Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ COP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(ConocoPhillips)
COP latest price $56.0071 (-2.85%) ($55.5986 - $57.0727) on Mon. Jan. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.2% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $56.0071(-2.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COP declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COP declines -4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(85%)    OIH(80%)    XOP(79%)    IVE(62%)    USO(59%)
Factors Impacting COP price   COP will decline at least -1.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-11%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.1% (StdDev 2.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $47.84(-14.58%)
Resistance Level   $59.41
5 Day Moving Average   $56.69(-1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.73(-4.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.41(-5.73%)
To recent high   -14.4%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $60.071b

ConocoPhillips engages in the exploration, production, transportation and marketing of crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, natural gas liquids and liquefied natural gas on a worldwide basis. It operates through the following geographical segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe and North Africa; Asia Pacific and Middle East; Other International; and Corporate & Other. The Alaska segment primarily explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. The Lower 48 segment is consist of operations in the U.S. Lower 48 states and the Gulf od Mexico. The Canada segment is comprised of oil sands development in the Athabasca Region of northeastern Alberta and a liquids-rich unconventional play in western Canada. The Europe and North Africa segment is consist of operations and exploration activities in Norway, the United Kingdom and Libya. The Asia Pacific and Middle East segment has explorations and product operations in China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Australia; production operations in Qatar and Timor-Leste; and exploration activities in Brunei. The Other International segment handles exploration activities in Columbia and Chile. The Corporate and Other segment is comprised of interest expense, premiums incurred on the early retirement of debt, corporate overhead, certain technology activities, as well as licensing revenues received. The company was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.

$. COP price fluctuates within 4.71% (three month std-dev: 2.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.62%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.3%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.6%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2015	63.76	59.41	58.73	56.69	57	56.98	56.01(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	10	-23	-140	8.32	44%	-0.23	-13.6	2.2%	0	-1.2	25	INF
2	Jan_9_2015	63.91	59.47	59.34	57.15	57.19	57.54	57.65(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	40	-5	-124	7.98	43%	-0.22	-16.9	2.18%	0	-0.6	35	INF
3	Jan_8_2015	64.05	59.43	59.79	57.86	57.61	57.01	57.66(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-90	-20	-102	10.35	43%	-0.2	-19.8	2.21%	0	-0.6	47	INF
4	Jan_7_2015	64.18	59.45	60.33	58.59	58.5	56.85	56.26(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-69	-200	-66	-78	12.35	41%	-0.23	-18.4	2.19%	0	-1.1	56	INF
5	Jan_6_2015	64.33	59.55	60.92	59.76	59.74	58.22	55.88(-4.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-67	-180	-80	-27	18.05	41%	-0.22	-11.6	2.19%	0	-1.3	59	INF

6	Jan_5_2015	64.47	59.79	61.68	61.04	60.93	60.15	58.29(-4.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-23	-100	-48	51	10.95	43%	-0.2	3	2.14%	0	-0.5	63	INF
7	Jan_2_2015	64.6	59.95	62.08	61.79	61.71	61.27	61.2(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-50	-18	113	5.7	46%	-0.25	8.5	2.06%	0	0.5	67	INF
8	Dec_31_2014	64.76	60.01	61.94	62	62.02	61.7	61.33(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-40	-19	136	5.92	45%	-0.15	9.2	2.06%	0	0.5	68	INF
9	Dec_30_2014	64.86	60	61.49	62.36	62.2	62.14	62.1(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-10	-6	148	4.54	44%	-0.14	7.1	2.07%	0	0.8	64	INF
10	Dec_29_2014	64.95	59.89	60.81	62.28	62.4	62.33	62.26(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	36	-0	1	140	5.24	44%	-0.14	-2	2.08%	0	0.9	64	INF

11	Dec_26_2014	65.04	59.7	60.17	62.44	62.28	62.27	62.05(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-10	-4	124	3.34	44%	-0.21	-11.1	2.08%	0	0.9	54	INF
12	Dec_24_2014	65.18	59.71	59.62	62.42	62.25	62.47	62.28(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	20	17	113	3.86	43%	-0.12	-13.1	2.07%	0	0.9	50	INF
13	Dec_23_2014	65.26	59.75	59.03	61.85	61.98	62.28	63.09(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	53	40	44	80	8.17	43%	-0.14	-18.4	2.06%	0	1.2	48	INF
14	Dec_22_2014	65.35	59.8	58.45	60.46	60.89	62.03	61.73(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	150	55	29	9.51	41%	-0.15	-27.9	2.04%	0	0.6	49	INF
15	Dec_19_2014	65.45	59.95	58.01	59.07	59.33	61.68	63.03(1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	73	290	99	-4	17.82	42%	-0.14	-35.5	2.03%	0	1	56	INF

16	Dec_18_2014	65.54	60	57.65	57.55	57.65	59.74	61.94(4.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	72	260	108	-37	15.95	42%	-0.2	-43.5	2.02%	0	0.6	58	INF
17	Dec_17_2014	65.67	60.08	57.52	56.46	56.3	56.97	59.44(5.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	15	70	53	-100	15.36	39%	-0.23	-50.4	1.95%	0	-0.2	41	INF
18	Dec_16_2014	65.82	60.27	57.79	55.86	55.91	55.55	56.14(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-49	-40	-12	-161	12.95	35%	-0.29	-54.5	1.79%	0	-1.2	30	INF
19	Dec_15_2014	66.01	60.65	58.31	56.17	56.13	55.64	54.78(-1.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-74	-60	-38	-183	9.82	34%	-0.32	-54.4	1.77%	0	-1.7	24	INF
20	Dec_12_2014	66.22	61.1	58.88	56.76	56.63	56.27	55.46(-1.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-78	-50	-40	-192	8.68	34%	-0.32	-55.6	1.78%	0	-1.8	24	INF

21	Dec_11_2014	66.43	61.48	59.24	57.72	57.33	56.62	56.49(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-85	-110	-47	-200	8.18	35%	-0.3	-54	1.77%	0	-1.8	27	INF
22	Dec_10_2014	66.63	61.84	59.88	58.73	58.36	56.98	56.42(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-105	-180	-77	-190	9.84	35%	-0.28	-47.5	1.77%	0	-2.1	31	INF
23	Dec_9_2014	66.82	62.22	60.62	60.02	59.7	58.05	57.69(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-102	-210	-83	-158	12.14	36%	-0.25	-34	1.76%	0	-2	35	INF
24	Dec_8_2014	66.99	62.54	61.35	60.78	60.92	59.73	57.75(-4.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-78	-130	-63	-121	10.16	35%	-0.25	-26.3	1.76%	0	-2.4	36	INF
25	Dec_5_2014	67.16	62.88	62.12	61.26	61.44	61.34	60.25(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-0	-10	-80	9.82	37%		-23.7	1.7%	0	-1.5	41	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.