Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Capital One Financial Corporation)
COF latest price $81.6200 (0.15%) ($80.5100 - $81.9100) on Wed. Mar. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $81.6200(0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COF advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COF advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(80%)    IVE(77%)    IWM(74%)    PEJ(71%)    VYM(71%)
Factors Impacting COF price   COF will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-26%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-10%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.21(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.04(1.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.75(2.34%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $37.246b

Capital One Financial Corp. is a financial holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The Credit Card segment offers domestic consumer and small business card lending, and international card lending businesses. The Consumer Banking segment consists of branch-based lending and deposit gathering activities for consumers and small businesses. The Commercial Banking segment comprises of lending, deposit gathering and treasury management services to commercial real estate and commercial and industrial customers. The company was founded by Richard D. Fairbank on July 21, 1994 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. COF price fluctuates within 1.37% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.73%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.29%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.45%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.39%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.67%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.78%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150418

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_18_2015	79.51	79.75	80.04	81.21	81.02	81.23	81.62(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	10	22	81	2.18	46%	0.04	54.7	1.28%	0	1.7	60	INF
2	Mar_17_2015	79.48	79.63	79.73	80.53	80.77	81.15	81.5(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	48	40	44	60	2.2	49%	0.04	51.2	1.35%	0	1.9	57	INF
3	Mar_16_2015	79.45	79.54	79.48	79.77	80	80.81	81.47(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	34	80	36	27	2.89	47%	0.04	49.2	1.36%	0	2.1	52	INF
4	Mar_13_2015	79.42	79.4	79.23	79.45	79.33	80.39	80(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	90	54	20	2.77	44%	0.01	59	1.36%	0	0.7	49	INF
5	Mar_12_2015	79.41	79.36	79.09	79.24	79.03	79.2	81.45(4.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	38	10	49	3	4.56	43%	0.04	72.8	1.35%	0	2.5	53	INF

6	Mar_11_2015	79.38	79.16	78.83	78.73	78.84	78.26	78.23(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-50	-28	-48	2.26	37%	-0.03	70	1.28%	0	-1.2	44	INF
7	Mar_10_2015	79.4	79.11	78.98	78.82	78.98	78.86	77.72(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-33	-0	-29	-44	2.86	36%	-0.04	72.8	1.28%	0	-1.5	41	INF
8	Mar_9_2015	79.43	79.08	79.25	79.1	79.06	79.42	79.84(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	30	18	-15	3.05	39%	0.01	84.9	1.24%	0	0.8	48	INF
9	Mar_6_2015	79.42	78.91	79.26	78.96	79	79.09	78.98(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	13	10	22	-13	3.09	39%	-0.01	82.9	1.22%	0	0.1	52	INF
10	Mar_5_2015	79.43	78.77	79.39	78.91	78.82	78.69	78.89(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10	-12	-22	2.04	40%	0	74.1	1.23%	0	0.1	48	INF

11	Mar_4_2015	79.43	78.61	79.45	78.96	78.88	78.92	78.65(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	0	-8	-8	2.34	40%	-0.03	68.7	1.24%	0	0	60	INF
12	Mar_3_2015	79.45	78.46	79.53	79.16	79.03	78.94	79.14(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-2	-10	-7	12	2.26	40%	0	64.2	1.24%	0	0.4	65	INF
13	Mar_2_2015	79.45	78.24	79.62	79.43	79.24	78.84	79.15(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-40	-24	33	3.49	40%	-0.01	52.9	1.24%	0	0.5	66	INF
14	Feb_27_2015	79.46	77.97	79.61	79.62	79.6	79.13	78.71(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	-40	-34	52	3.33	40%	-0.01	39.9	1.24%	0	0.3	67	INF
15	Feb_26_2015	79.47	77.79	79.68	79.95	79.88	79.64	79.15(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-20	-20	90	2.73	40%	-0.01	40.5	1.25%	0	0.6	72	INF

16	Feb_25_2015	79.48	77.56	79.53	80.01	79.96	80.07	79.66(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	10	2	115	3.1	40%	0.01	34.9	1.25%	0	0.9	77	INF
17	Feb_24_2015	79.47	77.41	79.29	79.94	79.83	80.13	80.5(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	20	17	129	2.23	40%	0.03	34	1.26%	0	1.4	81	INF
18	Feb_23_2015	79.45	77.27	78.92	79.84	79.67	79.85	80.06(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	10	20	142	2.4	40%	0.01	38	1.27%	0	1.3	83	INF
19	Feb_20_2015	79.44	77.13	78.55	79.61	79.53	79.53	80.39(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	-0	9	149	2.59	40%	0.01	38.5	1.28%	0	1.6	88	INF
20	Feb_19_2015	79.43	76.9	78.09	79.39	79.4	79.5	79.42(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	46	10	11	151	2.19	40%	0	37.4	1.28%	0	1.3	70	INF

21	Feb_18_2015	79.43	76.78	77.69	78.97	79.23	79.52	79.34(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	61	40	31	152	2.54	40%	0	29.7	1.29%	0	1.4	72	INF
22	Feb_17_2015	79.43	76.66	77.3	78.51	78.64	79.31	80(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	64	60	40	135	3.47	40%	0.01	19.6	1.3%	0	2	60	INF
23	Feb_13_2015	79.42	76.47	76.74	77.85	78.08	78.94	78.88(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	76	90	66	105	3.22	38%	-0.01	2	1.29%	0	1.6	50	INF
24	Feb_12_2015	79.43	76.36	76.18	77.32	77.33	77.97	79.29(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	56	60	55	59	3.96	38%	0	-20.9	1.3%	0	2.1	54	INF
25	Feb_11_2015	79.43	76.21	75.72	76.62	76.79	77.22	77.32(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	50	38	22	1.92	33%		-51.6	1.26%	0	0.9	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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