Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 27, 2020

Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Capital One Financial Corporation)
COF latest price $70.8800 (7.72%) ($67.8200 - $71.3700) on Wed. May. 27, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.72% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $70.8800(7.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COF advances 3.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COF advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWN(75%)    IVE(74%)    IWD(74%)    XLF(73%)    SDY(71%)
Factors Impacting COF price   COF will decline at least -3.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-39%)    UUP(-27%)    TLT(-18%)    VXX(-15%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.86% (StdDev 7.72%)
Hourly BBV 1.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.86(10.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.63(15.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.6(15.06%)
To recent high   -22.5%
To recent low   67.7%
Market Cap   $32.345b

Capital One Financial Corp. is a financial holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The Credit Card segment offers domestic consumer and small business card lending, and international card lending businesses. The Consumer Banking segment consists of branch-based lending and deposit gathering activities for consumers and small businesses. The Commercial Banking segment comprises of lending, deposit gathering and treasury management services to commercial real estate and commercial and industrial customers. The company was founded by Richard D. Fairbank on July 21, 1994 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. COF price fluctuates within 6.2% (three month std-dev: 7.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 2.37%(30%) Average negative next day return: -3.3%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 8.7%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -4.87%(80%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 10.52%(30%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.94%(70%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200627

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_27_2020	75.1	61.6	61.63	63.86	64.21	67.59	70.88(7.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	48	380	48	48	6	58%	-0.4	47.9	7.72%	1.3	2.4	65	1.5
2	May_26_2020	75.4	61.18	60.27	61.73	62.13	62.8	65.8(9.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	18	90	18	18	5.17	57%	-0.83	56.3	7.67%	1.8	1.4	56	1.3
3	May_22_2020	76.03	60.83	59.58	61.25	61.23	60.84	60.21(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-50	-5	3	3.56	53%	-0.58	61.6	7.49%	-1.1	-0.2	49	1.2
4	May_21_2020	76.47	60.66	59.75	60.82	61.81	61.46	60.92(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	3	10	3	4	2.79	53%	-0.21	53.1	7.55%	-1.4	0.1	50	1.1
5	May_20_2020	76.63	60.28	59.71	60.46	61.07	61.62	61.48(2.04%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	7	90	9	-1	4.95	53%	-0.56	48.2	7.55%	-0.9	0.3	45	1.5

6	May_19_2020	77.06	59.82	59.4	58.96	59.56	62.16	60.25(-4.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	340	19	-21	4.65	53%	-0.57	33.6	7.54%	0	0.1	38	0.9
7	May_18_2020	77.5	59.41	59.45	58.53	58.06	60.52	63.4(9.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	18	270	31	-23	4.72	53%	-0.53	25.9	7.52%	1.4	0.9	50	1.4
8	May_15_2020	77.91	58.94	59.2	57.75	57.19	56.96	58.03(-1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-60	3	-38	3.36	51%	-0.59	18.8	7.42%	0.8	-0.2	51	1
9	May_14_2020	78.37	58.8	59.54	58.59	57.64	55.61	59.16(9.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-300	-20	-36	8.39	51%	-0.25	17.4	7.48%	0.8	0.1	57	0.8
10	May_13_2020	78.57	58.38	60.06	58.92	59.19	57.42	53.97(-7.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-200	-25	-22	5.64	49%	-0.64	12.9	7.37%	-1.8	-0.9	57	0.1

11	May_12_2020	79.08	58.37	61.62	59.82	60.48	59.67	58.1(-2.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-60	-12	12	5.47	49%	-0.59	18	7.32%	-1.3	-0.1	64	1.2
12	May_11_2020	79.55	58.25	62.21	60.39	60.66	60.97	59.5(-4.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	50	-7	34	4.42	49%	-0.57	26.9	7.32%	-1	0.2	66	2.3
13	May_8_2020	80.01	58.1	62.24	60.81	61.33	61.28	62.2(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	20	9	53	3	49%	-0.53	42.2	7.25%	1.2	0.8	64	2
14	May_7_2020	80.44	57.95	61.7	60.69	60.96	60.34	60.82(3.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-60	-12	47	4.21	49%	-0.56	58	7.3%	-0.1	0.6	61	1.4
15	May_6_2020	80.89	57.74	60.98	61.48	61.18	61.38	58.49(-4.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	10	-17	57	4.23	49%	-0.59	76.2	7.27%	-1.4	0.1	65	0.8

16	May_5_2020	81.37	57.48	60.4	63.73	62.72	61.57	60.96(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-180	-5	84	8.93	49%	-0.54	92.5	7.26%	-0.6	0.7	63	1.1
17	May_4_2020	81.81	56.92	59.5	64.29	64.44	60.98	61.59(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-370	-21	79	8.37	50%	-0.53	89.1	7.28%	-0.5	0.9	59	0.5
18	May_1_2020	82.25	56	58.76	63.81	65.14	63.87	61.58(-4.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-70	-19	76	6.24	50%	-0.54	65.6	7.22%	-1.1	0.9	57	0.4
19	Apr_30_2020	82.7	55.15	58.06	62.72	64.29	67.89	64.76(-7.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	470	33	81	8.41	49%	-0.46	46.4	7.21%	-0.6	1.5	54	1.3
20	Apr_29_2020	83.08	54.14	56.58	60.29	61.62	66.41	69.75(9.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	74	610	76	69	13.34	49%	-0.41	29.9	7.16%	1	2.5	63	1.7

21	Apr_28_2020	83.42	53.1	54.73	56.64	57.3	60.68	63.75(7.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	46	450	52	28	7.83	47%	-0.48	15.7	7.05%	1.3	2	63	1.2
22	Apr_27_2020	83.82	52.54	53.77	54.13	54.56	56.83	59.19(5.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	320	34	7	6.07	45%	-0.52	13.3	6.98%	1.5	1.4	64	1.4
23	Apr_24_2020	84.26	52.29	53.41	53.06	52.96	53.92	56.15(6.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	120	16	10	9.18	45%	-0.53	17.9	6.94%	2	0.9	71	0.9
24	Apr_23_2020	84.71	52.32	53.71	52.76	52.39	52.29	52.61(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-30	3	27	5.25	45%	-0.58	27.7	6.88%	1.3	0.1	65	0.4
25	Apr_22_2020	85.2	52.3	54.11	52.24	52.79	51.99	51.52(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-70	-3	39	4.83	46%		33.2	6.86%	-0.7	-0.2	63	0.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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