Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ COP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(ConocoPhillips)
COP latest price $41.8902 (1%) ($40.9733 - $42.1548) on Tue. Jun. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.25% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $41.8902(1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COP declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COP advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(84%)    OIH(80%)    XOP(78%)    IWD(63%)    IVE(62%)
Factors Impacting COP price   COP will decline at least -1.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-13%)    BNDX(-6%)    IPO(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.125% (StdDev 2.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

Resistance Level   $42.15
5 Day Moving Average   $42.87(-2.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.77(-2.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.15(-0.62%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   14.2%
Market Cap   $44.93b

ConocoPhillips engages in the exploration, production, transportation and marketing of crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, natural gas liquids and liquefied natural gas on a worldwide basis. It operates through the following geographical segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe and North Africa; Asia Pacific and Middle East; Other International; and Corporate & Other. The Alaska segment primarily explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. The Lower 48 segment is consist of operations in the U.S. Lower 48 states and the Gulf od Mexico. The Canada segment is comprised of oil sands development in the Athabasca Region of northeastern Alberta and a liquids-rich unconventional play in western Canada. The Europe and North Africa segment is consist of operations and exploration activities in Norway, the United Kingdom and Libya. The Asia Pacific and Middle East segment has explorations and product operations in China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Australia; production operations in Qatar and Timor-Leste; and exploration activities in Brunei. The Other International segment handles exploration activities in Columbia and Chile. The Corporate and Other segment is comprised of interest expense, premiums incurred on the early retirement of debt, corporate overhead, certain technology activities, as well as licensing revenues received. The company was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.

$. COP price fluctuates within 2.8% (three month std-dev: 2.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 3.13%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.56%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.34%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160714

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2016	38.47	42.15	42.77	42.87	42.56	41.67	41.89(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-24	-170	-37	16	7.32	69%	0.26	42.5	2.25%	0	-0.2	57	0
2	Jun_13_2016	38.37	42.13	42.74	43.48	43.46	42.22	41.47(-1.42%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.7	-22	-200	-42	38	7.39	69%	0.18	66.3	2.25%	0	-0.6	54	0
3	Jun_10_2016	38.3	42.09	42.81	43.79	44.07	43.45	42.07(-4.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-5	-80	-26	60	9.01	69%	0.18	72.5	2.29%	0	-0	57	0
4	Jun_9_2016	38.23	42.05	42.84	43.72	44.05	44.7	44.02(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	130	17	86	5.43	75%	0.31	72.3	2.21%	0	1.6	71	0
5	Jun_8_2016	38.11	41.89	42.67	43.31	43.46	44.68	44.89(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	66	210	55	97	9.64	66%	0.29	69.1	2.2%	0	2.5	78	0

6	Jun_7_2016	38	41.66	42.28	42.66	42.56	43.4	44.93(4.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.3	53	130	48	68	11.23	66%	0.21	54.2	2.37%	0	3.3	76	0
7	Jun_6_2016	37.92	41.36	41.88	41.95	41.84	42.23	43.02(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	60	18	32	7.81	63%	0.16	15.3	2.31%	0	2	64	0
8	Jun_3_2016	37.86	41.21	41.69	41.73	41.84	41.73	41.76(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	10	4	23	6.09	69%	0.08	-19.8	2.42%	0	0.7	65	0
9	Jun_2_2016	37.83	41.16	41.62	41.83	41.66	41.46	41.95(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-50	-8	20	7.02	71%	0.16	-41.2	2.51%	0	1.1	58	0
10	Jun_1_2016	37.77	41.09	41.53	41.93	41.92	41.59	41.64(0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-60	-5	24	7.26	71%	0.11	-66.9	2.6%	0	0.8	56	0

11	May_31_2016	37.73	41.12	41.53	41.82	42.09	41.85	41.39(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-20	-5	26	9.51	71%	0.03	-82.9	2.55%	0	0.4	61	0
12	May_27_2016	37.72	41.24	41.48	41.78	41.93	42.24	41.9(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	60	3	40	6.07	71%	0.03	-50.8	2.6%	0	0.5	73	0
13	May_26_2016	37.71	41.36	41.34	41.64	41.75	42.33	42.28(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	110	23	45	7.81	71%	0	-46.8	2.62%	0	0.6	64	0
14	May_25_2016	37.71	41.47	41.21	41.38	41.36	41.63	42.44(3.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	40	18	38	6.47	71%	-0.05	-42.3	2.64%	0	0.6	61	0
15	May_24_2016	37.73	41.58	41.06	41.08	41.01	41.16	41.08(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	7	20	1	25	5.99	70%	-0.08	-41.2	2.61%	0	-0.3	52	0

16	May_23_2016	37.76	41.77	40.99	41.1	40.97	41.1	41.2(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	10	3	16	6.75	65%	0.11	-38.5	2.61%	0	-0.3	41	0
17	May_20_2016	37.72	41.88	40.8	41.14	41.02	40.87	41.19(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	-30	3	-7	6.4	68%	-0.08	-33.8	2.72%	0	-0.4	34	0
18	May_19_2016	37.75	42.05	40.7	40.99	41.08	40.84	40.98(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-30	-7	-38	6.28	68%	-0.05	-27.8	2.74%	0	-0.6	29	0
19	May_18_2016	37.77	42.17	40.66	41.01	41.1	41.17	40.96(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	20	-4	-56	8.15	68%	-0.11	-23.3	2.76%	0	-0.6	30	0
20	May_17_2016	37.81	42.33	40.63	41.03	41.14	41.32	41.14(-0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	40	10	-72	11.75	68%	-0.08	-15.6	2.76%	0	-0.6	29	0

21	May_16_2016	37.84	42.48	40.73	40.86	41	41.03	41.42(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	20	14	-88	7.84	68%	0.11	-10.8	2.79%	0	-0.5	30	0
22	May_13_2016	37.8	42.53	40.95	40.4	40.58	40.96	40.43(-1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-23	80	4	-104	6.2	68%	-0.13	-9	2.78%	0	-1.1	37	0
23	May_12_2016	37.85	42.59	41.37	40.35	40.25	40.97	41.1(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	120	18	-100	8.38	68%	-0.13	-4.5	2.79%	0	-0.8	34	0
24	May_11_2016	37.9	42.62	41.71	40.25	40.01	40.2	41.05(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-17	20	11	-100	8.91	68%	-0.05	2.7	2.81%	0	-0.8	42	0
25	May_10_2016	37.92	42.64	42.1	40.2	40.14	39.53	40.29(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-41	-110	-18	-110	7.97	64%		8.3	2.81%	0	-1.2	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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