Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ COP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(ConocoPhillips)
COP latest price $51.0254 (0.76%) ($50.4963 - $51.2463) on Wed. Oct. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.45% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $51.0254(0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COP advances 8.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(84%)    OIH(80%)    XOP(79%)    IWD(63%)    IVE(62%)
Factors Impacting COP price   COP will decline at least -1.225% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-12%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.225% (StdDev 2.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.18(-0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.87(2.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.09(8.36%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   31.5%
Market Cap   $54.728b

ConocoPhillips engages in the exploration, production, transportation and marketing of crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, natural gas liquids and liquefied natural gas on a worldwide basis. It operates through the following geographical segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe and North Africa; Asia Pacific and Middle East; Other International; and Corporate & Other. The Alaska segment primarily explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. The Lower 48 segment is consist of operations in the U.S. Lower 48 states and the Gulf od Mexico. The Canada segment is comprised of oil sands development in the Athabasca Region of northeastern Alberta and a liquids-rich unconventional play in western Canada. The Europe and North Africa segment is consist of operations and exploration activities in Norway, the United Kingdom and Libya. The Asia Pacific and Middle East segment has explorations and product operations in China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Australia; production operations in Qatar and Timor-Leste; and exploration activities in Brunei. The Other International segment handles exploration activities in Columbia and Chile. The Corporate and Other segment is comprised of interest expense, premiums incurred on the early retirement of debt, corporate overhead, certain technology activities, as well as licensing revenues received. The company was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.

$. COP price fluctuates within 6.97% (three month std-dev: 2.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.12%(50%) Average negative next day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.8%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.17%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.82%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_14_2015	49.64	47.09	49.87	51.18	51.04	50.74	51.03(0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	50	-50	-2	205	6.41	49%	-0.14	59.4	2.45%	0	1.2	77	0
2	Oct_13_2015	49.71	46.8	49.22	51.15	51.12	50.83	50.64(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	43	-40	-12	208	6.21	49%	0.02	63.3	2.46%	0	1.2	76	0
3	Oct_12_2015	49.7	46.44	48.49	51.17	51.2	51.35	50.85(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	61	20	9	216	7.48	49%	-0.18	63.9	2.46%	0	1.4	72	0
4	Oct_9_2015	49.79	46.03	47.65	50.74	50.91	51.41	51.61(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	76	80	33	206	9.12	49%	-0.16	62.5	2.45%	0	1.9	74	0
5	Oct_8_2015	49.87	45.61	46.82	49.84	50.05	51.04	51.78(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	89	150	56	187	9.5	48%	-0.14	58.7	2.45%	0	2.3	76	0

6	Oct_7_2015	49.94	45.22	46	48.35	48.61	50.41	50.85(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	87	280	70	138	13.77	48%	-0.16	50.5	2.46%	0	2.4	64	0
7	Oct_6_2015	50.02	44.85	45.27	47	47.02	49.05	50.73(4.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	95	300	93	99	15.41	47%	-0.18	41.4	2.46%	0	3	65	0
8	Oct_5_2015	50.11	44.51	44.61	45.42	45.46	46.82	48.74(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	73	210	79	53	12.81	45%	-0.2	22.9	2.42%	0	2.9	68	0
9	Oct_2_2015	50.21	44.22	44.17	44.11	44.07	45	47.1(6.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	33	140	42	6	12.57	43%	-0.24	-1.6	2.39%	0	2.6	66	0
10	Oct_1_2015	50.33	44.22	43.87	43.38	43.36	44.11	44.31(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	14	120	25	-21	10.43	39%	-0.3	-14.4	2.25%	0	0.3	54	0

11	Sep_30_2015	50.48	44.07	44.02	43.3	43.21	43.13	44.13(2.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	-20	11	-22	8.81	39%	-0.28	5.4	2.27%	0	0.1	48	0
12	Sep_29_2015	50.62	44.06	44.15	43.28	43.27	42.6	42.85(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-110	-29	-31	7.98	36%	-0.33	31.2	2.23%	0	-1.4	46	0
13	Sep_28_2015	50.79	44.18	44.24	43.66	43.73	43.28	42.18(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-31	-70	-32	-26	8	36%	-0.35	74.6	2.22%	0	-2.3	40	0
14	Sep_25_2015	50.97	44.24	44.36	44.2	44.18	43.93	43.42(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-40	-13	-2	8.63	37%	-0.33	110.1	2.2%	0	-1	52	0
15	Sep_24_2015	51.14	44.2	44.39	44.41	44.39	44.18	43.94(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-30	-18	-1	8.19	37%	-0.31	101	2.2%	0	-0.3	49	0

16	Sep_23_2015	51.3	44.02	44.46	44.85	44.62	44.43	44.03(-1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-50	-14	17	6.32	37%	-0.33	66.3	2.2%	0	0	49	0
17	Sep_22_2015	51.47	43.78	44.47	45.14	44.98	44.59	44.73(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-70	-2	34	10.22	37%	-0.31	37.1	2.2%	0	0.6	55	0
18	Sep_21_2015	51.63	43.54	44.45	44.9	45.06	44.82	44.85(0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-30	-1	22	7.73	37%	-0.31	15.2	2.21%	0	0.7	48	0
19	Sep_18_2015	51.79	43.39	44.31	44.53	44.75	45.37	44.49(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	13	110	11	17	12.76	37%	-0.33	0.7	2.2%	0	0.6	57	0
20	Sep_17_2015	51.96	43.32	44.29	44.35	44.31	45.3	46.12(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	150	41	35	14.82	39%	-0.29	-8.9	2.17%	0	1.5	66	0

21	Sep_16_2015	52.11	43.18	44.09	44.03	43.75	44.13	45.51(4.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	40	26	44	11.35	39%	-0.31	-23.1	2.16%	0	1.3	72	0
22	Sep_15_2015	52.27	43.16	43.91	43.74	43.65	43.32	43.5(1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-60	-10	52	6.68	35%	-0.32	-29.9	2.06%	0	0.2	71	0
23	Sep_14_2015	52.44	43.25	44.08	43.95	43.93	43.38	43.03(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-90	-20	94	8.77	35%	-0.32	-27.3	2.06%	0	-0.1	66	0
24	Sep_11_2015	52.61	43.37	44.11	44.03	44.22	43.97	43.57(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-30	-15	110	9.27	35%	-0.36	-23.3	2.05%	0	0.1	57	0
25	Sep_10_2015	52.8	43.48	43.99	44.18	44.17	44.47	44.56(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	29	50	-1	119	8.87	37%		-21.1	2.04%	0	0.5	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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