Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ COST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $136.7527 (-1.21%) ($135.3126 - $138.5963) on Thu. Feb. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $136.7527(-1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(60%)    SPY(59%)    QQQ(58%)    XLK(55%)    XLY(54%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $133.65(2.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $129.8(5.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $127.55(7.21%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $60.379b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 3.51% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 1.21%(38%) Average negative next day return: -0.93%(63%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 2.16%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.81%(67%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 2.3%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.02%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150305

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2015	121.34	127.55	129.8	133.65	133.68	136.94	136.75(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	211	170	186	285	6.99	61%	0.21	48.1	1.15%	0	2.1	78	0
2	Feb_4_2015	121.08	127.06	128.62	131.28	131.14	134.92	138.43(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	314	200	320	295	11.01	65%	0.22	38.7	1.14%	0	2.9	83	0
3	Feb_3_2015	120.81	126.37	127.06	128.38	128	130.42	136.5(5.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	208	120	217	182	10.3	64%	0.22	22.3	1.14%	0	3.4	74	0
4	Feb_2_2015	120.55	125.72	125.7	126.12	126.03	127.36	129.62(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	111	70	119	88	4.8	57%	0.16	-5.6	0.94%	0	2.2	57	0
5	Jan_30_2015	120.36	125.5	125.11	125.57	125.53	125.59	126.95(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	0	56	34	5.17	54%	0.13	-21.4	0.91%	0	0.9	47	0

6	Jan_29_2015	120.2	125.43	124.77	125.4	125.42	124.7	124.87(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-40	-58	-43	1.87	51%	0.12	-31	0.89%	0	-0.4	32	0
7	Jan_28_2015	120.06	125.55	124.66	125.51	125.78	125.48	123.96(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-10	-30	-51	2.02	51%	0.1	-28.6	0.89%	0	-1	34	0
8	Jan_27_2015	119.94	125.72	124.8	125.43	125.62	126.14	125.18(-1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	15	30	31	-34	1.79	53%	0.12	-26.2	0.88%	0	-0.3	48	0
9	Jan_26_2015	119.8	125.82	124.91	125.14	124.99	126.07	126.88(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	61	60	85	-13	1.48	56%	0.13	-26.4	0.86%	0	0.7	59	0
10	Jan_23_2015	119.65	125.84	124.9	124.57	124.47	125.1	126.12(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	68	30	97	-18	1.7	56%	0.13	-25.4	0.86%	0	0.2	51	0

11	Jan_22_2015	119.5	125.92	125.15	124.09	123.92	123.91	125.42(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-0	16	-51	1.9	56%	0.16	-17.3	0.86%	0	-0.3	49	0
12	Jan_21_2015	119.31	126.01	125.39	123.74	123.79	123.83	123.53(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	0	-16	-73	1.68	56%	0.13	-10.9	0.84%	0	-1.4	37	0
13	Jan_20_2015	119.15	126.14	125.65	124.09	123.88	123.93	123.75(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-0	-15	-68	1.84	61%	0.14	3.7	0.86%	0	-1.4	39	0
14	Jan_16_2015	118.98	126.25	125.75	124.64	124.34	123.74	124.05(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-40	-44	-74	1.78	60%	0.15	14.6	0.93%	0	-1.4	39	0
15	Jan_15_2015	118.8	126.26	125.94	125.28	125.2	123.83	123.68(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-104	-80	-109	-90	1.82	57%	0.14	25.9	0.95%	0	-1.8	37	0

16	Jan_14_2015	118.63	126.21	126.18	126.39	126.2	124.95	123.68(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-126	-70	-140	-82	2.21	57%	0.14	31.9	0.97%	0	-1.7	36	0
17	Jan_13_2015	118.46	126.19	126.57	127.28	127.55	126.57	125.26(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-50	-50	-58	-24	2.2	57%	0.15	33.1	0.96%	0	-0.6	44	0
18	Jan_12_2015	118.28	126.08	126.78	127.42	127.87	127.45	126.53(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10	-37	-6	1.34	59%	0.17	20.4	0.97%	0	0.2	54	0
19	Jan_9_2015	118.08	126.03	126.86	126.97	127.47	128.54	127.24(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	70	40	20	1.73	59%	0.17	9.3	0.97%	0	0.6	57	0
20	Jan_8_2015	117.88	125.89	126.88	126.67	126.78	128.28	129.23(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	121	90	138	68	2.94	65%	0.2	0.6	0.94%	0	1.7	72	0

21	Jan_7_2015	117.65	125.75	126.71	125.99	125.96	126.4	128.13(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	59	20	63	46	2.17	65%	0.19	-9.4	0.99%	0	1.3	74	0
22	Jan_6_2015	117.43	125.64	126.59	125.84	125.82	125.28	125.94(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-17	-30	-31	25	3.19	63%	0.17	-11.2	0.98%	0	0.2	65	0
23	Jan_5_2015	117.23	125.7	126.6	126.11	126.28	125.53	124.3(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-43	-40	-68	33	1.75	61%	0.17	-4.9	0.98%	0	-0.8	62	0
24	Jan_2_2015	117.03	125.83	126.78	126.72	126.81	126.35	125.73(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-24	-20	-52	60	1.47	66%	0.28	11.7	0.97%	0	-0.1	51	0
25	Dec_31_2014	116.7	125.88	126.62	127.08	127.18	127.03	125.85(-1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-10	-29	77	1.49	66%		25.9	0.97%	0	-0	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.