Trading Signals: COIN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 9, 2023

Trading Signals: COIN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Apr. 14, 2021 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Coinbase Global Inc)
COIN latest price $92.8950 (4.77%) ($91.3900 - $92.8950) on Thu. Nov. 9, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.6% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $92.8950(4.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COIN advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COIN advances 7.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COIN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BLOK(85%)    ARKK(55%)    ONLN(41%)    IPO(40%)    XOP(40%)
Factors Impacting COIN price   COIN will decline at least -1.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-71%)    IVW(-30%)    UUP(-24%)    QQQ(-14%)    BNDX(-12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.8% (StdDev 3.6%)
Hourly BBV 0.6 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.54(4.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.09(11.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.67(16.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   32%
Market Cap   $7.373b

$. COIN price fluctuates within 7.66% (three month std-dev: 3.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 3.17%(70%) Average negative next day return: -2.13%(30%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 5.32%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -3.8%(40%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 6.31%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.37%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20231209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2023	81.29	79.67	83.09	88.54	89.21	90.65	92.9(4.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	74	140	49	147	20.82	74%	0.43	49.6	3.6%	0.6	2.2	71	0.9
2	Nov_8_2023	80.94	78.74	81.25	86.83	87.51	88.89	88.67(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	62	130	39	131	6.78	72%	0.4	48.9	3.59%	1.9	1.9	70	1.6
3	Nov_7_2023	80.62	78.13	80.1	84.69	86.41	87.76	88.86(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	77	170	62	123	5.95	72%	0.1	45.5	3.6%	2.1	2.3	68	1.7
4	Nov_6_2023	80.54	77.59	79.3	82.31	83.65	86.13	86.52(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	65	260	53	102	9.16	72%	0.4	44.3	3.59%	0.7	2.2	60	1.9
5	Nov_3_2023	80.22	77.18	78.38	79.73	81.26	85.06	85.75(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	99	380	100	96	11.42	72%	0.4	35.7	3.63%	1	2.4	62	1.9

6	Nov_2_2023	79.9	76.75	77.2	76.8	78.23	81.17	84.37(8.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	85	320	93	61	10.7	72%	0.39	19.5	3.62%	1.6	2.5	63	1.9
7	Nov_1_2023	79.59	76.25	76.02	74.91	74.91	77.46	77.97(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	240	38	11	6.26	68%	0.33	2.6	3.51%	1.1	0.7	54	1.6
8	Oct_31_2023	79.33	76.03	76.02	74.87	74.15	75.29	76.95(4.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	80	32	1	5.65	68%	0.34	5.6	3.53%	1.9	0.3	49	1.3
9	Oct_30_2023	79.06	75.81	75.63	75.93	74.33	72.35	73.62(3.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-250	-34	-17	5.82	65%	0.27	19.9	3.51%	-0.1	-0.8	42	-0.1
10	Oct_27_2023	78.85	75.91	75.8	76.81	76.49	73.01	71.09(-5.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-57	-330	-67	-28	7.86	55%	0.22	36.3	3.48%	-1.5	-1.8	39	-1.7

11	Oct_26_2023	78.68	76.15	76.13	77.5	78.22	76.3	74.94(-3.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-41	-140	-48	-21	7.45	60%	0.28	55.9	3.53%	-1.2	-0.5	45	-1.1
12	Oct_25_2023	78.46	76.18	76.2	77.12	78.11	79.96	77.75(-5.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	200	13	-1	12.49	65%	0.35	50.1	3.52%	-0.9	0.6	56	-0.8
13	Oct_24_2023	78.19	75.88	76.15	76.38	76.97	80.15	82.26(5.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	67	310	81	25	22.5	73%	0.32	31.3	3.47%	0.6	2.2	65	0.4
14	Oct_23_2023	77.94	75.27	75.77	75.39	74.92	76.27	78.03(4.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	110	43	12	11.83	70%	0.18	9.8	3.4%	1.3	1.1	62	-0.7
15	Oct_20_2023	77.8	74.95	75.84	74.79	74.73	73.79	74.5(1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	-90	4	-3	7.77	53%	0.14	-14.8	3.34%	-0.7	-0.2	50	-1.3

16	Oct_19_2023	77.69	74.8	76.22	74.61	74.87	73.57	73.07(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-110	-36	-15	4.71	53%	0.13	-35.7	3.43%	-1.6	-0.7	47	-1.4
17	Oct_18_2023	77.59	74.88	76.22	75.09	74.99	75.68	74.06(-4.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	60	-15	-1	4.51	53%	0.18	-45.2	3.48%	-1.1	-0.3	49	-0.7
18	Oct_17_2023	77.45	75	76.47	75.79	75.34	76.17	77.3(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	60	23	27	6.8	60%	0	-42.6	3.45%	1	0.9	64	0.5
19	Oct_16_2023	77.45	75.03	76	76.24	75.41	74.3	75.03(1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-10	-140	-20	21	12.03	60%	0.23	-38.5	3.43%	0.5	0	63	0.8
20	Oct_13_2023	77.27	75.34	76.04	77.12	76.54	74.52	73.57(-2.54%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-29	-210	-49	30	5.5	76%	0.23	-26.3	3.43%	-1.2	-0.5	57	-1.3

21	Oct_12_2023	77.09	75.74	76.26	78.07	78.01	76.52	75.48(-2.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-140	-26	44	4.8	76%	0.22	-17	4.65%	-1.1	-0.1	63	0.3
22	Oct_11_2023	76.92	76.07	76.25	77.98	78.72	78.56	77.56(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	10	-1	55	5.87	80%	0.25	-16.5	4.66%	-0.8	0.4	57	0.4
23	Oct_10_2023	76.73	76.17	75.67	77.16	78.08	79.49	79.56(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	160	25	49	4.83	80%	0.26	-19.6	4.83%	0.6	0.9	54	0.2
24	Oct_9_2023	76.53	76.21	74.76	75.72	76.37	78.89	79.42(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	260	39	29	5.06	80%	0.3	-25.6	4.84%	1.3	0.8	49	-0.1
25	Oct_6_2023	76.3	76.23	73.94	74.88	74.6	76.67	78.35(4.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	180	37	5	7.3	80%		-27.5	4.84%	1.9	0.5	41	-0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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