Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $128.4964 (-3.28%) ($128.4964 - $132.5088) on Fri. Aug. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $128.4964(-3.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(60%)    SPY(59%)    QQQ(58%)    XLK(55%)    XLY(53%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GDXJ(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

Resistance Level   $133.97
5 Day Moving Average   $133.05(-3.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $133.86(-4.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $133.97(-4.09%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $56.734b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.06% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150921

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_21_2015	132.41	133.97	133.86	133.05	133.08	131.71	128.5(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.2	-144	-70	-158	-100	3.61	53%	-0.08	-19.8	0.94%	0	-3.9	34	INF
2	Aug_20_2015	132.52	134.26	134.47	134.37	134.18	133.63	132.86(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-57	-30	-66	-29	1.79	61%	-0.04	13	0.85%	0	-1.9	47	INF
3	Aug_19_2015	132.57	134.34	134.7	134.65	134.53	134.46	134.21(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-21	-10	-28	-0	1.44	64%	-0.05	34.7	0.84%	0	-0.2	52	INF
4	Aug_18_2015	132.63	134.37	134.82	134.9	134.74	134.73	134.64(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	17	-0	12	30	1.1	64%	-0.04	58.8	0.84%	0	0.4	54	INF
5	Aug_17_2015	132.68	134.32	134.72	134.87	134.63	134.6	135.06(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	2	-10	-5	24	0.91	64%	-0.02	64.7	0.84%	0	1.1	60	INF

6	Aug_14_2015	132.71	134.26	134.63	134.83	134.54	134.75	135.06(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	0	6	32	1.21	66%	-0.02	70.6	0.86%	0	1.2	62	INF
7	Aug_13_2015	132.74	134.17	134.53	134.6	134.61	134.67	134.3(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	0	24	35	1.11	66%	-0.04	73.1	0.86%	0	0.2	54	INF
8	Aug_12_2015	132.79	134.12	134.5	134.6	134.42	134.33	135.43(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-11	-10	-21	20	1.96	66%	-0.05	96.6	0.86%	0	1.7	56	INF
9	Aug_11_2015	132.85	133.97	134.35	134.74	134.65	134.55	134.51(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10	0	25	1.26	63%	-0.05	119.3	0.86%	0	0.7	46	INF
10	Aug_10_2015	132.91	133.88	134.24	134.55	134.82	134.5	134.84(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	3	-10	-2	17	1.07	63%	-0.04	131	0.87%	0	1.2	56	INF

11	Aug_7_2015	132.96	133.78	134.06	134.41	134.82	134.75	133.92(-0.81%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-16	10	-22	2	1.23	65%	-0.05	151.5	0.87%	0	0.2	52	INF
12	Aug_6_2015	133.02	133.67	134.04	134.42	134.53	135.13	135.01(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	30	60	37	1.95	65%	-0.03	116.3	0.87%	0	1	60	INF
13	Aug_5_2015	133.06	133.37	133.95	134.21	134.27	134.3	135.43(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	0	37	27	1.69	62%	-0.02	104.9	0.86%	0	1.3	64	INF
14	Aug_4_2015	133.08	133.06	133.87	133.93	133.98	133.92	133.54(-0.47%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-14	-0	-21	9	1.32	60%	-0.04	107.8	0.85%	0	0.3	60	INF
15	Aug_3_2015	133.13	132.87	133.89	133.88	134.08	134.23	134.16(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	10	27	31	1.33	60%	-0.02	88.6	0.85%	0	0.6	62	INF

16	Jul_31_2015	133.16	132.46	133.84	133.64	133.77	134.03	133.96(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	20	18	25	1.39	63%	-0.02	81.5	0.86%	0	0.6	60	INF
17	Jul_30_2015	133.19	132.07	133.79	133.59	133.46	133.92	133.96(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	20	21	33	1.39	63%	-0.02	69.4	0.88%	0	0.7	67	INF
18	Jul_29_2015	133.21	131.69	133.7	133.64	133.53	133.5	134.04(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	27	-0	18	54	1.84	60%	-0.02	61.9	0.89%	0	0.8	79	INF
19	Jul_28_2015	133.23	131.23	133.55	133.83	133.71	133.01	133.27(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-21	-40	-45	51	1.38	60%	-0.04	52.2	0.9%	0	0.6	74	INF
20	Jul_27_2015	133.28	130.84	133.55	133.9	134.08	133.57	132.99(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-24	-20	-54	66	1.43	60%	-0.04	44.9	0.9%	0	0.6	69	INF

21	Jul_24_2015	133.33	130.56	133.5	134.04	134.23	134.42	133.68(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	10	-4	127	1.27	60%	-0.04	43.7	0.9%	0	0.9	82	INF
22	Jul_23_2015	133.38	130.21	133.31	133.99	134.07	134.6	134.24(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	82	30	50	176	1.36	60%	-0.01	40	0.91%	0	1.1	82	INF
23	Jul_22_2015	133.4	129.87	132.77	133.75	133.61	134.04	134.96(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	83	20	48	187	1.61	60%	0	39.2	0.9%	0	1.5	84	INF
24	Jul_21_2015	133.4	129.53	132.18	133.25	133.23	133.55	133.63(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	20	33	192	1.59	58%	-0.02	39.8	0.9%	0	1.3	85	INF
25	Jul_20_2015	133.43	129.29	131.78	133.06	132.92	133.19	133.72(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	72	10	26	210	1.24	60%		44.7	0.9%	0	1.5	81	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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