Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 26, 2014

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $145.9000 (0.19%) ($144.5500 - $147.3300) on Wed. Feb. 26, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $145.9000(0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(64%)    IWM(63%)    SPY(63%)    XAR(59%)    EWG(57%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $144.42(1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $142.81(2.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $136.51(6.88%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $21.535b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 5.35% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.38%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.47%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.51%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.54%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.14%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140326

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_26_2014	134.04	136.51	142.81	144.42	144.75	145.34	145.9(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	81	40	40	205	1.37	56%	0.13	54.8	1.39%	0	1.3	84	0
2	Feb_25_2014	133.87	135.62	141.81	143.24	143.56	145.28	145.63(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	107	90	67	228	1.83	56%	0.11	46.8	1.39%	0	1.4	85	0
3	Feb_24_2014	133.72	134.63	140.58	142.73	142.57	144.15	146.01(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	148	70	107	269	2.49	56%	0.1	38.3	1.39%	0	1.6	87	0
4	Feb_21_2014	133.59	133.62	139.41	141.96	141.82	141.83	142.83(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	96	-0	40	263	1.89	53%	0.09	29.3	1.36%	0	1.4	75	0
5	Feb_20_2014	133.47	133.03	138.24	141.57	141.59	140.99	141.75(1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	53	-30	-13	250	2.3	53%	0.05	25.4	1.36%	0	1.4	70	0

6	Feb_19_2014	133.4	132.62	136.8	140.94	141.11	141.81	139.98(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	75	40	16	251	2.06	50%	0.06	22.2	1.36%	0	1.2	69	0
7	Feb_18_2014	133.32	132.38	135.5	140.05	140.15	142.2	143.1(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	169	100	132	280	1.58	53%	0.08	18.8	1.36%	0	1.9	75	0
8	Feb_14_2014	133.22	132.02	133.58	138.03	138.13	140.41	142.12(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	175	120	150	250	2.22	53%	0.06	9.5	1.34%	0	1.9	77	0
9	Feb_13_2014	133.14	131.71	132.02	136.48	136.01	138.11	140.92(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	158	100	137	222	2.3	53%	0.06	0.5	1.34%	0	1.9	75	0
10	Feb_12_2014	133.06	131.47	130.69	134.45	134.66	135.86	138.59(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	163	70	156	182	2.34	51%	0.04	-12.8	1.33%	0	1.5	57	0

11	Feb_11_2014	133.01	131.33	129.61	132.06	132.18	133.91	135.52(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	86	90	85	89	2.14	48%	0.02	-30.1	1.31%	0	0.9	48	0
12	Feb_10_2014	132.99	131.31	128.86	130.24	130.15	133.46	133.02(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	159	180	188	70	1.51	45%	-0.02	-43.5	1.29%	0	0.4	42	0
13	Feb_7_2014	133.01	131.52	128.13	128.38	128.04	130.45	134.33(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	154	120	205	2	2.58	44%	-0.01	-53.2	1.29%	0	0.6	41	0
14	Feb_6_2014	133.02	131.69	127.27	126.91	126.01	126.85	130.78(3.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	30	55	-126	3.45	39%	-0.02	-59.2	1.29%	0	-0.2	35	0
15	Feb_5_2014	133.05	132.08	127.31	126.45	125.92	125.63	126.67(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-49	-30	-3	-188	2.49	36%	-0.04	-61.1	1.23%	0	-1	25	0

16	Feb_4_2014	133.1	132.74	128.06	126.83	126.58	125.18	126.4(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-103	-80	-66	-214	2.49	36%	-0.06	-59	1.24%	0	-1.2	26	0
17	Feb_3_2014	133.18	133.36	129.01	127.28	127.36	126.21	123.7(-2.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-125	-60	-92	-222	2.32	31%	-0.08	-59.3	1.21%	0	-1.8	22	0
18	Jan_31_2014	133.28	134.17	130.39	127.73	127.9	127.98	126.98(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-62	10	-19	-191	1.89	37%	-0.05	-62.9	1.18%	0	-1.5	23	0
19	Jan_30_2014	133.35	134.77	131.45	127.59	127.85	128.51	128.48(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	40	22	-183	1.42	35%	-0.03	-68.6	1.18%	0	-1.4	23	0
20	Jan_29_2014	133.39	135.4	132.36	128.31	127.76	127.81	128.59(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-65	-10	-23	-189	2.1	30%	-0.02	-64.9	1.21%	0	-1.5	23	0

21	Jan_28_2014	133.42	135.98	133.22	129.57	129.11	127.18	128.63(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-105	-120	-80	-178	1.57	30%	-0.01	-57.6	1.38%	0	-1.7	22	0
22	Jan_27_2014	133.43	136.57	134	131.13	131.12	127.71	125.95(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-209	-180	-207	-215	2.53	26%	-0.01	-49.2	1.35%	0	-2.6	17	0
23	Jan_24_2014	133.44	137.31	135.28	133.48	133.73	131.04	126.31(-4.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-200	-140	-207	-177	3.03	28%	0	-37.2	1.36%	0	-3.4	17	0
24	Jan_23_2014	133.44	138.02	136.59	135.79	136.14	134.54	132.08(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-111	-70	-113	-104	2.39	30%	0.04	-15.5	1.27%	0	-2.9	28	0
25	Jan_22_2014	133.39	138.38	137.35	136.93	137.2	136.43	134.88(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-70	-30	-70	-71	1.59	32%		15.6	1.26%	0	-2.3	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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