Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $103.7006 (0.98%) ($102.5088 - $103.8684) on Tue. Jul. 8, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $103.7006(0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(60%)    SPY(59%)    QQQ(58%)    XLK(55%)    XLY(54%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $102.64(1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.44(1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102.34(1.33%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $45.786b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 0.54% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2014	100.98		102.44	102.64	102.6	102.93	103.7(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	48	20	50	42	2.58	70%	0.04	-27.8	0.7%	0	2.5	64	0
2	Jul_7_2014	100.94	102.34	102.24	102.24	102.27	102.59	102.69(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	20	33	16	1.58	68%	0.02	-31	0.72%	0	0.6	58	0
3	Jul_3_2014	100.92	102.41	102.15	102.09	102.1	102.27	102.72(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	10	32	9	0.98	65%	0.02	-18.4	0.73%	0	0.4	60	0
4	Jul_2_2014	100.9	102.46	102.13	101.97	101.95	101.94	102.19(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-0	-4	-6	1.12	65%	0.02	-5.3	0.72%	0	-0.3	54	0
5	Jul_1_2014	100.88	102.49	102.17	102.06	102.03	101.92	101.92(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10	-13	-5	1.5	65%	0.02	9.1	0.72%	0	-0.7	42	0

6	Jun_30_2014	100.86	102.5	102.18	102.21	102.19	101.95	101.67(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-20	-17	-11	1.39	65%	0.01	22.4	0.72%	0	-1.1	33	0
7	Jun_27_2014	100.85	102.53	102.21	102.22	102.27	102.14	101.96(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10	-15	-24	2.48	65%	0.01	28.4	0.72%	0	-0.8	31	0
8	Jun_26_2014	100.84	102.55	102.2	102.2	102.27	102.42	102.09(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	20	-1	-40	1.25	61%	0.02	30.5	0.72%	0	-0.5	29	0
9	Jun_25_2014	100.82	102.5	102.19	102.2	102.18	102.39	102.65(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	13	10	29	-37	1.19	62%	0.02	30.3	0.74%	0	0.2	37	0
10	Jun_24_2014	100.8	102.42	102.17	102.31	102.23	101.93	102.69(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	-20	2	-49	1.91	62%	0.03	24.7	0.74%	0	0.3	50	0

11	Jun_23_2014	100.77	102.32	102.23	102.16	102.22	101.97	101.72(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-48	-20	-42	-65	1.51	60%	0.02	11.1	0.73%	0	-0.6	50	0
12	Jun_20_2014	100.75	102.31	102.44	102.19	102.3	102.52	101.85(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-1	20	9	-31	2.97	61%	0.01	9	0.73%	0	-0.5	50	0
13	Jun_19_2014	100.74	102.29	102.68	102.18	102.16	102.47	102.64(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	27	20	38	-7	1.64	61%	0.03	10.8	0.73%	0	0.3	52	0
14	Jun_18_2014	100.71	102.22	102.8	102.04	101.95	102.09	102.65(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	10	17	1	2.11	61%	0.03	3.8	0.74%	0	0.4	64	0
15	Jun_17_2014	100.68	102.17	102.81	102.03	101.94	101.85	101.93(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-10	-10	-14	2	1.51	61%	0.02	1	0.73%	0	-0.2	60	0

16	Jun_16_2014	100.66	102.21	102.84	102.33	102.15	101.81	101.91(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-29	-30	-43	14	1.5	61%	0.02	9.5	0.73%	0	-0.3	62	0
17	Jun_13_2014	100.64	102.22	102.88	102.74	102.59	102.02	101.79(-0.12%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-46	-40	-70	26	1.23	61%	0.02	22.9	0.74%	0	-0.4	54	0
18	Jun_12_2014	100.62	102.19	102.96	103.26	103.19	102.49	101.92(-0.69%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-42	-50	-75	58	1.43	61%	0.02	35.2	0.74%	0	-0.2	55	0
19	Jun_11_2014	100.6	102.18	102.88	103.67	103.67	103.15	102.62(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-24	-40	-59	82	1.12	61%	0.03	57.8	0.74%	0	0.4	61	0
20	Jun_10_2014	100.57	102.16	102.72	103.68	103.88	103.89	103.38(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	10	1	103	1.09	61%	0.05	72.2	0.74%	0	1.1	61	0

21	Jun_9_2014	100.52	102.11	102.45	103.4	103.56	104.18	103.98(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	64	50	53	96	1.62	61%	0.06	75.2	0.75%	0	1.7	55	0
22	Jun_6_2014	100.46	101.98	102.19	103.03	103.01	103.86	104.38(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	91	60	91	92	1.67	61%	0.06	72.9	0.75%	0	2.4	61	0
23	Jun_5_2014	100.4	101.8	101.86	102.64	102.53	102.94	103.96(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	86	20	88	78	2.61	61%	0.07	69.5	0.75%	0	2.6	65	0
24	Jun_4_2014	100.33	101.53	101.56	102	102.06	102.15	102.69(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	10	24	21	1.3	59%	0.04	27.7	0.74%	0	1.2	55	0
25	Jun_3_2014	100.29	101.37	101.44	101.63	101.73	102.13	101.98(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	30	30	2	1.13	59%		5.9	0.75%	0	0.6	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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