Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $114.1300 (-0.3%) ($112.2000 - $114.1500) on Wed. Jun. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.56% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $114.1300(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(71%)    IWD(71%)    SDY(70%)    XLI(70%)    IWN(66%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -0.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.78% (StdDev 1.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $113.7(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $111.47(2.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $112.62(1.34%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $16.846b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 2.06% (three month std-dev: 1.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.23%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.27%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.23%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.41%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.95%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_1_2016	104.53	112.62	111.47	113.7	113.75	113.82	114.13(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	10	21	15	1.4	58%	0.27	-31.1	1.56%	0	0.7	47	INF
2	May_31_2016	104.25	112.8	111.42	112.82	113.3	113.76	114.47(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	40	40	4	1.94	55%	0.46	-32.3	1.58%	0	0.6	47	INF
3	May_27_2016	103.77	112.88	111.32	111.56	112.09	113.68	113.24(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	45	110	62	-6	1.41	58%	0.26	-41	1.59%	0	0.1	52	INF
4	May_26_2016	103.5	113.04	111.15	110.55	110.77	112.85	113.5(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	80	140	111	-15	1.76	58%	0.24	-47.9	1.6%	0	0.2	46	INF
5	May_25_2016	103.25	113.18	111.18	109.47	109.45	110.5	113.17(3.15%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	45	70	76	-49	2.03	58%	0.24	-54.7	1.6%	0	-0	48	INF

6	May_24_2016	103	113.34	111.28	108.97	108.71	108.7	109.71(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	-10	-13	-96	1.19	55%	0.19	-58.7	1.56%	0	-1.2	39	INF
7	May_23_2016	102.8	113.67	111.77	109.88	109.33	108.41	108.16(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-67	-70	-53	-108	0.87	55%	0.06	-55.4	1.57%	0	-1.9	28	INF
8	May_20_2016	102.74	114.04	112.24	111.09	110.88	108.72	108.21(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-86	-140	-78	-109	1.32	55%	0.2	-52.4	1.58%	0	-2.2	34	INF
9	May_19_2016	102.54	114.46	112.94	111.8	112.05	110.24	108.08(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-123	-110	-123	-121	2.95	55%	0.2	-51.2	1.59%	0	-2.8	33	INF
10	May_18_2016	102.34	114.84	113.57	113.06	113.16	113.04	110.67(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-58	-0	-51	-79	2.08	58%	0.21	-44.9	1.56%	0	-2.3	38	INF

11	May_17_2016	102.13	115.16	113.98	113.87	113.98	113.85	114.28(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	-10	16	-47	1.47	64%	0.26	-28.9	1.51%	0	-0.5	44	INF
12	May_16_2016	101.87	115.32	114.36	113.97	114.07	113.29	114.19(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-50	-25	-55	1.41	67%	0.13	-0.7	1.52%	0	-0.7	45	INF
13	May_13_2016	101.74	115.45	114.58	113.62	114.2	114.11	111.79(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-38	10	-31	-59	1.92	64%	0.23	22.3	1.53%	0	-2.3	44	INF
14	May_12_2016	101.51	115.65	115.11	114.26	114.14	114.86	114.39(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	13	40	25	-24	1.55	69%	0.26	68.6	1.5%	0	-0.9	46	INF
15	May_11_2016	101.25	115.67	115.33	114.16	113.92	114.29	114.72(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	19	20	31	-19	1.93	69%	0.29	96	1.51%	0	-0.7	50	INF

16	May_10_2016	100.96	115.63	115.53	114.1	113.82	113.42	114.78(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-29	-30	-25	-42	2.22	62%	0.3	78.3	1.53%	0	-0.4	46	INF
17	May_9_2016	100.66	115.33	115.67	114.87	114.41	113.55	112.42(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-47	-60	-49	-42	1.94	59%	0.29	66.4	1.58%	0	-1	36	INF
18	May_6_2016	100.37	115.09	115.97	115.69	115.41	114.22	114.99(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-80	-52	-34	1.14	64%	0.3	60.8	1.54%	0	-0	46	INF
19	May_5_2016	100.07	114.7	116.09	116.1	116.12	115.27	113.89(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-50	-61	-28	1.25	64%	0.28	51.6	1.55%	0	-0.2	48	INF
20	May_4_2016	99.79	114.31	116.25	116.64	116.79	116.59	114.44(-3.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-16	-10	-21	-0	3.75	72%	0.28	46.4	1.56%	0	0	52	INF

21	May_3_2016	99.51	113.95	116.49	117.1	116.98	116.96	118.6(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-0	7	26	3.67	81%	0.33	45.3	1.74%	0	1	68	INF
22	May_2_2016	99.18	113.42	116.36	116.61	116.83	116.96	116.53(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	20	7	45	2.52	74%	0.3	41.3	1.74%	0	0.7	77	INF
23	Apr_29_2016	98.88	113.05	116.37	116.29	116.59	116.99	117.03(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	30	19	73	1.78	77%	0.28	40.5	1.77%	0	0.9	81	INF
24	Apr_28_2016	98.6	112.69	116.2	116.11	116.12	116.68	116.61(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	30	22	96	1.82	78%	0.28	43.4	1.8%	0	0.9	81	INF
25	Apr_27_2016	98.32	112.35	116.01	115.81	115.78	116.19	116.72(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	20	22	119	3.12	78%		45.1	1.81%	0	1	83	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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