Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ COP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(ConocoPhillips)
COP latest price $39.3472 (5.12%) ($37.7590 - $39.4412) on Wed. Mar. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $39.3472(5.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COP advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COP advances 7.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(84%)    OIH(80%)    XOP(79%)    IWD(63%)    IVE(62%)
Factors Impacting COP price   COP will decline at least -2% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-13%)    BNDX(-5%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2% (StdDev 4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.83(4.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.61(4.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.89(12.78%)
To recent high   -14.5%
To recent low   31.3%
Market Cap   $42.202b

ConocoPhillips engages in the exploration, production, transportation and marketing of crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, natural gas liquids and liquefied natural gas on a worldwide basis. It operates through the following geographical segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe and North Africa; Asia Pacific and Middle East; Other International; and Corporate & Other. The Alaska segment primarily explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. The Lower 48 segment is consist of operations in the U.S. Lower 48 states and the Gulf od Mexico. The Canada segment is comprised of oil sands development in the Athabasca Region of northeastern Alberta and a liquids-rich unconventional play in western Canada. The Europe and North Africa segment is consist of operations and exploration activities in Norway, the United Kingdom and Libya. The Asia Pacific and Middle East segment has explorations and product operations in China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Australia; production operations in Qatar and Timor-Leste; and exploration activities in Brunei. The Other International segment handles exploration activities in Columbia and Chile. The Corporate and Other segment is comprised of interest expense, premiums incurred on the early retirement of debt, corporate overhead, certain technology activities, as well as licensing revenues received. The company was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.

$. COP price fluctuates within 8.71% (three month std-dev: 4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 11.56%(64%) Average negative next day return: -0.73%(36%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 8.61%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -2.8%(43%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 13.62%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.52%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2016	41.14	34.89	37.61	37.83	37.72	37.82	39.35(5.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	44	10	18	120	10.15	42%	-0.22	62.3	4%	0	1.5	79	0
2	Mar_15_2016	41.23	34.51	37.12	37.3	37.2	37.27	37.43(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	29	10	-1	118	7.84	40%	-0.31	60.6	3.95%	0	1	77	0
3	Mar_14_2016	41.36	34.17	36.65	37.07	37.2	37.62	37.6(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	100	3	124	9.32	42%	-0.34	57.1	3.96%	0	1.2	78	0
4	Mar_11_2016	41.5	33.83	36.11	37.33	37.13	37.13	38.08(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-20	2	133	13.66	42%	-0.31	61.8	3.98%	0	1.5	70	0
5	Mar_10_2016	41.63	33.42	35.52	37.44	37.44	36.64	36.68(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	-150	-7	145	10.86	42%	-0.31	60.3	3.95%	0	1.2	72	0

6	Mar_9_2016	41.76	33.09	34.99	37.35	37.74	37.13	36.7(1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	33	-80	-5	146	13.35	42%	-0.33	50.5	3.96%	0	1.3	67	0
7	Mar_8_2016	41.9	32.81	34.43	36.87	37.37	38.25	36.29(-6.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	49	210	18	143	14.13	42%	-0.36	42.6	3.95%	0	1.3	65	0
8	Mar_7_2016	42.05	32.58	33.9	36.09	36.3	38.36	38.91(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	81	410	59	145	17.55	42%	-0.31	28.8	3.87%	0	2.5	78	0
9	Mar_4_2016	42.18	32.14	33.2	34.67	34.58	36.5	38.64(6.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	74	380	60	114	24.82	42%	-0.31	2.8	3.9%	0	3.2	76	0
10	Mar_3_2016	42.31	31.82	32.38	33.35	33.17	34.25	36.24(5.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	53	210	44	80	20.25	40%	-0.35	-29.4	3.8%	0	3.1	75	0

11	Mar_2_2016	42.46	31.76	31.88	32.32	32.37	32.66	34.29(5.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	31	70	24	51	16.94	36%	-0.4	-43.7	3.72%	0	1.8	70	0
12	Mar_1_2016	42.63	31.72	31.61	31.66	31.79	32.66	32.38(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	80	8	30	11.58	34%	-0.47	-53.9	3.65%	0	0.5	55	0
13	Feb_29_2016	42.83	31.88	31.45	31.37	31.4	32.09	31.79(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	160	7	15	10.52	34%	-0.46	-39.4	3.62%	0	-0.1	48	0
14	Feb_26_2016	43.03	32.09	31.36	31.48	31.27	31.49	32.06(3.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	30	15	23	11	34%	-0.49	-29.6	3.62%	0	-0	57	0
15	Feb_25_2016	43.24	32.24	31.16	31.25	31.27	30.7	31.07(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-120	-7	-6	10.32	34%	-0.46	-28.9	3.62%	0	-0.6	43	0

16	Feb_24_2016	43.44	32.37	31.08	31.37	31.25	31.04	30.97(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-60	-17	-35	10.97	35%	-0.48	-24.8	3.62%	0	-0.7	34	0
17	Feb_23_2016	43.65	32.48	31.11	31.55	31.61	31.8	30.94(-4.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-5	50	5	-34	9.72	35%	-0.43	-25.2	3.66%	0	-0.8	41	0
18	Feb_22_2016	43.84	32.54	31.22	31.52	31.63	31.45	32.37(4.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-30	7	-53	11.54	36%	-0.34	-36.6	3.63%	0	-0.1	40	0
19	Feb_19_2016	43.99	32.67	31.04	31.23	31.4	31.43	30.89(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	20	-1	-92	14.64	34%	-0.32	-46.2	3.57%	0	-0.9	34	0
20	Feb_18_2016	44.13	32.84	31.23	31.04	31.35	31.81	31.67(-0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	130	16	-103	16.9	34%	-0.29	-53.5	3.56%	0	-0.6	39	0

21	Feb_17_2016	44.26	32.89	31.61	30.74	30.78	31.38	31.87(3.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	140	11	-104	18.32	34%	-0.25	-68.9	3.57%	0	-0.5	46	0
22	Feb_16_2016	44.37	33	31.81	30.63	30.57	30.89	30.79(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	70	5	-107	12.85	37%	-0.25	-80	3.53%	0	-1.1	46	0
23	Feb_12_2016	44.48	33.29	32.3	30.89	30.58	30.19	30.92(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-120	-1	-85	14.97	36%	-0.31	-81.9	3.57%	0	-1.1	50	0
24	Feb_11_2016	44.62	33.65	32.83	30.84	30.64	30.26	29.96(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-110	-23	-91	20.84	36%	-0.31	-80.7	3.55%	0	-1.6	39	0
25	Feb_10_2016	44.76	33.98	33.39	31.44	30.96	30.97	30.16(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-40	-29	-73	16.64	36%		-89.9	3.55%	0	-1.7	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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