Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 3, 2014

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $112.5427 (1.03%) ($111.5863 - $113.0386) on Fri. Oct. 3, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $112.5427(1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(60%)    SPY(59%)    QQQ(58%)    XLK(55%)    XLY(54%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $111.27(1.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $111.44(0.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $111.56(0.88%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $49.69b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 0.53% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.16%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.22%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.64%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_3_2014	105.61	111.56	111.44	111.27	111.21	111.66	112.54(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	56	30	71	10	1.77	81%	0.11	79.2	0.74%	0	1.7	56	0
2	Oct_2_2014	105.49	111.55	111.37	111	110.87	110.91	111.39(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-0	12	-19	1.55	80%	0.09	111.5	0.74%	0	-0.3	53	0
3	Oct_1_2014	105.39	111.52	111.42	110.98	110.83	110.77	110.48(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-10	-30	-34	1.41	79%	0.08	77.4	0.73%	0	-1	44	0
4	Sep_30_2014	105.31	111.4	111.54	111.48	111.16	110.83	110.98(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-18	-30	-20	-10	1.67	79%	0.09	74.4	0.73%	0	-0.3	45	0
5	Sep_29_2014	105.22	111.25	111.64	111.52	111.53	110.88	110.98(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-40	-49	-19	1.17	79%	0.09	74.2	0.73%	0	-0.2	46	0

6	Sep_26_2014	105.13	111.09	111.64	111.61	111.63	111.5	111.17(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-10	-57	-24	2.05	79%	0.1	64.3	0.73%	0	0.1	44	0
7	Sep_25_2014	105.02	110.91	111.69	111.78	111.81	112.17	111.28(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	20	21	5	1.82	79%	0.12	58.6	0.73%	0	0.2	42	0
8	Sep_24_2014	104.89	110.73	111.72	111.92	111.89	111.77	113.01(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10	33	21	2.08	87%	0.13	58	0.7%	0	1.2	64	0
9	Sep_23_2014	104.75	110.44	111.57	111.64	111.8	111.46	111.14(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-34	-20	-47	7	1.56	85%	0.1	53.6	0.68%	0	0.4	73	0
10	Sep_22_2014	104.65	110.27	111.63	111.8	111.88	112	111.43(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	10	-9	59	1.45	85%	0.11	57.9	0.68%	0	0.6	73	0

11	Sep_19_2014	104.54	110.08	111.7	111.78	111.89	112.13	112.02(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	60	20	42	114	3.02	81%	0.1	62.1	0.69%	0	0.9	78	0
12	Sep_18_2014	104.44	109.86	111.73	111.58	111.65	111.77	112(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	10	18	136	1.4	81%	0.11	64.3	0.69%	0	1	79	0
13	Sep_17_2014	104.33	109.61	111.62	111.48	111.65	111.64	111.59(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	10	7	156	1.59	81%	0.1	68	0.69%	0	0.9	76	0
14	Sep_16_2014	104.23	109.38	111.25	111.51	111.51	111.53	111.96(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	50	0	12	165	1.68	81%	0.1	71.4	0.69%	0	1.2	79	0
15	Sep_15_2014	104.13	109.07	110.84	111.45	111.54	111.37	111.32(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-10	-15	157	1.62	81%	0.1	70.9	0.69%	0	1	74	0

16	Sep_12_2014	104.03	108.76	110.46	111.61	111.6	111.48	111.02(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10	-34	159	1.6	81%	0.1	70.1	0.69%	0	1	74	0
17	Sep_11_2014	103.93	108.49	110.1	111.9	111.84	111.7	111.52(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	49	-10	3	188	1.51	81%	0.11	76.2	0.69%	0	1.3	74	0
18	Sep_10_2014	103.82	108.17	109.69	111.76	111.82	111.72	111.73(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	67	-0	24	195	1.01	81%	0.12	73.8	0.7%	0	1.5	78	0
19	Sep_9_2014	103.7	107.84	109.23	110.91	111.32	111.99	111.67(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	99	50	71	182	1.5	81%	0.12	68.8	0.7%	0	1.7	79	0
20	Sep_8_2014	103.58	107.53	108.8	110.1	110.3	111.91	112.11(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	175	110	167	200	2.06	81%	0.08	65.1	0.7%	0	2.2	85	0

21	Sep_5_2014	103.5	107.18	108.3	109.12	109.08	110.66	112.47(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	209	100	213	195	2.92	83%	0.13	63.5	0.7%	0	3	89	0
22	Sep_4_2014	103.37	106.75	107.78	108.05	108.04	108.7	110.82(3.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	134	40	134	134	4.45	81%	0.12	60.6	0.69%	0	2.9	80	0
23	Sep_3_2014	103.25	106.49	107.37	107.36	107.38	107.5	107.46(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	10	14	82	1.9	77%	0.09	68.7	0.59%	0	0.9	72	0
24	Sep_2_2014	103.16	106.35	107.31	107.32	107.33	107.38	107.65(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	0	13	94	1.47	77%	0.13	62.7	0.59%	0	1.2	70	0
25	Aug_29_2014	103.03	106.2	107.14	107.29	107.32	107.25	107.22(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-0	-7	85	1.05	79%		63.6	0.61%	0	0.9	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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