Trading Signals: CNC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: CNC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 9, 2004 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Centene Corporation)
CNC latest price $17.6000 (0.86%) ($17.0400 - $17.6300) on Thu. May. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.1% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $17.6000(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CNC advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CNC advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CNC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(56%)    SPY(48%)    VT(46%)    IWM(44%)    XLF(42%)
Factors Impacting CNC price   CNC will decline at least -1.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-8%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(-5%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.05% (StdDev 2.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.54(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.23(2.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.65(5.71%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   26.4%
Market Cap   $10.196b

Centene Corp. engages in the provision of programs and services to government sponsored healthcare programs. It operates through the Managed Care and Specialty Services segments. The Medicaid Managed Care segment provides health plan coverage to individuals through government subsidized programs through Medicaid. The Specialty Services segment offers healthcare services and products to state programs, correctional facilities, healthcare organizations, employer groups, and other commercial organizations. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in St. Louis, MO.

$. CNC price fluctuates within 5.71% (three month std-dev: 2.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.15%(67%) Average negative next day return: 0%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 4.61%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.11%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.1%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.5%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2014	15.59	16.65	17.23	17.54	17.55	17.47	17.6(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-30	5	90	1.98	56%	0.19	83.2	2.1%	0	1	68	0
2	May_14_2014	15.56	16.49	17.13	17.41	17.47	17.59	17.45(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	60	4	76	1.67	58%	0.19	69.1	2.12%	0	0.9	65	0
3	May_13_2014	15.53	16.35	17.04	17.35	17.35	17.63	17.59(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	110	18	82	1.85	60%	0.19	63.2	2.13%	0	1.1	73	0
4	May_12_2014	15.5	16.19	16.92	17.2	17.16	17.34	17.74(2.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	32	70	18	75	2.64	55%	0.26	59	2.14%	0	1.4	79	0
5	May_9_2014	15.46	16.04	16.79	17.03	16.99	17.06	17.31(2.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	20	11	90	1.83	53%	0.19	54.8	2.18%	0	1.1	88	0

6	May_8_2014	15.43	15.9	16.72	16.89	16.88	16.99	16.95(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	40	8	119	1.77	53%	0.19	48.6	2.19%	0	1	89	0
7	May_7_2014	15.4	15.79	16.69	16.8	16.77	16.91	17.14(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	47	50	11	154	2.52	53%	0.2	45.4	2.2%	0	1.2	84	0
8	May_6_2014	15.37	15.68	16.6	16.69	16.66	16.76	16.88(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	52	40	10	177	2.23	53%	0.2	41.3	2.19%	0	1.1	77	0
9	May_5_2014	15.34	15.56	16.52	16.59	16.57	16.63	16.88(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	54	20	6	196	2.12	57%	0.2	34.6	2.2%	0	1.3	77	0
10	May_2_2014	15.31	15.45	16.28	16.51	16.53	16.57	16.58(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	20	1	184	1.61	55%	0.2	31.1	2.26%	0	1.1	74	0

11	May_1_2014	15.28	15.38	16.04	16.52	16.51	16.52	16.5(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	43	0	-2	179	2.27	55%	0.13	32.7	2.28%	0	1.2	74	0
12	Apr_30_2014	15.26	15.32	15.82	16.56	16.54	16.49	16.6(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	47	-20	3	180	2.18	55%	0.2	33.6	2.28%	0	1.4	68	0
13	Apr_29_2014	15.23	15.26	15.61	16.5	16.57	16.5	16.38(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	-20	2	172	2.95	55%	0.13	32.8	2.28%	0	1.3	67	0
14	Apr_28_2014	15.21	15.21	15.43	16.44	16.51	16.59	16.5(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	63	50	24	181	3.3	55%	0.13	30.4	2.28%	0	1.5	72	0
15	Apr_25_2014	15.19	15.15	15.23	16	16.42	16.64	16.63(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	69	170	44	145	3.08	55%	0.07	12.1	2.26%	0	1.9	68	0

16	Apr_24_2014	15.18	15.07	15.01	15.46	15.81	16.42	16.68(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	51	340	42	78	3.91	53%	0.13	-13.8	2.28%	0	2.3	61	0
17	Apr_23_2014	15.16	15.01	14.81	14.97	15.15	16.2	16.3(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	43	520	49	26	4.08	51%	0.07	-40.2	2.28%	0	2	57	0
18	Apr_22_2014	15.15	14.97	14.66	14.61	14.7	15.2	16.07(12.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.5	31	260	48	-21	12.88	51%	0.07	-62.4	2.28%	0	1.9	52	0
19	Apr_21_2014	15.14	14.96	14.48	14.3	14.28	14.11	14.32(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-90	-9	-124	6.73	39%	-0.07	-78.1	1.67%	0	-1.1	30	0
20	Apr_17_2014	15.15	15.05	14.53	14.35	14.37	14.2	13.92(-2.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-51	-80	-21	-142	6.63	35%	-0.07	-64	1.63%	0	-1.7	24	0

21	Apr_16_2014	15.16	15.17	14.67	14.48	14.5	14.45	14.24(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-20	-17	-129	2.32	37%	0	-60	1.6%	0	-1.5	30	0
22	Apr_15_2014	15.16	15.27	14.78	14.62	14.59	14.45	14.49(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-30	-9	-117	1.65	38%	-0.07	-55.9	1.59%	0	-1.3	28	0
23	Apr_14_2014	15.17	15.35	14.89	14.62	14.69	14.55	14.52(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-70	-3	-107	2.28	38%	0	-52.7	1.61%	0	-1.4	28	0
24	Apr_11_2014	15.17	15.42	14.99	14.7	14.72	14.63	14.58(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-40	-11	-121	3.05	38%	0	-57	1.6%	0	-1.5	26	0
25	Apr_10_2014	15.17	15.49	15.08	14.74	14.75	14.84	14.55(-2.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-44	40	-13	-135	2.8	36%		-59.6	1.61%	0	-1.7	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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