Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Capital One Financial Corporation)
COF latest price $82.8200 (1.81%) ($81.3600 - $82.9600) on Wed. Apr. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $82.8200(1.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COF advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COF advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(80%)    IVE(77%)    IWM(74%)    PEJ(71%)    VYM(71%)
Factors Impacting COF price   COF will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-10%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.25(1.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.7(2.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.29(3.15%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $37.794b

Capital One Financial Corp. is a financial holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The Credit Card segment offers domestic consumer and small business card lending, and international card lending businesses. The Consumer Banking segment consists of branch-based lending and deposit gathering activities for consumers and small businesses. The Commercial Banking segment comprises of lending, deposit gathering and treasury management services to commercial real estate and commercial and industrial customers. The company was founded by Richard D. Fairbank on July 21, 1994 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. COF price fluctuates within 1.36% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.33%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.49%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.64%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.81%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.18%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150515

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2015	79.65	80.29	80.7	81.25	81.15	81.67	82.82(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	62	40	50	96	3.7	53%	0.05	19.9	1.22%	0	2.3	78	0
2	Apr_14_2015	79.61	80.2	80.3	80.72	80.63	81.02	81.35(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	30	30	65	2.77	47%	0.03	25	1.2%	0	1.2	57	0
3	Apr_13_2015	79.59	80.19	80.08	80.38	80.37	80.62	81.09(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	20	24	39	1.64	47%	0.01	23.1	1.24%	0	0.9	46	0
4	Apr_10_2015	79.58	80.13	79.84	80.23	80.12	80.24	80.61(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	10	9	15	2.23	47%	0.01	24.4	1.23%	0	0.5	44	0
5	Apr_9_2015	79.57	80.17	79.63	80.17	80.01	80.12	80.36(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	0	8	1	1.86	45%	0.01	33.3	1.24%	0	0.2	47	0

6	Apr_8_2015	79.56	80.07	79.47	80.07	79.98	80	80.19(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	-0	14	-15	2.56	45%	0.01	26.7	1.26%	0	0.1	39	0
7	Apr_7_2015	79.55	79.96	79.45	79.8	79.77	79.9	79.67(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	10	7	-34	2.3	45%	0	12.8	1.26%	0	-0.2	37	0
8	Apr_6_2015	79.55	79.97	79.59	79.7	79.5	79.95	80.32(0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	30	22	-33	2.1	43%	0.01	13.4	1.27%	0	0.3	40	0
9	Apr_2_2015	79.54	79.9	79.65	79.37	79.33	79.65	80.31(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	21	30	38	-32	1.97	40%	0.01	6.7	1.31%	0	0.3	52	0
10	Apr_1_2015	79.53	79.84	79.66	79.01	78.98	79.04	79.87(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	0	10	-59	3.61	40%	0	-2.6	1.31%	0	0	41	0

11	Mar_31_2015	79.53	79.78	79.82	78.8	78.77	79.01	78.82(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	20	-6	-56	2.67	38%	-0.01	-11	1.31%	0	-0.8	55	0
12	Mar_30_2015	79.54	79.78	80.08	79.07	78.96	78.91	79.2(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10	-1	-27	1.96	38%	0	-9.8	1.31%	0	-0.5	59	0
13	Mar_27_2015	79.54	79.81	80.31	79.48	79.28	78.54	78.65(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-70	-44	-24	2.64	38%	-0.01	-3.9	1.3%	0	-0.9	47	0
14	Mar_26_2015	79.55	79.82	80.46	79.97	80	79.02	78.51(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-48	-80	-61	-9	2.29	38%	-0.01	1.3	1.31%	0	-1.1	51	0
15	Mar_25_2015	79.56	79.87	80.77	80.4	80.64	80.03	78.84(-1.62%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-36	-40	-55	20	1.92	38%	-0.01	10.1	1.31%	0	-0.9	52	0

16	Mar_24_2015	79.57	79.92	80.76	80.95	81.02	80.98	80.14(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-0	-20	52	2.12	40%	0	24.7	1.3%	0	0.2	57	0
17	Mar_23_2015	79.57	79.93	80.56	81.22	81.2	81.25	81.25(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	22	0	7	66	1.73	42%	0.04	33.6	1.29%	0	1.1	59	0
18	Mar_20_2015	79.54	79.86	80.41	81.27	81.2	81.07	81.13(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10	1	71	3.65	42%	0.03	40.6	1.28%	0	1.1	58	0
19	Mar_19_2015	79.52	79.81	80.2	81.04	81.15	81.15	80.62(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	0	-3	64	2.65	42%	0.01	41.3	1.29%	0	0.7	59	0
20	Mar_18_2015	79.51	79.75	80.04	81.21	81.02	81.23	81.62(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	10	22	81	2.18	46%	0.04	54.7	1.28%	0	1.7	60	0

21	Mar_17_2015	79.48	79.63	79.73	80.53	80.77	81.15	81.5(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	48	40	44	60	2.2	49%	0.04	51.2	1.35%	0	1.9	57	0
22	Mar_16_2015	79.45	79.54	79.48	79.77	80	80.81	81.47(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	34	80	36	27	2.89	47%	0.04	49.2	1.36%	0	2.1	52	0
23	Mar_13_2015	79.42	79.4	79.23	79.45	79.33	80.39	80(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	90	54	20	2.77	44%	0.01	59	1.36%	0	0.7	49	0
24	Mar_12_2015	79.41	79.36	79.09	79.24	79.03	79.2	81.45(4.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	38	10	49	3	4.56	43%	0.04	72.8	1.35%	0	2.5	53	0
25	Mar_11_2015	79.38	79.16	78.83	78.73	78.84	78.26	78.23(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-50	-28	-48	2.26	37%		70	1.28%	0	-1.2	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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