Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ COP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(ConocoPhillips)
COP latest price $43.4445 (-1.81%) ($43.3411 - $44.4688) on Thu. Apr. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.5% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $43.4445(-1.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COP advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COP advances 7.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(84%)    OIH(80%)    XOP(79%)    IWD(63%)    IVE(62%)
Factors Impacting COP price   COP will decline at least -1.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-13%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.75% (StdDev 3.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.05(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.72(4.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.68(9.49%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   45%
Market Cap   $46.597b

ConocoPhillips engages in the exploration, production, transportation and marketing of crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, natural gas liquids and liquefied natural gas on a worldwide basis. It operates through the following geographical segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe and North Africa; Asia Pacific and Middle East; Other International; and Corporate & Other. The Alaska segment primarily explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. The Lower 48 segment is consist of operations in the U.S. Lower 48 states and the Gulf od Mexico. The Canada segment is comprised of oil sands development in the Athabasca Region of northeastern Alberta and a liquids-rich unconventional play in western Canada. The Europe and North Africa segment is consist of operations and exploration activities in Norway, the United Kingdom and Libya. The Asia Pacific and Middle East segment has explorations and product operations in China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Australia; production operations in Qatar and Timor-Leste; and exploration activities in Brunei. The Other International segment handles exploration activities in Columbia and Chile. The Corporate and Other segment is comprised of interest expense, premiums incurred on the early retirement of debt, corporate overhead, certain technology activities, as well as licensing revenues received. The company was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.

$. COP price fluctuates within 6.28% (three month std-dev: 3.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 2.89%(56%) Average negative next day return: -2.52%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 10.69%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -1.51%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 7.93%(78%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.67%(22%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2016	38.29	39.68	41.72	43.05	43.03	43.96	43.44(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	150	15	131	10.01	58%	-0.16	41.4	3.5%	0	1.5	78	INF
2	Apr_20_2016	38.35	39.37	41.18	42.68	42.36	43.69	44.24(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	61	200	37	133	8.5	55%	-0.18	35.7	3.56%	0	2.1	78	INF
3	Apr_19_2016	38.42	39.1	40.57	42.02	41.67	42.11	44.22(4.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	51	50	29	118	12.87	52%	-0.16	36.6	3.62%	0	2.5	79	INF
4	Apr_18_2016	38.48	38.85	39.81	41.34	41.07	41.03	42.29(2.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	30	-30	9	92	9.36	50%	-0.21	39.7	3.71%	0	2	76	INF
5	Apr_15_2016	38.56	38.73	39.25	40.63	40.84	41.22	41.07(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	80	12	76	8.16	49%	0.08	37.8	3.73%	0	1.5	73	INF

6	Apr_14_2016	38.53	38.67	38.88	40.16	40.29	41.11	41.56(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	150	23	69	8.24	51%	-0.26	42	3.77%	0	1.9	73	INF
7	Apr_13_2016	38.63	38.54	38.48	39.43	39.69	40.46	40.95(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	160	26	55	9.4	50%	-0.28	40.2	3.84%	0	1.8	72	INF
8	Apr_12_2016	38.74	38.36	38.13	38.9	38.95	39.47	40.85(5.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	100	23	35	10.65	50%	-0.23	36	3.86%	0	2	54	INF
9	Apr_11_2016	38.83	38.18	37.74	38.06	38.37	38.93	38.71(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	130	17	4	7.18	46%	-0.31	14.5	3.81%	0	0.5	39	INF
10	Apr_8_2016	38.95	38.15	37.6	37.67	37.75	38.43	38.75(2.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	7	130	15	-18	8.08	46%	-0.28	2.7	3.86%	0	0.5	37	INF

11	Apr_7_2016	39.06	38.05	37.47	37.4	37.31	37.8	37.88(-1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	80	11	-36	7.12	45%	-0.36	-2.3	3.86%	0	-0.1	31	INF
12	Apr_6_2016	39.2	38	37.42	37.39	37.1	37.07	38.29(4.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-8	-30	5	-46	9.82	44%	-0.33	6.6	3.87%	0	0.2	43	INF
13	Apr_5_2016	39.33	37.91	37.5	37.26	37.11	36.82	36.69(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-70	-8	-48	7.84	42%	-0.35	17.8	3.86%	0	-1	49	INF
14	Apr_4_2016	39.47	38.02	37.82	37.37	37.44	37.13	36.74(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-50	-4	-36	8.66	42%	-0.33	46.9	3.87%	0	-1	48	INF
15	Apr_1_2016	39.6	38.12	38.18	37.48	37.36	37.4	37.38(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-0	-6	-27	9.09	42%	-0.28	76.7	3.86%	0	-0.6	48	INF

16	Mar_31_2016	39.71	38.08	38.47	37.53	37.43	37.75	37.84(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	50	8	-7	9.35	42%	-0.33	94.3	3.89%	0	-0.2	59	INF
17	Mar_30_2016	39.84	37.92	38.47	37.45	37.26	37.33	37.67(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-0	-3	-4	7.78	41%	-0.35	89.4	3.89%	0	-0.2	58	INF
18	Mar_29_2016	39.98	37.69	38.62	37.8	37.36	37.11	37.23(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-10	-80	-14	4	8.12	41%	-0.35	79.9	3.9%	0	-0.2	59	INF
19	Mar_28_2016	40.12	37.45	38.68	38.35	38.06	37.18	37.29(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-12	-180	-19	10	6.65	40%	-0.69	73.6	3.9%	0	-0.1	44	INF
20	Mar_24_2016	40.4	37.21	38.79	38.98	38.76	37.62	37.63(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-19	-220	-31	18	9.22	40%	-0.39	69.6	3.92%	0	0.1	47	INF

21	Mar_23_2016	40.56	36.92	38.73	39.54	39.69	38.94	37.45(-4.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-120	-21	37	11.23	43%	-0.39	69.5	3.92%	0	0.2	57	INF
22	Mar_22_2016	40.72	36.62	38.69	39.92	40.21	39.91	39.39(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-30	0	64	8.25	45%	-0.29	68.2	3.95%	0	0.8	71	INF
23	Mar_21_2016	40.84	36.21	38.39	39.53	39.94	40.45	40.01(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	120	12	76	8.41	45%	-0.27	65.3	3.96%	0	1.2	78	INF
24	Mar_18_2016	40.95	35.82	38.25	39.04	39.16	40.51	40.43(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	250	26	100	20.95	44%	-0.24	63.3	3.96%	0	1.4	80	INF
25	Mar_17_2016	41.05	35.34	38.04	38.57	38.35	39.43	40.42(2.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	57	180	35	121	12.43	43%		63	3.98%	0	1.6	78	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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