Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $112.4718 (1.49%) ($110.4351 - $112.4895) on Fri. Sep. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $112.4718(1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(60%)    SPY(59%)    QQQ(58%)    XLK(55%)    XLY(54%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $109.12(3.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $108.3(3.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.18(4.94%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.6%
Market Cap   $49.659b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.6%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -0.46%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.89%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.21%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141005

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_5_2014	103.5	107.18	108.3	109.12	109.08	110.66	112.47(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	209	100	213	195	2.92	83%	0.13	63.5	0.7%	0	3	89	INF
2	Sep_4_2014	103.37	106.75	107.78	108.05	108.04	108.7	110.82(3.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	134	40	134	134	4.45	81%	0.12	60.6	0.69%	0	2.9	80	INF
3	Sep_3_2014	103.25	106.49	107.37	107.36	107.38	107.5	107.46(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	10	14	82	1.9	77%	0.09	68.7	0.59%	0	0.9	72	INF
4	Sep_2_2014	103.16	106.35	107.31	107.32	107.33	107.38	107.65(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	0	13	94	1.47	77%	0.13	62.7	0.59%	0	1.2	70	INF
5	Aug_29_2014	103.03	106.2	107.14	107.29	107.32	107.25	107.22(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-0	-7	85	1.05	79%	0.09	63.6	0.61%	0	0.9	66	INF

6	Aug_28_2014	102.94	106.06	106.93	107.32	107.39	107.28	107.12(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10	-20	80	0.8	79%	0.08	64	0.61%	0	0.9	65	INF
7	Aug_27_2014	102.86	105.91	106.79	107.44	107.53	107.39	107.36(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-10	-7	103	1.03	75%	0.08	65.8	0.61%	0	1.2	75	INF
8	Aug_26_2014	102.78	105.77	106.57	107.38	107.52	107.51	107.23(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	0	-4	95	1.39	75%	0.1	70.1	0.63%	0	1.3	57	INF
9	Aug_25_2014	102.68	105.67	106.39	107.3	107.39	107.67	107.5(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	20	38	116	1.1	75%	0.1	71.6	0.63%	0	1.6	66	INF
10	Aug_22_2014	102.58	105.48	106.19	106.95	107.04	107.53	107.41(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	84	30	71	122	1.4	75%	0.1	68	0.63%	0	1.8	65	INF

11	Aug_21_2014	102.48	105.31	105.99	106.47	106.53	107.12	107.7(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	88	40	80	112	1.55	75%	0.09	61.1	0.63%	0	2.4	68	INF
12	Aug_20_2014	102.39	105.14	105.65	106.05	106.04	106.56	107.07(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	84	30	81	94	1.29	70%	0.09	63.4	0.63%	0	2.2	67	INF
13	Aug_19_2014	102.3	104.99	105.51	105.65	105.63	105.94	106.8(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	58	20	53	73	1.71	70%	0.09	56.9	0.65%	0	2.4	61	INF
14	Aug_18_2014	102.21	104.85	105.28	105.37	105.36	105.52	105.79(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	10	20	42	1.24	68%	0.07	50.8	0.64%	0	1.4	52	INF
15	Aug_15_2014	102.14	104.74	105.16	105.32	105.28	105.33	105(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	15	0	6	41	2.03	69%	0.07	50.8	0.65%	0	0.4	58	INF

16	Aug_14_2014	102.07	104.7	105.11	105.42	105.31	105.2	105.61(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10	9	51	1.07	69%	0.07	50	0.65%	0	1.3	59	INF
17	Aug_13_2014	102	104.6	104.96	105.16	105.25	105.22	105.06(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	0	-14	26	1.45	69%	0.05	33.3	0.65%	0	0.7	53	INF
18	Aug_12_2014	101.95	104.56	104.92	105.33	105.11	105.42	105.39(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	10	16	51	1.08	71%	0.05	41.9	0.65%	0	1.3	57	INF
19	Aug_11_2014	101.9	104.5	104.9	105.16	105.1	105.28	105.54(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	10	55	67	1.23	71%	0.06	40	0.66%	0	1.7	58	INF
20	Aug_8_2014	101.84	104.42	104.72	104.98	104.78	104.81	105.52(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-0	7	40	2.33	74%	0.06	44.6	0.67%	0	1.9	60	INF

21	Aug_7_2014	101.78	104.36	104.58	104.75	104.61	104.91	104.32(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	19	20	15	30	2.7	70%	0.05	52.9	0.72%	0	-0.1	51	INF
22	Aug_6_2014	101.73	104.37	104.61	104.71	104.55	104.75	105.9(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	51	10	50	53	2.86	70%	0.06	70.6	0.7%	0	2.9	65	INF
23	Aug_5_2014	101.67	104.29	104.42	104.46	104.29	104.3	104.54(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-6	-0	-13	14	1.8	68%	0.04	102.5	0.71%	0	0.6	51	INF
24	Aug_4_2014	101.63	104.25	104.38	104.61	104.43	104.34	104.63(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-10	-3	24	1.68	68%	0.05	105.9	0.71%	0	0.7	52	INF
25	Aug_1_2014	101.58	104.16	104.28	104.43	104.69	104.29	104.39(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-20	-8	12	2.09	68%		103.9	0.71%	0	0.4	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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