(58%)    QQQ(57%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $146.27(0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $145.35(1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $142.84(3.01%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.9%
Market Cap   $64.963b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 2.27% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 1.3%(70%) Average negative next day return: -0.86%(30%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 2.85%(59%) Average negative next three day return: -0.92%(41%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 3.58%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.1%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2015	133.54	142.84	145.35	146.27	146.01	146.52	147.13(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	20	36	112	1.26	56%	0.14	92.1	1.25%	0	1.3	70	0
2	Oct_30_2015	133.35	142.33	144.82	145.82	145.65	145.96	146.18(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	61	10	45	108	2.05	56%	0.14	90	1.25%	0	1.1	62	0
3	Oct_29_2015	133.17	141.78	144.28	145.38	144.76	145.49	146.33(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	20	9	82	1.55	56%	0.14	81.2	1.25%	0	1.2	61	0
4	Oct_28_2015	132.99	141.16	143.69	145.36	144.64	145.33	145.85(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	71	20	60	105	1.78	56%	0.14	78.7	1.25%	0	1.2	66	0
5	Oct_27_2015	132.8	140.56	142.98	144.89	144.54	144.03	145.85(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-30	22	88	1.68	56%	0.14	72.2	1.25%	0	1.3	72	0

6	Oct_26_2015	132.61	139.92	142.46	144.29	144.04	143.95	144.9(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-10	-10	-35	67	2.5	56%	0.13	68.9	1.25%	0	1.2	69	0
7	Oct_23_2015	132.44	139.32	142.14	143.65	143.98	145.05	143.98(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	80	60	69	114	2.27	56%	0.11	66.4	1.25%	0	1.2	69	0
8	Oct_22_2015	132.3	138.84	141.95	142.96	142.96	144.14	146.21(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	101	60	89	135	2.19	59%	0.12	66.9	1.24%	0	1.9	79	0
9	Oct_21_2015	132.14	138.21	141.32	141.79	141.9	142.9	143.49(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	93	50	80	133	1.81	57%	0.1	66.3	1.22%	0	1.5	78	0
10	Oct_20_2015	132.01	137.74	140.67	140.79	141	141.78	142.89(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	73	40	58	117	1.88	57%	0.09	61.3	1.22%	0	1.4	77	0

11	Oct_19_2015	131.89	137.19	140.1	140.37	140.29	140.9	141.65(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	47	30	25	112	1.54	57%	0.08	60.4	1.22%	0	1.3	77	0
12	Oct_16_2015	131.79	136.72	139.64	140.45	140.36	140.22	140.58(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	37	-10	8	124	1.65	57%	0.06	64.2	1.22%	0	1.1	76	0
13	Oct_15_2015	131.71	136.26	139.1	140.8	140.74	139.69	140.31(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-50	-40	116	1.7	57%	0.05	69.4	1.22%	0	1.2	67	0
14	Oct_14_2015	131.65	135.86	138.47	140.78	141.01	140.5	138.53(-1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-20	-41	119	3.04	55%	0.05	76.3	1.21%	0	0.8	65	0
15	Oct_13_2015	131.59	135.57	138.03	140.43	140.7	141.79	140.78(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	60	47	150	1.49	58%	0.08	78.2	1.19%	0	1.5	70	0

16	Oct_12_2015	131.49	135.1	137.25	139.72	139.63	141.52	142.03(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	138	90	126	173	1.2	58%	0.08	76.7	1.19%	0	2.1	80	0
17	Oct_9_2015	131.39	134.51	136.3	138.69	138.33	139.6	142.35(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	130	60	123	151	3.72	61%	0.07	79.7	1.22%	0	2.6	78	0
18	Oct_8_2015	131.3	133.89	135.46	137.19	137.12	137.75	140.21(2.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	85	30	75	116	2.37	59%	0.06	78.4	1.21%	0	2.5	78	0
19	Oct_7_2015	131.22	133.33	134.79	135.88	135.89	137.06	136.79(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	60	57	90	2.34	60%	0.03	73.1	1.17%	0	1.6	65	0
20	Oct_6_2015	131.18	132.95	134.53	135.25	134.93	136.5	137.21(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	105	70	106	100	2.13	60%	0.02	72.3	1.24%	0	2	65	0

21	Oct_5_2015	131.15	132.61	133.99	134.38	133.96	134.72	136.89(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	84	30	86	76	2.27	60%	0.03	70.8	1.24%	0	2.2	67	0
22	Oct_2_2015	131.11	132.17	133.52	133.55	133.07	133.36	134.85(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	0	5	34	2.59	58%	0.02	57.4	1.24%	0	1.4	67	0
23	Oct_1_2015	131.08	131.91	133.16	133.49	133.12	133.21	133.65(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-0	7	37	2.66	59%	0.02	59.9	1.24%	0	1	64	0
24	Sep_30_2015	131.06	131.72	133.04	133.55	133.51	132.79	133.66(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-40	-15	40	2.55	59%	0.01	66.4	1.24%	0	1.1	67	0
25	Sep_29_2015	131.05	131.44	132.95	133.71	133.64	133.03	132.87(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-28	-30	-51	43	2.51	57%		78.1	1.24%	0	0.7	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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