Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Capital One Financial Corporation)
COF latest price $73.0500 (0.01%) ($72.6900 - $73.7100) on Fri. Oct. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $73.0500(0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COF advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COF advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(80%)    IWD(78%)    IWN(78%)    IVE(77%)    IWM(74%)
Factors Impacting COF price   COF will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-16%)    IGOV(-8%)    IPO(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.94(0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72.17(1.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.71(1.87%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   18%
Market Cap   $33.335b

Capital One Financial Corp. is a financial holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The Credit Card segment offers domestic consumer and small business card lending, and international card lending businesses. The Consumer Banking segment consists of branch-based lending and deposit gathering activities for consumers and small businesses. The Commercial Banking segment comprises of lending, deposit gathering and treasury management services to commercial real estate and commercial and industrial customers. The company was founded by Richard D. Fairbank on July 21, 1994 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. COF price fluctuates within 1.31% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.72%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.93%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.96%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.04%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.59%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_7_2016	68.7	71.71	72.17	72.94	73.12	73.18	73.05(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	10	7	64	2.7	90%	0.04	38.9	1.16%	0	1.4	60	INF
2	Oct_6_2016	68.67	71.63	71.99	72.69	72.83	73.33	73.04(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	50	36	74	3.26	90%	0.03	35.7	1.16%	0	1.6	64	INF
3	Oct_5_2016	68.65	71.58	71.89	72.16	72.37	73.06	73.7(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	60	80	57	70	3.13	76%	0.07	24.8	1.15%	0	2.5	62	INF
4	Oct_4_2016	68.6	71.47	71.67	71.77	71.73	72.34	72.76(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	42	60	38	52	4.1	75%	0.04	23.5	1.23%	0	1.8	60	INF
5	Oct_3_2016	68.57	71.38	71.44	71.57	71.46	71.69	72.13(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	20	34	40	3.56	75%	0.06	26.4	1.24%	0	1.2	54	INF

6	Sep_30_2016	68.53	71.35	71.32	71.31	71.23	71.12	71.83(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	2	-10	-0	7	3.2	78%	0.03	34.1	1.24%	0	0.8	46	INF
7	Sep_29_2016	68.51	71.31	71.17	71.2	71.15	71.24	70.36(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-15	10	-16	-12	3.17	79%	0	46.6	1.26%	0	-1.5	45	INF
8	Sep_28_2016	68.51	71.37	71.24	71.56	71.34	71.34	71.75(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10	9	4	2.5	87%	0.01	89.2	1.3%	0	0.6	46	INF
9	Sep_27_2016	68.5	71.3	71.13	71.54	71.43	71.07	71.8(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-40	-6	-10	2.41	71%	0.03	95.5	1.33%	0	0.8	50	INF
10	Sep_26_2016	68.48	71.2	71.06	71.29	71.46	71.35	70.81(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-0	-15	-19	3.08	69%	0.03	82	1.54%	0	-0.5	50	INF

11	Sep_23_2016	68.46	71.13	71.22	71.33	71.45	71.79	71.28(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	10	40	14	-1	3.1	61%	0.03	74.6	1.7%	0	0.2	48	INF
12	Sep_22_2016	68.44	71.02	71.25	71.11	71.25	71.57	72.14(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	18	40	24	-1	3.29	61%	0.03	60.9	1.72%	0	1.1	55	INF
13	Sep_21_2016	68.42	70.85	71.25	70.88	70.83	71.11	71.68(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	30	12	-10	4.08	61%	0	51.7	1.72%	0	0.8	50	INF
14	Sep_20_2016	68.42	70.71	71.24	70.67	70.67	70.92	70.56(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	5	20	10	-10	2.51	61%	-0.04	45	1.72%	0	-0.1	53	INF
15	Sep_19_2016	68.45	70.63	71.29	70.8	70.62	70.55	70.98(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10	-4	-7	3.16	61%	-0.01	45.6	1.71%	0	0.3	58	INF

16	Sep_16_2016	68.46	70.51	71.36	71.1	70.75	70.43	70.21(-1.1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-13	-50	-19	7	3.21	61%	-0.06	51.9	1.71%	0	-0.2	58	INF
17	Sep_15_2016	68.5	70.43	71.47	71.39	71.1	70.69	70.99(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-10	-50	-21	25	3.1	61%	-0.04	56.1	1.7%	0	0.4	64	INF
18	Sep_14_2016	68.53	70.3	71.47	71.65	71.44	71.06	70.59(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-50	-22	47	2.78	52%	-0.09	63.9	1.7%	0	0.2	64	INF
19	Sep_13_2016	68.59	70.21	71.53	71.88	71.72	71.51	71.22(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-30	-7	60	3.5	51%	-0.04	70.1	1.9%	0	0.7	66	INF
20	Sep_12_2016	68.62	70.08	71.39	71.84	71.68	71.81	72.5(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	10	1	68	3.29	51%	-0.06	70.9	1.89%	0	1.6	75	INF

21	Sep_9_2016	68.66	69.85	71.06	71.67	71.56	71.93	71.65(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	30	14	73	4.06	49%	-0.04	70.7	1.89%	0	1.3	74	INF
22	Sep_8_2016	68.69	69.66	70.79	71.55	71.43	71.56	72.28(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	10	15	75	2.69	49%	-0.04	76.2	1.9%	0	1.9	81	INF
23	Sep_7_2016	68.72	69.39	70.43	71.42	71.25	71.18	71.77(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	18	-10	1	69	2.52	49%	-0.01	76.5	1.9%	0	1.7	78	INF
24	Sep_6_2016	68.73	69.18	70.13	71.13	71.22	71.31	70.99(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	10	8	66	2.56	51%	-0.04	81	1.9%	0	1.4	71	INF
25	Sep_2_2016	68.76	69.04	69.9	70.86	70.94	71.33	71.64(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	40	20	65	2.45	48%		84.8	1.92%	0	2.1	78	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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