Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $115.6420 (0.04%) ($115.4295 - $116.4302) on Thu. Oct. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $115.6420(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(60%)    SPY(59%)    QQQ(58%)    XLK(55%)    XLY(54%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $114.14(1.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $112.88(2.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $112.36(2.92%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $51.059b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 0.5%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.58%(33%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 1.22%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.07%(60%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 2.34%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.86%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_23_2014	107.14	112.36	112.88	114.14	114.64	115.83	115.64(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	99	90	102	91	1.76	76%	0.13	34.7	0.95%	0	1.7	58	0
2	Oct_22_2014	107	112.13	112.64	112.79	113.19	115.24	115.6(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	151	140	171	89	1.88	76%	0.12	14.2	0.95%	0	2	61	0
3	Oct_21_2014	106.87	111.97	112.43	111.68	111.45	113.44	115.37(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	144	120	168	71	2.11	76%	0.13	0	0.95%	0	2.2	63	0
4	Oct_20_2014	106.73	111.74	111.97	110.97	110.36	111.15	113.72(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	75	30	94	19	3.51	75%	0.1	-17.2	0.94%	0	1.5	58	0
5	Oct_17_2014	106.62	111.62	111.75	110.71	110.37	109.46	110.38(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-48	-70	-49	-44	3.2	70%	0.09	-23.3	0.88%	0	-1	49	0

6	Oct_16_2014	106.52	111.71	111.98	111.47	111.15	109.58	108.88(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-139	-110	-166	-58	3.54	68%	0.08	-3.5	0.87%	0	-2.2	44	0
7	Oct_15_2014	106.44	111.88	112.27	112.43	112.55	111.29	110.07(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-102	-80	-133	-10	3.78	71%	0.09	22.7	0.86%	0	-1.7	47	0
8	Oct_14_2014	106.34	111.88	112.36	113.22	113.5	112.72	111.8(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-47	-40	-72	30	4	76%	0.05	45.6	0.84%	0	-0.2	45	0
9	Oct_13_2014	106.29	111.97	112.3	113.04	113.83	113.8	112.44(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	20	-6	50	2.45	76%	0.1	41.8	0.84%	0	0.5	55	0
10	Oct_10_2014	106.18	111.92	112.16	112.91	113.27	114.28	114.15(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	56	70	52	69	3.35	82%	0.12	34.8	0.81%	0	2.2	60	0

11	Oct_9_2014	106.05	111.75	111.85	112.59	112.75	113.86	113.71(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	115	70	126	82	2.96	82%	0.12	23.8	0.81%	0	2.2	56	0
12	Oct_8_2014	105.92	111.63	111.59	112.12	112.27	112.27	113.99(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	68	0	77	42	4.27	83%	0.12	14.5	0.81%	0	3.1	57	0
13	Oct_7_2014	105.79	111.51	111.44	111.42	111.65	111.64	110.93(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-37	10	-41	-24	2.34	81%	0.08	19.6	0.75%	0	-1	47	0
14	Oct_6_2014	105.71	111.55	111.47	111.43	111.59	112.28	111.76(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	50	61	12	1.91	81%	0.09	52	0.74%	0	0.4	49	0
15	Oct_3_2014	105.61	111.56	111.44	111.27	111.21	111.66	112.54(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	56	30	71	10	1.77	81%	0.11	79.2	0.74%	0	1.7	56	0

16	Oct_2_2014	105.49	111.55	111.37	111	110.87	110.91	111.39(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-0	12	-19	1.55	80%	0.09	111.5	0.74%	0	-0.3	53	0
17	Oct_1_2014	105.39	111.52	111.42	110.98	110.83	110.77	110.48(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-10	-30	-34	1.41	79%	0.08	77.4	0.73%	0	-1	44	0
18	Sep_30_2014	105.31	111.4	111.54	111.48	111.16	110.83	110.98(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-18	-30	-20	-10	1.67	79%	0.09	74.4	0.73%	0	-0.3	45	0
19	Sep_29_2014	105.22	111.25	111.64	111.52	111.53	110.88	110.98(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-40	-49	-19	1.17	79%	0.09	74.2	0.73%	0	-0.2	46	0
20	Sep_26_2014	105.13	111.09	111.64	111.61	111.63	111.5	111.17(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-10	-57	-24	2.05	79%	0.1	64.3	0.73%	0	0.1	44	0

21	Sep_25_2014	105.02	110.91	111.69	111.78	111.81	112.17	111.28(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	20	21	5	1.82	79%	0.12	58.6	0.73%	0	0.2	42	0
22	Sep_24_2014	104.89	110.73	111.72	111.92	111.89	111.77	113.01(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10	33	21	2.08	87%	0.13	58	0.7%	0	1.2	64	0
23	Sep_23_2014	104.75	110.44	111.57	111.64	111.8	111.46	111.14(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-34	-20	-47	7	1.56	85%	0.1	53.6	0.68%	0	0.4	73	0
24	Sep_22_2014	104.65	110.27	111.63	111.8	111.88	112	111.43(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	10	-9	59	1.45	85%	0.11	57.9	0.68%	0	0.6	73	0
25	Sep_19_2014	104.54	110.08	111.7	111.78	111.89	112.13	112.02(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	60	20	42	114	3.02	81%		62.1	0.69%	0	0.9	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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