Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 7, 2015

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $136.7892 (-0.3%) ($136.2992 - $138.0465) on Wed. Oct. 7, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $136.7892(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(59%)    XLP(59%)    SPY(58%)    QQQ(57%)    VUG(56%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $135.88(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $134.79(1.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $133.33(2.59%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $60.396b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 49 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(55%) Average negative next day return: -0.77%(45%) Sample size 49 Average positive next three day return: 1.11%(65%) Average negative next three day return: -1.48%(35%) Sample size 49 Average positive next weekly return: 1.6%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.86%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_7_2015	131.22	133.33	134.79	135.88	135.89	137.06	136.79(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	60	57	90	2.34	60%	0.03	73.1	1.17%	0	1.6	65	0
2	Oct_6_2015	131.18	132.95	134.53	135.25	134.93	136.5	137.21(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	105	70	106	100	2.13	60%	0.02	72.3	1.24%	0	2	65	0
3	Oct_5_2015	131.15	132.61	133.99	134.38	133.96	134.72	136.89(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	84	30	86	76	2.27	60%	0.03	70.8	1.24%	0	2.2	67	0
4	Oct_2_2015	131.11	132.17	133.52	133.55	133.07	133.36	134.85(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	0	5	34	2.59	58%	0.02	57.4	1.24%	0	1.4	67	0
5	Oct_1_2015	131.08	131.91	133.16	133.49	133.12	133.21	133.65(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-0	7	37	2.66	59%	0.02	59.9	1.24%	0	1	64	0

6	Sep_30_2015	131.06	131.72	133.04	133.55	133.51	132.79	133.66(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-40	-15	40	2.55	59%	0.01	66.4	1.24%	0	1.1	67	0
7	Sep_29_2015	131.05	131.44	132.95	133.71	133.64	133.03	132.87(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-28	-30	-51	43	2.51	57%	0	78.1	1.24%	0	0.7	67	0
8	Sep_28_2015	131.05	131.27	132.84	133.51	133.87	134.22	132.71(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	30	13	68	2.55	57%	-0.02	91.2	1.26%	0	0.7	57	0
9	Sep_25_2015	131.07	131.11	132.65	133.44	133.31	134.25	134.56(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	64	50	54	93	1.85	59%	0.01	93.2	1.25%	0	1.8	72	0
10	Sep_24_2015	131.06	130.85	132.23	132.75	132.62	133.53	133.93(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	50	61	85	1.97	57%	0.01	83.7	1.25%	0	1.7	62	0

11	Sep_23_2015	131.05	130.53	131.78	132.47	132.14	132.37	134.45(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	0	33	67	2.31	57%	0.01	63.9	1.26%	0	2.3	64	0
12	Sep_22_2015	131.04	129.96	131.24	132.14	132.04	131.7	131.88(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-20	-12	49	1.79	55%	-0.02	22.5	1.24%	0	0.9	64	0
13	Sep_21_2015	131.07	129.54	131.13	132.09	132.22	131.91	132.4(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10	-8	55	1	55%	-0.01	-2.5	1.24%	0	1.1	58	0
14	Sep_18_2015	131.08	129.33	130.7	131.71	131.96	132.37	131.1(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	30	3	49	2.83	56%	-0.01	-18.4	1.23%	0	0.7	56	0
15	Sep_17_2015	131.09	129.39	130.58	131.57	131.61	132.54	132.53(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	70	50	68	74	1.54	56%	-0.01	-21.8	1.23%	0	1.2	59	0

16	Sep_16_2015	131.1	129.43	130.29	130.96	130.8	131.55	132.77(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	40	62	67	1.37	56%	-0.02	-29.2	1.23%	0	1.2	66	0
17	Sep_15_2015	131.12	129.48	129.8	130.23	130.08	130.69	131.68(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	30	33	59	1.35	55%	-0.02	-35	1.23%	0	0.8	74	0
18	Sep_14_2015	131.15	129.6	129.56	130.04	129.9	130.05	130.49(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	0	32	78	1.12	55%	-0.05	-34.3	1.23%	0	0.3	72	0
19	Sep_11_2015	131.21	129.8	129.43	129.55	129.82	129.47	130.4(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	14	-10	-1	58	1.45	55%	-0.04	-35.2	1.24%	0	0.2	54	0
20	Sep_10_2015	131.26	129.97	129.34	129.44	129.45	129.75	129.44(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-8	20	-23	38	1.35	56%	-0.05	-35.7	1.23%	0	-0.2	43	0

21	Sep_9_2015	131.32	130.24	129.19	129.52	129.69	130.16	129.13(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	30	50	47	1.39	56%	-0.05	-34.1	1.24%	0	-0.3	41	0
22	Sep_8_2015	131.39	130.5	128.61	129.27	129.44	129.14	130.75(2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	-10	13	-13	1.64	58%	-0.04	-34.1	1.23%	0	0.1	42	0
23	Sep_4_2015	131.44	130.68	127.85	129.01	128.91	129.21	128.02(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	10	-31	-79	2.12	51%	-0.05	-34.9	1.2%	0	-0.7	36	0
24	Sep_3_2015	131.51	130.97	127.89	129.28	129.09	129.75	129.87(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	25	30	55	-64	1.62	54%	-0.06	-33	1.2%	0	-0.3	38	0
25	Sep_2_2015	131.59	131.22	128.11	129.23	128.82	128.6	129.82(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-20	13	-88	1.81	54%		-31.8	1.2%	0	-0.4	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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