Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 24, 2013

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $137.8600 (1.71%) ($135.5000 - $137.9000) on Thu. Oct. 24, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $137.8600(1.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(63%)    SPY(63%)    XAR(59%)    EWG(57%)    PEJ(57%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    BNDX(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $136.99(0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $135.22(1.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $133.72(3.1%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   19%
Market Cap   $20.348b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 1.74% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.98%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.82%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.58%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_24_2013	123.62	133.72	135.22	136.99	136.98	136.52	137.86(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	22	-20	-9	114	1.34	67%	0.19	37.9	1.14%	0	1.8	60	NAN
2	Oct_23_2013	123.39	133.51	134.69	136.21	136.66	137.14	135.54(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	36	30	11	111	1.73	66%	0.14	28.8	1.14%	0	1	59	NAN
3	Oct_22_2013	123.22	133.4	134.11	135.76	135.97	137.44	138.18(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	112	80	107	125	1.12	69%	0.16	23.7	1.11%	0	2.3	56	NAN
4	Oct_21_2013	123.02	133.16	133.24	134.63	134.66	136.19	136.91(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	103	80	108	89	0.6	69%	0.14	14.9	1.11%	0	2.1	58	NAN
5	Oct_18_2013	122.85	132.97	132.63	134.06	133.76	134.5	136.44(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	84	30	91	63	1.05	69%	0.15	6.6	1.12%	0	2.2	57	NAN

6	Oct_17_2013	122.66	132.85	132.26	133.23	133.06	133.14	133.98(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	0	19	15	0.78	68%	0.14	-5.3	1.1%	0	0.7	50	NAN
7	Oct_16_2013	122.49	132.89	132.02	132.97	132.71	133.02	133.29(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	14	10	19	-0	1.21	68%	0.13	-4.4	1.1%	0	0.3	47	NAN
8	Oct_15_2013	122.33	132.91	132.11	132.18	132.49	132.98	132.52(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	30	59	1	1.91	68%	0.08	-14.9	1.11%	0	-0.3	47	NAN
9	Oct_14_2013	122.23	132.89	132.12	131.57	131.55	132.41	134.07(1.33%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	24	50	40	-25	1.21	70%	0.16	-25.4	1.11%	0	0.8	49	NAN
10	Oct_11_2013	122.04	132.86	131.97	130.98	131.02	132.01	132.31(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	37	50	60	-34	0.94	69%	0.12	-22.8	1.1%	0	-0.4	46	NAN

11	Oct_10_2013	121.89	132.93	132.07	131.16	130.93	130.69	132.65(2.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	-20	28	-48	1.03	69%	0.13	0	1.11%	0	-0.2	44	NAN
12	Oct_9_2013	121.73	132.95	132.2	130.99	131.07	130.03	129.34(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-98	-50	-94	-108	0.97	66%	0.08	14.9	1.07%	0	-2.4	30	NAN
13	Oct_8_2013	121.63	133.13	132.66	132.05	131.99	131.16	129.47(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-71	-50	-70	-74	1.36	66%	0.1	59.2	1.09%	0	-2.8	38	NAN
14	Oct_7_2013	121.51	133.27	133.13	132.7	132.64	132.1	131.15(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-46	-30	-46	-44	0.96	69%	0.12	99	1.07%	0	-1.6	50	NAN
15	Oct_4_2013	121.36	133.21	133.4	133.04	132.91	132.81	133.21(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-10	-19	-26	0.79	73%	0.16	92.1	1.06%	0	0	48	NAN

16	Oct_3_2013	121.17	132.93	133.52	133.11	132.93	133.19	131.76(-2.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-3	10	1	-14	1.25	72%	0.15	85.6	1.06%	0	-0.5	45	NAN
17	Oct_2_2013	120.99	132.73	133.88	133.59	132.97	133.01	134.64(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10	11	10	1.61	78%	0.17	89.9	1.04%	0	0.8	57	NAN
18	Oct_1_2013	120.79	132.37	133.78	133.41	133.21	132.68	132.73(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-30	-23	-3	1.22	77%	0.17	81.9	1.03%	0	0.1	54	NAN
19	Sep_30_2013	120.59	131.98	133.73	133.65	133.46	132.94	132.87(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-30	-48	-6	0.93	77%	0.16	82.8	1.04%	0	0.3	57	NAN
20	Sep_27_2013	120.4	131.53	133.84	133.79	133.73	133.74	133.54(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-8	-0	-19	27	0.89	77%	0.16	70.3	1.04%	0	0.6	68	NAN

21	Sep_26_2013	120.21	131.06	133.86	134	133.89	133.98	134.19(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	20	0	3	69	0.9	77%	0.17	62.5	1.04%	0	0.8	77	NAN
22	Sep_25_2013	120.01	130.51	133.75	134.21	134.12	133.71	133.7(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-20	-11	94	0.98	77%	0.18	59.9	1.04%	0	0.8	75	NAN
23	Sep_24_2013	119.8	129.95	133.63	134.22	134.33	133.81	133.93(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-20	-21	114	1.36	64%	0.19	55	1.04%	0	0.9	76	NAN
24	Sep_23_2013	119.57	129.48	133.42	133.82	134.08	134.52	133.61(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	26	30	-6	123	0.92	64%	0.2	53.7	1.22%	0	0.9	80	NAN
25	Sep_20_2013	119.33	129.06	133.04	133.87	133.75	134.86	134.57(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	83	60	53	173	1.75	58%		55.5	1.22%	0	1.2	85	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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