Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $137.8800 (0.77%) ($136.0900 - $138.6000) on Mon. Apr. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $137.8800(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(70%)    IVE(69%)    XLB(66%)    VYM(65%)    XLF(64%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Resistance Level   $138.44
5 Day Moving Average   $138.1(-0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $137.87(0.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $138.44(-0.4%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $20.351b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 0.92% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.44%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.91%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.27%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150506

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2015	142.34	138.44	137.87	138.1	137.81	137.42	137.88(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-30	-16	-19	1.29	48%	-0.06	-90.2	1.34%	0	-0.4	42	INF
2	Apr_2_2015	142.43	138.56	137.92	138.02	138.25	137.6	136.82(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-30	-19	-24	2.38	43%	-0.08	-83.6	1.4%	0	-1.1	43	INF
3	Apr_1_2015	142.54	138.82	138	138.01	138.14	138.2	137.02(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	10	-20	-32	1.04	43%	-0.06	-71.5	1.41%	0	-1	42	INF
4	Mar_31_2015	142.63	139.15	138	137.96	137.92	138.91	138.64(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	23	50	32	-5	1.1	43%	-0.06	-56.7	1.42%	0	-0.2	54	INF
5	Mar_30_2015	142.72	139.46	138.27	138.02	137.75	138.08	140.14(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	10	43	1	0.92	43%	-0.04	-46.1	1.42%	0	0.3	55	INF

6	Mar_27_2015	142.78	139.6	138.26	137.66	137.8	136.94	137.46(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-40	-28	-36	0.81	40%	-0.06	-46.5	1.39%	0	-0.9	40	INF
7	Mar_26_2015	142.87	139.84	138.45	137.85	138.19	137.42	136.78(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-51	-30	-53	-46	1.19	40%	-0.06	-45.6	1.4%	0	-1.3	40	INF
8	Mar_25_2015	142.95	140.12	138.78	137.99	138.53	138.66	136.76(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	20	-18	-36	1.07	40%	-0.03	-43.6	1.4%	0	-1.5	36	INF
9	Mar_24_2015	143	140.4	138.88	138.6	138.55	138.97	138.94(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	11	20	24	-28	0.95	42%	-0.05	-34.2	1.4%	0	-0.7	36	INF
10	Mar_23_2015	143.07	140.54	138.81	138.55	138.38	138.41	138.38(-0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	-0	3	-58	0.87	42%	-0.06	-29.4	1.39%	0	-1	32	INF

11	Mar_20_2015	143.15	140.71	139.06	138.98	138.5	138.13	138.4(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-30	-22	-68	1.53	42%	-0.04	-19.2	1.4%	0	-1.1	38	INF
12	Mar_19_2015	143.21	140.92	139.25	139.15	139.06	138.35	137.45(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	-40	-27	-73	1.24	42%	-0.06	-4.8	1.41%	0	-1.7	40	INF
13	Mar_18_2015	143.29	141.11	139.73	139.67	139.25	138.86	139.83(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-30	-31	-68	1.77	49%	-0.03	15.7	1.39%	0	-0.7	44	INF
14	Mar_17_2015	143.34	141.14	140.1	139.18	139.4	139.76	138.7(-1.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-4	20	12	-53	1.34	49%	0.03	20.4	1.43%	0	-1.3	41	INF
15	Mar_16_2015	143.3	141.18	140.73	139.09	139.09	139.64	140.5(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	30	29	-40	1.25	49%	0.02	30.4	1.43%	0	-0.4	47	INF

16	Mar_13_2015	143.27	141.13	141	139.18	138.67	139.04	139.27(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	10	6	-43	1.39	49%	0.02	39.1	1.43%	0	-1	44	INF
17	Mar_12_2015	143.24	141.03	141.31	139.41	139.09	138.54	140.04(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	-30	-5	-45	1.55	46%	0.06	36.2	1.44%	0	-0.5	43	INF
18	Mar_11_2015	143.15	140.82	141.54	139.85	139.54	138.3	137.37(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-82	-70	-86	-68	1	42%	0.01	19.7	1.44%	0	-1.4	42	INF
19	Mar_10_2015	143.13	140.75	142.06	141.17	140.82	139.64	138.26(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-72	-70	-82	-40	1.45	38%	0.06	14.5	1.44%	0	-0.9	47	INF
20	Mar_9_2015	143.05	140.6	142.47	142.59	142.19	140.79	140.95(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-52	-80	-68	-4	1.19	41%	0.08	13.6	1.49%	0	0.1	60	INF

21	Mar_6_2015	142.94	140.37	142.56	143.09	143.33	142	140.42(-1.3%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-46	-60	-65	11	1.74	38%	0.07	12.4	1.51%	0	0	59	INF
22	Mar_5_2015	142.84	140.26	142.79	143.45	143.76	143.6	142.27(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-11	-0	-30	47	2.1	38%	0.11	9.3	1.51%	0	0.6	74	INF
23	Mar_4_2015	142.69	140.32	142.67	143.44	143.53	144.66	143.95(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	60	37	90	2.85	38%	0.12	12.4	1.51%	0	1.1	84	INF
24	Mar_3_2015	142.52	140.35	142.3	143.09	143.08	143.91	145.36(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	82	40	71	114	6.47	43%	0.15	13.2	1.5%	0	1.5	92	INF
25	Mar_2_2015	142.31	140.19	141.66	142.37	142.35	142.41	143.43(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	33	0	13	91	1.89	43%		1.3	1.54%	0	1	91	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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