Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Capital One Financial Corporation)
COF latest price $90.1800 (1.29%) ($88.7000 - $90.5100) on Tue. Feb. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $90.1800(1.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COF advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COF advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(80%)    IWN(79%)    IVE(78%)    IWD(78%)    IWM(74%)
Factors Impacting COF price   COF will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-7%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.74(1.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.17(2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.1(2.36%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $41.152b

Capital One Financial Corp. is a financial holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The Credit Card segment offers domestic consumer and small business card lending, and international card lending businesses. The Consumer Banking segment consists of branch-based lending and deposit gathering activities for consumers and small businesses. The Commercial Banking segment comprises of lending, deposit gathering and treasury management services to commercial real estate and commercial and industrial customers. The company was founded by Richard D. Fairbank on July 21, 1994 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. COF price fluctuates within 1.17% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.12%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.78%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.23%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.76%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.26%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170314

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_14_2017	82.59	88.1	88.17	88.74	88.79	89.31	90.18(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	40	39	22	2.15	68%	0.24	15.4	1.3%	0	2	57	INF
2	Feb_13_2017	82.39	87.91	87.87	88.32	88.27	88.8	89.03(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	23	40	30	-0	1.79	68%	0.22	-1	1.35%	0	1.2	51	INF
3	Feb_10_2017	82.21	87.89	87.83	88.04	88.01	88.27	88.4(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	19	20	26	-1	1.62	72%	0.21	-7.7	1.38%	0	0.6	58	INF
4	Feb_9_2017	82.04	87.86	87.88	87.95	87.77	87.75	88.54(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	-10	9	-3	1.81	75%	0.21	-13.5	1.45%	0	0.7	56	INF
5	Feb_8_2017	81.87	87.88	87.97	87.51	87.69	87.74	87.54(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	10	3	-3	2.05	71%	0.22	-31.8	1.55%	0	-0.4	55	INF

6	Feb_7_2017	81.69	87.95	88.06	87.5	87.69	87.8	88.11(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	6	30	7	2	3.51	72%	0.21	-31.2	1.59%	0	0.2	54	INF
7	Feb_6_2017	81.52	87.92	88.12	87.36	87.43	87.64	87.62(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	20	14	11	1.43	72%	0.22	-34.5	1.62%	0	-0.3	57	INF
8	Feb_3_2017	81.34	87.96	88.06	87.59	87.46	87.07	87.92(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-40	-12	-1	2.89	73%	0.22	-20.7	1.62%	0	-0	46	INF
9	Feb_2_2017	81.16	87.98	88.01	87.84	87.7	87.21	86.34(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-35	-40	-43	-10	2.15	72%	0.2	-13.5	1.61%	0	-1.7	45	INF
10	Feb_1_2017	81	88.18	88.08	88.51	88.46	87.85	87.51(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-12	-50	-18	7	2.26	71%	0.21	7.7	1.6%	0	-0.7	44	INF

11	Jan_31_2017	80.83	88.18	88.07	88.69	88.71	88.19	87.39(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-24	-40	-32	-1	2.88	71%	0.19	9.5	1.61%	0	-0.8	44	INF
12	Jan_30_2017	80.68	88.25	88	88.96	88.78	89.07	88.81(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	20	3	16	3.55	71%	0.22	7.7	1.6%	0	0.5	55	INF
13	Jan_27_2017	80.5	88.17	87.98	88.57	88.65	89.22	89.15(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	50	40	23	2.2	71%	0.21	-16.8	1.6%	0	0.9	51	INF
14	Jan_26_2017	80.33	88.11	87.84	88.21	88.03	88.49	89.71(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	30	30	8	3	71%	0.24	-37	1.6%	0	1.5	54	INF
15	Jan_25_2017	80.14	88.1	87.75	87.61	87.59	88.07	88.38(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	15	40	24	-13	5.3	71%	0.23	-57.1	1.59%	0	0.3	42	INF

16	Jan_24_2017	79.96	88.15	87.79	87.39	87.34	87.57	88.73(2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	16	20	27	-17	2.71	71%	0.11	-60	1.59%	0	0.5	49	INF
17	Jan_23_2017	79.87	88.17	87.65	86.92	87.02	87.12	86.87(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	10	-6	-42	2.82	69%	0.2	-76.9	1.57%	0	-1.2	50	INF
18	Jan_20_2017	79.71	88.34	87.83	87.31	87.06	87.1	87.34(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-10	-4	-27	1.68	70%	0.21	-60.2	1.57%	0	-0.9	52	INF
19	Jan_19_2017	79.54	88.5	87.93	87.42	87.47	86.92	86.72(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-40	-15	-28	1.7	71%	0.19	-53.7	1.57%	0	-1.6	46	INF
20	Jan_18_2017	79.39	88.67	88.28	87.91	87.74	87.02	87.28(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-60	-46	-27	1.71	71%	0.23	-38.1	1.59%	0	-1.2	43	INF

21	Jan_17_2017	79.21	88.79	88.45	88.25	88.24	88.03	86.37(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20	-20	-22	-13	2.19	71%	0.35	-31.8	1.59%	0	-2.1	40	INF
22	Jan_13_2017	78.93	89	88.57	88.46	88.54	88.46	88.85(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-0	6	-4	2.33	73%	0.25	-31.6	1.52%	0	-0.1	49	INF
23	Jan_12_2017	78.73	89.01	88.41	88.41	88.29	88.45	87.89(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	10	-10	-25	2.06	73%	0.25	-34.4	1.54%	0	-1	41	INF
24	Jan_11_2017	78.53	89.09	88.45	88.51	88.44	88.62	89.14(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	10	12	-24	1.89	71%	0.27	-26.3	1.52%	0	0	43	INF
25	Jan_10_2017	78.32	89.1	88.49	88.74	88.47	88.13	88.98(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-40	-11	-29	3.14	71%		-9.3	1.54%	0	-0.1	46	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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