Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $115.8900 (1.04%) ($113.7000 - $116.3400) on Mon. Jul. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.94% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $115.8900(1.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(70%)    IWD(70%)    XLI(70%)    SDY(69%)    IWN(66%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -0.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.97% (StdDev 1.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $112.53(2.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $111.2(4.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $112.69(2.84%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $17.105b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 2.76% (three month std-dev: 1.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.42%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.93%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.68%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.05%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.22%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.6%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2016	110.59	112.69	111.2	112.53	112.33	114.29	115.89(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	54	120	72	-2	1.08	48%	0.18	-35.5	1.94%	0	1	49	0
2	Jul_8_2016	110.39	112.66	110.61	111.93	111.32	112.31	114.7(3.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	37	50	58	-27	1.07	48%	0.16	-38	1.93%	0	0.7	51	0
3	Jul_7_2016	110.21	112.81	110.9	111.48	111.11	110.37	111.26(0.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	-60	5	-43	0.94	46%	0.13	-34.7	1.9%	0	-0.5	48	0
4	Jul_6_2016	110.07	113.17	111.3	111.18	111.07	110.32	110.61(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-50	-31	-57	1.7	46%	0.1	-29.5	1.91%	0	-0.7	46	0
5	Jul_5_2016	109.96	113.49	111.75	110.44	110.93	111.86	110.18(-2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	10	70	26	-40	1.26	46%	0.13	-31.9	1.92%	0	-0.9	47	0

6	Jul_1_2016	109.82	113.81	112.3	109.56	109.86	111.83	112.92(0.43%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	47	130	73	-31	1.46	48%	0.16	-36.5	1.88%	0	-0.3	49	0
7	Jun_30_2016	109.64	113.85	112.41	109.07	108.63	110	112.44(2.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	13	80	37	-59	1.34	48%	0.15	-40.5	1.87%	0	-0.4	44	0
8	Jun_29_2016	109.48	113.99	112.49	110.38	109.01	107.9	109.73(2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-110	-31	-81	1.75	45%	0.09	-28.4	1.85%	0	-1.2	35	0
9	Jun_28_2016	109.38	114.23	112.89	111.59	111.25	107.27	106.94(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-128	-260	-131	-118	2.94	42%	0.08	-13.8	1.83%	0	-2.2	29	0
10	Jun_27_2016	109.29	114.65	113.57	113.27	113.48	110.12	105.75(-4.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-174	-200	-190	-126	3.91	42%	0.06	10.2	1.83%	0	-3	31	0

11	Jun_24_2016	109.22	115.09	114.46	115.31	115.34	115.24	110.5(-7.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-65	-10	-69	-54	5.46	46%	0.12	51.9	1.76%	0	-2.2	40	0
12	Jun_23_2016	109.09	115.27	115.04	116.05	116.28	116.84	118.96(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	65	40	79	21	1.57	55%	0.27	83.5	1.51%	0	2	64	0
13	Jun_22_2016	108.8	114.97	114.92	114.93	115.27	115.45	115.78(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	20	12	-17	1.21	51%	0.25	80.1	1.49%	0	0.5	52	0
14	Jun_21_2016	108.53	114.69	115.18	114.46	114.48	115.72	115.36(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	26	80	35	-2	1.22	51%	0.23	51.7	1.5%	0	0.3	54	0
15	Jun_20_2016	108.28	114.36	115.34	113.98	114.08	115.09	115.97(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	66	60	83	15	1.36	51%	0.25	26.6	1.49%	0	0.6	55	0

16	Jun_17_2016	108.01	113.99	115.36	113.53	113.31	113.24	114.18(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10	-3	-18	2.23	53%	0.26	13.9	1.48%	0	0.1	55	0
17	Jun_16_2016	107.73	113.72	115.34	113.9	113.52	113.07	113.35(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-40	-42	-26	1.25	53%	0.26	6.7	1.53%	0	-0.1	52	0
18	Jun_15_2016	107.45	113.6	115.55	114.95	114.52	113.39	113.44(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-80	-53	-5	1.44	53%	0.27	10.5	1.54%	0	-0.1	53	0
19	Jun_14_2016	107.16	113.64	115.66	116.04	115.66	113.97	112.95(-0.69%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-65	-110	-91	15	1.98	53%	0.27	19.6	1.54%	0	-0.2	62	0
20	Jun_13_2016	106.87	113.7	115.66	116.88	117.03	115.66	113.74(-1.95%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-38	-80	-71	60	1.59	53%	0.26	29.8	1.54%	0	0	68	0

21	Jun_10_2016	106.59	113.61	115.85	117.39	117.57	117.36	116(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10	-22	110	1.26	56%	0.29	29.9	1.52%	0	0.8	75	0
22	Jun_9_2016	106.28	113.51	115.62	116.92	117.2	118.4	118.64(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	75	80	49	152	1.07	60%	0.33	27	1.49%	0	1.6	85	0
23	Jun_8_2016	105.93	113.28	115.06	116.22	116.19	117.78	118.87(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	112	100	93	167	1.84	55%	0.34	22.7	1.49%	0	1.9	71	0
24	Jun_7_2016	105.57	113.03	114.15	115.27	115.1	116	117.15(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	82	50	68	123	0.97	58%	0.11	8.7	1.54%	0	1.6	55	0
25	Jun_6_2016	105.45	112.77	113.27	114.73	114.28	114.59	116.3(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	10	25	77	1.46	58%		-4.2	1.57%	0	1.5	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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