Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $126.3655 (-0.64%) ($126.0281 - $127.0048) on Mon. Dec. 8, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $126.3655(-0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(60%)    SPY(59%)    QQQ(58%)    XLK(55%)    XLY(54%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $126.84(-0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $125.87(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $124.48(1.51%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $55.793b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.41%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.28%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.62%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.36%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.42%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2014	113.18	124.48	125.87	126.84	126.8	126.75	126.37(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-0	-10	85	1.95	75%	0.19	82.6	0.86%	0	1	70	0
2	Dec_5_2014	112.96	124.26	125.64	126.78	126.81	126.93	127.18(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	10	12	100	1.2	76%	0.21	92	0.86%	0	1.6	76	0
3	Dec_4_2014	112.72	123.97	125.29	126.58	126.71	126.85	126.98(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	10	30	104	1.32	79%	0.2	101.4	0.87%	0	1.7	73	0
4	Dec_3_2014	112.49	123.66	125.01	126	126.41	126.69	126.69(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	30	39	99	1.8	79%	0.2	105.6	0.94%	0	1.7	78	0
5	Dec_2_2014	112.27	123.37	124.69	125.32	125.76	126.57	127.01(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	66	60	55	99	1.77	79%	0.21	112.9	0.94%	0	2.1	80	0

6	Dec_1_2014	112.03	122.96	124.27	124.74	125.06	126.14	126.05(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	94	70	91	102	1.95	79%	0.19	109.9	0.94%	0	1.8	73	0
7	Nov_28_2014	111.82	122.57	123.95	124.34	124.42	124.95	126.18(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	76	30	71	89	1.44	79%	0.26	103.9	0.94%	0	1.9	73	0
8	Nov_26_2014	111.53	122.16	123.63	123.83	124.08	123.99	124.07(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	0	8	60	1.63	78%	0.19	88.8	0.92%	0	0.9	69	0
9	Nov_25_2014	111.32	121.81	123.39	123.88	123.98	123.89	123.29(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-0	-17	56	1.87	78%	0.18	83	0.92%	0	0.6	69	0
10	Nov_24_2014	111.12	121.47	123.22	123.94	124	124.17	124.12(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	10	16	75	1.65	78%	0.13	78.5	0.91%	0	1	76	0

11	Nov_21_2014	110.98	121.07	123	123.7	123.82	124.07	124.05(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	49	20	35	92	1.85	78%	0.19	76	0.91%	0	1.1	83	0
12	Nov_20_2014	110.77	120.65	122.79	123.48	123.31	123.82	123.63(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	20	21	101	1.52	78%	0.2	81.3	0.91%	0	1	84	0
13	Nov_19_2014	110.55	120.26	122.57	123.39	123.14	123.56	124.31(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	81	20	63	135	1.36	79%	0.2	89.8	0.91%	0	1.4	90	0
14	Nov_18_2014	110.33	119.82	122.22	122.84	122.82	122.79	123.6(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	-0	27	126	1.57	79%	0.21	95.1	0.91%	0	1.3	91	0
15	Nov_17_2014	110.1	119.41	121.95	122.39	122.37	122.72	122.94(-0.01%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	35	20	3	130	1.23	79%	0.19	94.5	0.91%	0	1.2	91	0

16	Nov_14_2014	109.89	118.96	121.56	122.19	122.19	122.84	122.95(-0.17%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	85	40	59	163	1.6	79%	0.19	85	0.92%	0	1.2	92	0
17	Nov_13_2014	109.68	118.35	121.09	121.99	121.83	122.03	123.15(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	73	10	41	167	2.24	79%	0.18	71.3	0.92%	0	1.3	94	0
18	Nov_12_2014	109.48	117.66	120.56	121.64	121.57	121.54	121.54(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	37	-0	-3	155	1.91	78%	0.18	61.3	0.91%	0	1	91	0
19	Nov_11_2014	109.28	117.1	120.11	121.5	121.58	121.63	121.36(-0.46%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0	46	0	6	165	1.5	78%	0.17	56	0.91%	0	1.1	91	0
20	Nov_10_2014	109.09	116.62	119.6	121.41	121.49	121.61	121.93(-0.01%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	67	10	29	179	1.96	78%	0.19	57.5	0.91%	0	1.4	97	0

21	Nov_7_2014	108.88	116.13	119.01	120.81	121.08	121.53	121.95(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	81	30	47	182	1.59	75%	0.17	57.2	0.91%	0	1.6	98	0
22	Nov_6_2014	108.69	115.72	118.36	120.04	120.33	121.38	121.4(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	107	70	77	195	1.69	76%	0.18	57.7	0.94%	0	1.6	99	0
23	Nov_5_2014	108.5	115.31	117.77	119.32	119.57	120.62	120.88(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	144	70	117	226	2.12	76%	0.18	59.9	0.95%	0	1.7	99	0
24	Nov_4_2014	108.31	114.94	117.23	118.51	118.54	119.28	120.92(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	118	40	84	220	2.8	76%	0.18	61.4	0.95%	0	2	89	0
25	Nov_3_2014	108.12	114.42	116.64	117.53	117.67	118.53	118.9(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	107	50	72	211	1.95	74%		58.6	0.93%	0	1.6	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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