Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 30, 2015

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $131.8873 (-0.98%) ($131.4171 - $133.5929) on Thu. Apr. 30, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $131.8873(-0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(60%)    SPY(59%)    QQQ(58%)    XLK(55%)    XLY(54%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $136.12
5 Day Moving Average   $134.24(-1.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $134.45(-1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $136.12(-3.11%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $58.231b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.22%(30%) Average negative next day return: -0.24%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.55%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -0.99%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.53%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.27%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150530

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_30_2015	132.77	136.12	134.45	134.24	134.2	133.09	131.89(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-88	-60	-88	-87	2.52	62%	0.06	-50.3	1.11%	0	-1.9	30	INF
2	Apr_29_2015	132.69	136.45	134.81	134.95	135.05	134.33	133.19(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-61	-40	-59	-65	1.72	62%	0.05	-48	1.12%	0	-1.6	37	INF
3	Apr_28_2015	132.63	136.76	135.19	135.34	135.4	135.32	134.8(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-0	-26	-54	1.3	62%	0.07	-48.6	1.11%	0	-1	32	INF
4	Apr_27_2015	132.54	137.02	135.44	135.47	135.54	135.77	135.12(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	2	10	17	-42	1.72	59%	0.07	-46.7	1.12%	0	-0.9	34	INF
5	Apr_24_2015	132.45	137.18	135.62	135.35	135.44	135.49	136.19(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	0	24	-54	1.42	59%	0.07	-54.4	1.12%	0	-0.5	34	INF

6	Apr_23_2015	132.36	137.27	135.73	134.7	135.17	135.3	135.44(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	20	7	-82	1.35	59%	0.07	-66.4	1.13%	0	-0.9	36	INF
7	Apr_22_2015	132.27	137.45	135.86	134.66	134.76	135.4	135.14(-0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	40	7	-89	1.42	61%	0.07	-67.6	1.13%	0	-1.2	41	INF
8	Apr_21_2015	132.18	137.73	136.3	135.05	134.91	135.04	135.47(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	0	21	-75	1.62	61%	0.07	-56.5	1.14%	0	-1.1	38	INF
9	Apr_20_2015	132.09	137.99	136.69	135.45	135.45	134.12	134.52(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-63	-70	-51	-98	2.88	61%	0.07	-45.3	1.14%	0	-1.7	33	INF
10	Apr_17_2015	132	138.28	137.25	135.95	136.04	134.77	132.93(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-123	-60	-126	-114	4.37	60%	0.01	-33.8	1.13%	0	-2.8	35	INF

11	Apr_16_2015	131.99	138.62	137.93	136.88	137	136.77	135.26(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-10	-38	-55	2.68	64%	0.09	-22.9	1.12%	0	-2.3	43	INF
12	Apr_15_2015	131.87	138.82	138.25	137.19	137.35	137.31	137.06(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	0	-4	-39	1.41	67%	0.11	-7.9	1.1%	0	-1.4	44	INF
13	Apr_14_2015	131.73	138.88	138.48	137.73	137.37	137.24	137.48(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-10	-31	-43	1.54	64%	0.11	10.7	1.1%	0	-1.2	38	INF
14	Apr_13_2015	131.59	138.91	138.74	138.15	138.04	137.39	137.02(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-40	-31	-37	1.12	61%	0.11	19.3	1.11%	0	-1.6	38	INF
15	Apr_10_2015	131.45	138.94	138.9	138.79	138.69	137.5	137.58(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-67	-60	-73	-47	1.57	61%	0.11	34.6	1.12%	0	-1.2	41	INF

16	Apr_9_2015	131.3	138.95	138.96	139.15	139.24	138.69	136.82(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-59	-30	-65	-40	3.4	58%	0.1	37.8	1.12%	0	-1.9	44	INF
17	Apr_8_2015	131.17	138.92	139.2	139.42	139.57	139.88	139.76(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	20	12	-4	1.48	63%	0.13	39.8	1.11%	0	0.7	55	INF
18	Apr_7_2015	131	138.75	139.28	139.32	139.32	139.79	139.55(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	20	24	9	1.39	65%	0.13	38	1.11%	0	0.6	58	INF
19	Apr_6_2015	130.83	138.69	139.37	139.43	139.24	139.27	140.22(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-0	24	21	1.77	66%	0.2	49	1.13%	0	1.1	60	INF
20	Apr_2_2015	130.57	138.55	139.36	139.06	139.2	138.85	139.42(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-4	-10	-8	10	1.1	64%	0.15	52.6	1.14%	0	0.7	61	INF

21	Apr_1_2015	130.38	138.53	139.33	138.77	139.06	139.21	138.14(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	10	-11	9	1.8	64%	0.14	54.7	1.13%	0	-0.3	56	INF
22	Mar_31_2015	130.2	138.4	139.41	138.93	138.81	139.56	139.29(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	40	22	37	1.89	62%	0.14	53	1.14%	0	0.6	69	INF
23	Mar_30_2015	130.02	138.22	139.3	139.23	138.93	138.9	140.09(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10	26	52	1.46	62%	0.15	54.6	1.15%	0	1.1	68	INF
24	Mar_27_2015	129.83	138.02	139.08	139.33	139.3	138.06	138.35(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-40	-60	-60	19	1.33	60%	0.13	54.9	1.13%	0	0.2	49	INF
25	Mar_26_2015	129.66	137.87	139	139.72	139.9	138.95	137.97(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-63	-40	-89	16	1.55	60%		56.9	1.14%	0	0.1	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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