Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 29, 2014

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $105.2901 (1.52%) ($104.9625 - $105.9100) on Tue. Jul. 29, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $105.2901(1.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(60%)    SPY(59%)    QQQ(58%)    XLK(55%)    XLY(54%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $104.37(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.18(1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.87(1.37%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $46.488b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 0.81% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.51%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.7%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.15%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.31%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.69%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140829

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_29_2014	101.49	103.87	104.18	104.37	104.44	104.6	105.29(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	54	10	62	28	2.55	68%	0.04	63	0.71%	0	1.7	55	INF
2	Jul_28_2014	101.45	103.69	104.07	104.13	104.11	104.01	103.71(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10	-21	-12	1.4	65%	0.03	51.7	0.68%	0	0	52	INF
3	Jul_25_2014	101.42	103.61	104.09	104.12	104.16	104.27	104.09(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	7	10	7	8	1.55	65%	0.02	48.9	0.68%	0	0.5	62	INF
4	Jul_24_2014	101.4	103.51	104.13	104.15	104.08	104.21	104.62(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	10	23	29	1.35	65%	0.04	45.9	0.68%	0	1.1	66	INF
5	Jul_23_2014	101.36	103.41	104.11	103.91	103.98	104.05	104.13(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	10	10	32	1.16	67%	0.03	40.6	0.68%	0	0.7	67	INF

6	Jul_22_2014	101.33	103.34	104.14	103.96	103.88	103.96	104.09(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	0	-3	48	1.77	67%	0.03	46.3	0.69%	0	0.8	69	INF
7	Jul_21_2014	101.3	103.22	104.11	104	104	103.91	103.64(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	18	-10	1	69	1.34	67%	0.03	45.5	0.69%	0	0.4	68	INF
8	Jul_18_2014	101.27	103.14	104.03	104.06	104.12	103.8	104.26(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-3	-20	-26	68	2.16	67%	0.03	46.1	0.69%	0	1.1	70	INF
9	Jul_17_2014	101.24	103.05	103.89	104.11	104.22	104.08	103.42(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-12	-10	-40	72	1.44	65%	0.03	52.5	0.69%	0	0.4	64	INF
10	Jul_16_2014	101.21	103.01	103.79	104.34	104.4	104.43	104.36(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	30	0	6	101	1.53	71%	0.04	59.6	0.68%	0	1.3	66	INF

11	Jul_15_2014	101.17	102.89	103.55	104.35	104.38	104.43	104.33(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-0	6	96	2.64	71%	0.03	56.3	0.69%	0	1.5	65	INF
12	Jul_14_2014	101.14	102.76	103.29	104.22	104.32	104.36	103.93(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	36	10	16	95	1.7	71%	0.04	45.7	0.7%	0	1.2	70	INF
13	Jul_11_2014	101.1	102.66	103.1	103.98	104.03	104.4	104.5(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	30	38	96	1.68	71%	0.04	26.4	0.69%	0	2	75	INF
14	Jul_10_2014	101.06	102.52	102.85	103.62	103.6	104.27	104.56(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	82	40	78	93	2.27	68%	0.04	7.4	0.69%	0	2.5	64	INF
15	Jul_9_2014	101.02	102.41	102.64	103.15	103.13	103.66	104.42(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	86	40	89	75	2.33	68%	0.04	-12.1	0.7%	0	3	63	INF

16	Jul_8_2014	100.98	102.41	102.44	102.64	102.6	102.93	103.7(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	48	20	50	42	2.58	70%	0.04	-27.8	0.7%	0	2.5	64	INF
17	Jul_7_2014	100.94	102.34	102.24	102.24	102.27	102.59	102.69(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	20	33	16	1.58	68%	0.02	-31	0.72%	0	0.6	58	INF
18	Jul_3_2014	100.92	102.41	102.15	102.09	102.1	102.27	102.72(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	10	32	9	0.98	65%	0.02	-18.4	0.73%	0	0.4	60	INF
19	Jul_2_2014	100.9	102.46	102.13	101.97	101.95	101.94	102.19(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-0	-4	-6	1.12	65%	0.02	-5.3	0.72%	0	-0.3	54	INF
20	Jul_1_2014	100.88	102.49	102.17	102.06	102.03	101.92	101.92(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10	-13	-5	1.5	65%	0.02	9.1	0.72%	0	-0.7	42	INF

21	Jun_30_2014	100.86	102.5	102.18	102.21	102.19	101.95	101.67(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-20	-17	-11	1.39	65%	0.01	22.4	0.72%	0	-1.1	33	INF
22	Jun_27_2014	100.85	102.53	102.21	102.22	102.27	102.14	101.96(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10	-15	-24	2.48	65%	0.01	28.4	0.72%	0	-0.8	31	INF
23	Jun_26_2014	100.84	102.55	102.2	102.2	102.27	102.42	102.09(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	20	-1	-40	1.25	61%	0.02	30.5	0.72%	0	-0.5	29	INF
24	Jun_25_2014	100.82	102.5	102.19	102.2	102.18	102.39	102.65(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	13	10	29	-37	1.19	62%	0.02	30.3	0.74%	0	0.2	37	INF
25	Jun_24_2014	100.8	102.42	102.17	102.31	102.23	101.93	102.69(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	-20	2	-49	1.91	62%		24.7	0.74%	0	0.3	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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