Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Capital One Financial Corporation)
COF latest price $72.7700 (0.26%) ($71.1000 - $73.0100) on Tue. Dec. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $72.7700(0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COF declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COF declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(81%)    IWD(78%)    IWN(78%)    IVE(77%)    IWM(74%)
Factors Impacting COF price   COF will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-9%)    GLD(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $68.18(-6.31%)
Resistance Level   $76.24
5 Day Moving Average   $73.71(-1.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.14(-1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.24(-4.55%)
To recent high   -10.6%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $33.208b

Capital One Financial Corp. is a financial holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The Credit Card segment offers domestic consumer and small business card lending, and international card lending businesses. The Consumer Banking segment consists of branch-based lending and deposit gathering activities for consumers and small businesses. The Commercial Banking segment comprises of lending, deposit gathering and treasury management services to commercial real estate and commercial and industrial customers. The company was founded by Richard D. Fairbank on July 21, 1994 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. COF price fluctuates within 3.23% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 1.17%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.88%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 2.65%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.24%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 2.77%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.39%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2015	76.91	76.24	74.14	73.71	73.45	72.57	72.77(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-90	-33	-107	3.37	63%	-0.12	-50.2	1.8%	0	-1.4	33	INF
2	Dec_21_2015	77	76.55	74.54	74.23	74.32	72.96	72.58(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-65	-120	-49	-114	2.5	63%	-0.12	-44.8	1.8%	0	-1.7	30	INF
3	Dec_18_2015	77.09	76.9	75.11	74.38	74.83	74.32	72.47(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-60	-30	-43	-110	5.1	59%	-0.12	-41.6	1.81%	0	-2	35	INF
4	Dec_17_2015	77.18	77.27	75.79	74.62	74.94	75.68	74.38(-2.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	80	12	-82	2.89	62%	-0.06	-37.7	1.82%	0	-1.4	37	INF
5	Dec_16_2015	77.23	77.48	76.09	74.87	74.55	75.34	76.36(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	60	35	-75	4.18	66%	-0.04	-38.6	1.81%	0	-0.6	41	INF

6	Dec_15_2015	77.26	77.49	76.3	74.68	74.5	74.19	75.37(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-40	3	-93	3.04	66%	-0.04	-48.2	1.81%	0	-1.1	40	INF
7	Dec_14_2015	77.29	77.63	76.72	74.98	74.79	73.76	73.31(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-72	-100	-59	-111	3.45	64%	-0.08	-51.9	1.78%	0	-2.3	31	INF
8	Dec_11_2015	77.35	77.84	77.27	75.98	75.68	74.81	73.68(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-72	-90	-65	-94	2.92	64%	-0.22	-56.9	1.77%	0	-2.6	30	INF
9	Dec_10_2015	77.52	78.06	77.83	77.12	76.82	75.82	75.61(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-45	-100	-39	-61	2.43	68%	-0.21	-54.6	1.75%	0	-1.9	34	INF
10	Dec_9_2015	77.68	78.23	78.19	77.46	77.54	76.56	75.42(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-56	-90	-55	-57	3.52	68%	-0.21	-59.6	1.75%	0	-2.5	41	INF

11	Dec_8_2015	77.84	78.44	78.54	78.13	78.08	77.82	76.86(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-35	-30	-38	-26	2.63	74%	-0.19	-58.9	1.74%	0	-1.6	55	INF
12	Dec_7_2015	77.99	78.62	78.75	78.72	78.61	78.52	78.33(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	-10	1	8	2.26	78%	-0.17	-41.3	1.75%	0	-0.3	53	INF
13	Dec_4_2015	78.12	78.62	78.75	78.76	78.83	78.35	79.37(2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-4	-40	-10	14	2.67	78%	-0.15	-25.2	1.75%	0	0.5	60	INF
14	Dec_3_2015	78.24	78.76	78.87	78.69	78.91	78.7	77.33(-1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-16	-10	-26	15	3.04	76%	-0.17	-28.9	1.74%	0	-1.2	52	INF
15	Dec_2_2015	78.37	78.92	78.99	79.03	79.09	79.31	78.77(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	20	8	36	2.57	81%	-0.13	-23.3	1.73%	0	-0.1	49	INF

16	Dec_1_2015	78.47	78.92	78.78	79	78.99	79.12	79.82(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	10	14	26	2.2	71%	-0.11	-17.7	1.73%	0	0.6	51	INF
17	Nov_30_2015	78.56	79.02	78.59	78.8	78.74	79.12	78.51(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	10	-4	4	3	71%	-0.11	-19.9	1.79%	0	-0.4	41	INF
18	Nov_27_2015	78.65	79.05	78.45	78.99	78.81	78.87	79(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	-0	3	-6	0.91	73%	-0.2	-23.9	1.79%	0	-0	38	INF
19	Nov_25_2015	78.81	79.1	78.29	79.11	79.01	78.6	79.04(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-40	-3	-13	1.78	76%	-0.11	-3	1.87%	0	-0	48	INF
20	Nov_24_2015	78.9	79.2	78.26	78.96	79.08	78.76	78.63(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-20	-8	-25	2.57	69%	-0.11	19.2	1.89%	0	-0.4	43	INF

21	Nov_23_2015	78.99	79.24	78.32	78.5	78.88	79.41	78.82(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	60	11	-32	1.97	69%	0	25.7	1.95%	0	-0.3	42	INF
22	Nov_20_2015	78.99	79.28	78.45	78.32	78.36	79.4	79.46(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	26	90	42	-23	3.01	64%	-0.11	38.2	1.99%	0	0.1	47	INF
23	Nov_19_2015	79.08	79.35	78.61	77.82	77.78	78.35	79.58(1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	23	50	39	-27	3.75	64%	-0.11	41	2%	0	0.1	52	INF
24	Nov_18_2015	79.17	79.14	78.58	77.38	77.29	77.31	78.29(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	-0	-0	-55	3.7	64%	-0.13	28.8	1.99%	0	-0.4	44	INF
25	Nov_17_2015	79.27	78.95	78.79	77.5	77.36	77.22	76.37(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-20	-17	-63	3.35	62%		30.5	1.97%	0	-1.2	34	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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