Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $142.6300 (0.22%) ($141.5400 - $143.1700) on Tue. Dec. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $142.6300(0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   CMI advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(71%)    IWD(71%)    XLI(71%)    SDY(70%)    VYM(67%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $143.49(-0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $143.04(-0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $140.67(1.39%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   21.6%
Market Cap   $21.052b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.62%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.95%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.38%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -1.79%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.23%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.65%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_13_2016	128.19	140.67	143.04		143.1	142.28	142.63(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-50	-21	46	1.14	75%	0.19	67.3	1.48%	0	0.7	60	0
2	Dec_12_2016	127.95	140.29	142.65	143.49	143.65	142.57	142.31(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-27	-50	-49	39	1.3	75%	0.2	70	1.49%	0	0.6	65	0
3	Dec_9_2016	127.7	140.03	142.3	143.6	143.8	143.92	142.25(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	10	-31	58	1.38	70%	0.19	89.6	1.5%	0	0.7	69	0
4	Dec_8_2016	127.46	139.81	142.21	143.74	143.92	144.74	143.78(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	62	40	47	106	1.95	70%	0.2	116.1	1.54%	0	1.2	71	0
5	Dec_7_2016	127.2	139.45	141.91	143.51	143.39	143.68	146.46(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	57	10	38	113	2.47	75%	0.24	141.5	1.51%	0	2.2	73	0

6	Dec_6_2016	126.9	138.67	141.16	142.58	142.84	143.68	142.66(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	20	18	97	1.45	62%	0.2	144.3	1.51%	0	1.3	63	0
7	Dec_5_2016	126.65	138.08	140.6	141.69	142.37	143.11	142.86(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	50	46	89	1.78	62%	0.19	129.2	1.78%	0	1.4	70	0
8	Dec_2_2016	126.41	137.19	139.84	140.78	140.96	142.57	142.95(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	80	43	72	1.03	62%	0.19	95	1.79%	0	1.3	62	0
9	Dec_1_2016	126.17	136.18	139.1	140.45	140.1	141.63	142.63(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	73	70	72	75	2.24	62%	0.2	74.2	1.79%	0	1.2	59	0
10	Nov_30_2016	125.92	135.17	138.5	140.08	139.75	139.35	141.78(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-30	27	53	1.97	62%	0.18	61.7	1.78%	0	1.1	60	0

11	Nov_29_2016	125.69	134.22	138.06	139.6	139.67	138.58	138.22(-0.07%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-25	-50	-45	35	1.06	59%	0.18	54	1.76%	0	0.6	67	0
12	Nov_28_2016	125.47	133.7	137.74	139.32	139.83	140.14	138.32(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	30	-0	60	1.69	59%	0.19	53.8	1.76%	0	0.7	68	0
13	Nov_25_2016	125.23	133.13	137.61	138.66	139.11	140.77	141.29(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	80	90	70	111	0.48	62%	0.36	50.8	1.74%	0	1.3	81	0
14	Nov_23_2016	124.78	132.36	137.21	137.49	137.7	139.52	140.8(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	101	100	87	141	1.51	62%	0.24	47	1.73%	0	1.4	83	0
15	Nov_22_2016	124.48	131.62	136.78	136.7	136.51	137.46	139.35(1.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	81	40	55	157	1.73	62%	0.12	44	1.72%	0	1.3	82	0

16	Nov_21_2016	124.33	130.92	135.95	136.39	136.11	135.89	136.83(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	51	-20	14	162	1.02	61%	0.2	43.5	1.71%	0	1	79	0
17	Nov_18_2016	124.08	130.39	135.35	135.97	136.04	135.57	135.03(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-20	-31	149	1.28	61%	0.18	43.6	1.71%	0	0.8	62	0
18	Nov_17_2016	123.86	129.96	134.39	136.36	136.32	136.34	135.43(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	30	0	-14	161	1.08	61%	0.21	47.5	1.71%	0	1	64	0
19	Nov_16_2016	123.6	129.52	133.13	136.84	136.62	136.51	136.87(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	42	-10	-1	169	1.12	61%	0.25	52.9	1.7%	0	1.4	67	0
20	Nov_15_2016	123.29	129.06	131.67	136.83	137.04	136.31	137.78(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	-30	7	165	1.96	61%	0.26	56.6	1.7%	0	1.7	68	0

21	Nov_14_2016	122.97	128.48	130.14	135.45	136.66	136.72	134.74(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	30	4	139	4.13	58%	0.2	52.6	1.68%	0	1.3	66	0
22	Nov_11_2016	122.73	128.01	129.4	134.57	135.12	137.77	136.99(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	115	150	96	170	1.9	58%	0.16	47.4	1.66%	0	2	67	0
23	Nov_10_2016	122.54	127.4	128.3	132.03	133.05	136.6	137.81(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	214	210	224	182	3.99	58%	0.18	32.7	1.66%	0	2.6	69	0
24	Nov_9_2016	122.32	126.76	127.04	128.82	129.23	132.46	136.85(4.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	159	180	175	110	3.18	58%	0.18	6.3	1.66%	0	3.1	67	0
25	Nov_8_2016	122.1	126.24	125.89	125.8	126.1	129.5	130.86(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	141	200	169	55	1.7	52%		-32.2	1.57%	0	2	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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