Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $114.5700 (0.77%) ($112.7400 - $115.1700) on Thu. Apr. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.91% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $114.5700(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(71%)    IVE(70%)    XLI(70%)    SDY(69%)    IWN(66%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -0.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.955% (StdDev 1.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $109.72(4.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $108.82(5.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $109(5.11%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   37.2%
Market Cap   $16.911b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 2.09% (three month std-dev: 1.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.81%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.91%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.79%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 5.42%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.57%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160514

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_14_2016	96.29	109	108.82	109.72	109.84	112.65	114.57(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	119	180	136	69	2.46	71%	0.17	54.5	1.91%	0	2.4	68	INF
2	Apr_13_2016	96.13	108.57	108.27	107.83	108	109.25	113.7(5.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	78	90	95	27	4.13	68%	0.17	46.4	1.92%	0	2.6	65	INF
3	Apr_12_2016	95.97	108.1	107.75	106.37	106.54	107.03	107.8(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	40	11	-32	1.08	65%	0.1	36.2	1.83%	0	-0.2	44	INF
4	Apr_11_2016	95.87	107.99	107.95	106.42	106.32	106.75	106.26(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	30	9	-34	1.4	65%	0.08	35.6	1.83%	0	-0.9	34	INF
5	Apr_8_2016	95.79	107.9	108.18	106.98	106.57	106.05	106.28(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-50	-16	-40	1.33	65%	0.08	45	1.84%	0	-0.8	37	INF

6	Apr_7_2016	95.71	107.77	108.33	107.75	107.33	105.89	105.09(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-55	-110	-57	-50	2.28	65%	0.07	53.1	1.85%	0	-1.2	35	INF
7	Apr_6_2016	95.64	107.66	108.64	108.72	108.21	107.1	106.43(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-56	-90	-64	-33	3.4	65%	0.09	63.4	1.85%	0	-0.5	53	INF
8	Apr_5_2016	95.55	107.46	108.96	109.3	109.02	108.76	108.02(-0.98%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-20	-20	-28	3	1.99	65%	0.1	66.3	1.84%	0	0.2	64	INF
9	Apr_4_2016	95.45	107.32	109.21	109.68	109.54	109.32	109.09(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-20	6	39	1.35	66%	0.12	82.1	1.84%	0	0.6	65	INF
10	Apr_1_2016	95.34	107	109.31	109.55	109.28	109.29	110.12(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-10	-3	50	1.67	66%	0.14	84.8	1.85%	0	1	72	INF

11	Mar_31_2016	95.21	106.56	109.24	109	109.01	109.75	109.94(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	50	29	73	1.75	66%	0.11	82.5	1.87%	0	1.1	74	INF
12	Mar_30_2016	95.11	106.06	108.9	108.56	108.26	109.27	109.31(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	60	32	80	1.51	66%	0.06	78.4	1.88%	0	1	75	INF
13	Mar_29_2016	95.05	105.61	108.47	108.59	107.88	108.27	109.93(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	10	21	86	1.47	66%	0.05	80.7	1.88%	0	1.2	78	INF
14	Mar_28_2016	95	105.01	108	108.73	108.19	107.25	108.44(0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-80	-19	75	1.28	66%	-0.11	76.7	1.88%	0	0.9	59	INF
15	Mar_24_2016	95.1	104.49	107.59	109.06	108.76	107.5	107.4(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-28	-90	-61	72	1.73	66%	0.01	74.4	1.87%	0	0.7	65	INF

16	Mar_23_2016	95.09	104.02	107.18	109.49	109.58	109.13	107.74(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-30	-19	103	2.26	68%	0	74.6	1.87%	0	0.9	68	INF
17	Mar_22_2016	95.09	103.45	106.65	109.22	109.43	109.13	109.45(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	52	40	27	127	1.54	69%	0.03	71.1	1.88%	0	1.4	76	INF
18	Mar_21_2016	95.06	102.85	105.89	108.25	108.31	110.03	110.61(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	84	110	67	133	1.71	69%	0.07	65.8	1.88%	0	1.8	75	INF
19	Mar_18_2016	94.99	102.22	105.29	107.15	106.79	108.83	110.09(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	108	120	94	148	4.66	69%	0.07	64.6	1.88%	0	2	79	INF
20	Mar_17_2016	94.92	101.53	104.47	105.93	105.42	106.59	109.58(3.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	93	60	78	136	2.96	69%	0.07	63.4	1.89%	0	2.2	78	INF

21	Mar_16_2016	94.85	100.88	103.61	104.57	104.43	104.75	106.38(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	20	35	108	2	68%	0.04	62.4	1.88%	0	1.7	74	INF
22	Mar_15_2016	94.81	100.42	102.92	103.71	103.64	104.24	104.58(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	40	18	99	1.7	68%	-0.08	56.7	1.87%	0	1.4	75	INF
23	Mar_14_2016	94.89	100.13	102.49	103.15	103.08	104.12	105.12(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	55	70	38	107	2.36	68%	-0.08	55	1.87%	0	1.8	70	INF
24	Mar_11_2016	94.97	99.71	101.75	103.14	102.56	103.03	104(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	20	30	104	2.11	64%	-0.08	56.3	1.87%	0	1.7	64	INF
25	Mar_10_2016	95.05	99.27	101.13	102.79	102.54	102.05	102.79(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	-40	3	90	2.4	64%		49.6	1.91%	0	1.4	67	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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