Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Capital One Financial Corporation)
COF latest price $93.9400 (-0.41%) ($93.3300 - $94.6400) on Fri. Mar. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $93.9400(-0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COF advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COF advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(80%)    IWN(79%)    IVE(78%)    IWD(78%)    IWM(74%)
Factors Impacting COF price   COF will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-7%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $94.38(-0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.6(0.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.37(2.81%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $42.868b

Capital One Financial Corp. is a financial holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The Credit Card segment offers domestic consumer and small business card lending, and international card lending businesses. The Consumer Banking segment consists of branch-based lending and deposit gathering activities for consumers and small businesses. The Commercial Banking segment comprises of lending, deposit gathering and treasury management services to commercial real estate and commercial and industrial customers. The company was founded by Richard D. Fairbank on July 21, 1994 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. COF price fluctuates within 2.85% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 1.13%(59%) Average negative next day return: -1.73%(41%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 2%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -1.96%(47%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 4.04%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.71%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170403

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_3_2017	85.3	91.37	93.6	94.38	94.62	94.66	93.94(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	10	-24	116	2.54	66%	0.27	65.6	1.17%	0	1	75	INF
2	Mar_2_2017	85.07	91	93.28	94.12	94.35	95.5	94.33(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	85	90	61	155	1.63	66%	0.28	54.7	1.17%	0	1.2	76	INF
3	Mar_1_2017	84.83	90.66	92.95	93.93	93.64	94.58	96.12(2.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	111	60	87	183	3.39	75%	0.28	52.9	1.15%	0	2	88	INF
4	Feb_28_2017	84.59	90.21	92.35	93.29	93.03	93.21	93.86(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	61	10	31	151	3.12	70%	0.26	48.9	1.18%	0	1.5	80	INF
5	Feb_27_2017	84.37	89.94	91.88	93.08	92.83	92.69	93.66(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	-20	3	142	1.73	70%	0.25	53.7	1.2%	0	1.6	81	INF

6	Feb_24_2017	84.16	89.69	91.36	92.71	92.7	92.85	92.61(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	44	10	12	141	2.25	70%	0.25	57.6	1.19%	0	1.4	76	INF
7	Feb_23_2017	83.95	89.53	90.96	92.29	92.36	92.96	93.41(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	71	50	43	155	2.14	72%	0.24	62.8	1.19%	0	1.9	85	INF
8	Feb_22_2017	83.75	89.26	90.38	91.8	91.7	92.55	92.89(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	77	60	55	144	1.82	72%	0.25	65.2	1.23%	0	2	74	INF
9	Feb_21_2017	83.54	89.03	89.89	91.26	91.18	91.75	92.85(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	85	40	67	139	3.83	74%	0.41	72.7	1.23%	0	2.4	74	INF
10	Feb_17_2017	83.2	88.72	89.35	90.49	90.48	90.85	91.81(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	30	34	98	4.04	75%	0.27	62.1	1.23%	0	2.3	61	INF

11	Feb_16_2017	82.98	88.49	88.95	89.81	89.97	90.62	90.51(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	60	41	75	1.8	69%	0.23	52.6	1.23%	0	1.7	55	INF
12	Feb_15_2017	82.79	88.3	88.53	89.42	89.45	90.1	90.93(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	58	50	59	54	2.3	65%	0.24	36.4	1.27%	0	2.3	53	INF
13	Feb_14_2017	82.59	88.1	88.17	88.74	88.79	89.31	90.18(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	40	39	22	2.15	68%	0.24	15.4	1.3%	0	2	57	INF
14	Feb_13_2017	82.39	87.91	87.87	88.32	88.27	88.8	89.03(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	23	40	30	-0	1.79	68%	0.22	-1	1.35%	0	1.2	51	INF
15	Feb_10_2017	82.21	87.89	87.83	88.04	88.01	88.27	88.4(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	19	20	26	-1	1.62	72%	0.21	-7.7	1.38%	0	0.6	58	INF

16	Feb_9_2017	82.04	87.86	87.88	87.95	87.77	87.75	88.54(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	-10	9	-3	1.81	75%	0.21	-13.5	1.45%	0	0.7	56	INF
17	Feb_8_2017	81.87	87.88	87.97	87.51	87.69	87.74	87.54(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	10	3	-3	2.05	71%	0.22	-31.8	1.55%	0	-0.4	55	INF
18	Feb_7_2017	81.69	87.95	88.06	87.5	87.69	87.8	88.11(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	6	30	7	2	3.51	72%	0.21	-31.2	1.59%	0	0.2	54	INF
19	Feb_6_2017	81.52	87.92	88.12	87.36	87.43	87.64	87.62(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	20	14	11	1.43	72%	0.22	-34.5	1.62%	0	-0.3	57	INF
20	Feb_3_2017	81.34	87.96	88.06	87.59	87.46	87.07	87.92(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-40	-12	-1	2.89	73%	0.22	-20.7	1.62%	0	-0	46	INF

21	Feb_2_2017	81.16	87.98	88.01	87.84	87.7	87.21	86.34(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-35	-40	-43	-10	2.15	72%	0.2	-13.5	1.61%	0	-1.7	45	INF
22	Feb_1_2017	81	88.18	88.08	88.51	88.46	87.85	87.51(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-12	-50	-18	7	2.26	71%	0.21	7.7	1.6%	0	-0.7	44	INF
23	Jan_31_2017	80.83	88.18	88.07	88.69	88.71	88.19	87.39(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-24	-40	-32	-1	2.88	71%	0.19	9.5	1.61%	0	-0.8	44	INF
24	Jan_30_2017	80.68	88.25	88	88.96	88.78	89.07	88.81(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	20	3	16	3.55	71%	0.22	7.7	1.6%	0	0.5	55	INF
25	Jan_27_2017	80.5	88.17	87.98	88.57	88.65	89.22	89.15(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	50	40	23	2.2	71%		-16.8	1.6%	0	0.9	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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