Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $112.0202 (0.02%) ($111.9936 - $112.7198) on Fri. Sep. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $112.0202(0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(60%)    SPY(59%)    QQQ(58%)    XLK(55%)    XLY(54%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $111.78(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $111.7(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $110.08(1.76%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $49.459b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.95% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.18%(36%) Average negative next day return: -0.57%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.46%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -1.48%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.04%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.21%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2014	104.54	110.08	111.7	111.78	111.89	112.13	112.02(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	60	20	42	114	3.02	81%	0.1	62.1	0.69%	0	0.9	78	INF
2	Sep_18_2014	104.44	109.86	111.73	111.58	111.65	111.77	112(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	10	18	136	1.4	81%	0.11	64.3	0.69%	0	1	79	INF
3	Sep_17_2014	104.33	109.61	111.62	111.48	111.65	111.64	111.59(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	10	7	156	1.59	81%	0.1	68	0.69%	0	0.9	76	INF
4	Sep_16_2014	104.23	109.38	111.25	111.51	111.51	111.53	111.96(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	50	0	12	165	1.68	81%	0.1	71.4	0.69%	0	1.2	79	INF
5	Sep_15_2014	104.13	109.07	110.84	111.45	111.54	111.37	111.32(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-10	-15	157	1.62	81%	0.1	70.9	0.69%	0	1	74	INF

6	Sep_12_2014	104.03	108.76	110.46	111.61	111.6	111.48	111.02(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10	-34	159	1.6	81%	0.1	70.1	0.69%	0	1	74	INF
7	Sep_11_2014	103.93	108.49	110.1	111.9	111.84	111.7	111.52(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	49	-10	3	188	1.51	81%	0.11	76.2	0.69%	0	1.3	74	INF
8	Sep_10_2014	103.82	108.17	109.69	111.76	111.82	111.72	111.73(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	67	-0	24	195	1.01	81%	0.12	73.8	0.7%	0	1.5	78	INF
9	Sep_9_2014	103.7	107.84	109.23	110.91	111.32	111.99	111.67(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	99	50	71	182	1.5	81%	0.12	68.8	0.7%	0	1.7	79	INF
10	Sep_8_2014	103.58	107.53	108.8	110.1	110.3	111.91	112.11(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	175	110	167	200	2.06	81%	0.08	65.1	0.7%	0	2.2	85	INF

11	Sep_5_2014	103.5	107.18	108.3	109.12	109.08	110.66	112.47(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	209	100	213	195	2.92	83%	0.13	63.5	0.7%	0	3	89	INF
12	Sep_4_2014	103.37	106.75	107.78	108.05	108.04	108.7	110.82(3.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	134	40	134	134	4.45	81%	0.12	60.6	0.69%	0	2.9	80	INF
13	Sep_3_2014	103.25	106.49	107.37	107.36	107.38	107.5	107.46(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	10	14	82	1.9	77%	0.09	68.7	0.59%	0	0.9	72	INF
14	Sep_2_2014	103.16	106.35	107.31	107.32	107.33	107.38	107.65(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	0	13	94	1.47	77%	0.13	62.7	0.59%	0	1.2	70	INF
15	Aug_29_2014	103.03	106.2	107.14	107.29	107.32	107.25	107.22(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-0	-7	85	1.05	79%	0.09	63.6	0.61%	0	0.9	66	INF

16	Aug_28_2014	102.94	106.06	106.93	107.32	107.39	107.28	107.12(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10	-20	80	0.8	79%	0.08	64	0.61%	0	0.9	65	INF
17	Aug_27_2014	102.86	105.91	106.79	107.44	107.53	107.39	107.36(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-10	-7	103	1.03	75%	0.08	65.8	0.61%	0	1.2	75	INF
18	Aug_26_2014	102.78	105.77	106.57	107.38	107.52	107.51	107.23(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	0	-4	95	1.39	75%	0.1	70.1	0.63%	0	1.3	57	INF
19	Aug_25_2014	102.68	105.67	106.39	107.3	107.39	107.67	107.5(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	20	38	116	1.1	75%	0.1	71.6	0.63%	0	1.6	66	INF
20	Aug_22_2014	102.58	105.48	106.19	106.95	107.04	107.53	107.41(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	84	30	71	122	1.4	75%	0.1	68	0.63%	0	1.8	65	INF

21	Aug_21_2014	102.48	105.31	105.99	106.47	106.53	107.12	107.7(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	88	40	80	112	1.55	75%	0.09	61.1	0.63%	0	2.4	68	INF
22	Aug_20_2014	102.39	105.14	105.65	106.05	106.04	106.56	107.07(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	84	30	81	94	1.29	70%	0.09	63.4	0.63%	0	2.2	67	INF
23	Aug_19_2014	102.3	104.99	105.51	105.65	105.63	105.94	106.8(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	58	20	53	73	1.71	70%	0.09	56.9	0.65%	0	2.4	61	INF
24	Aug_18_2014	102.21	104.85	105.28	105.37	105.36	105.52	105.79(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	10	20	42	1.24	68%	0.07	50.8	0.64%	0	1.4	52	INF
25	Aug_15_2014	102.14	104.74	105.16	105.32	105.28	105.33	105(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	15	0	6	41	2.03	69%		50.8	0.65%	0	0.4	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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