Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 26, 2011

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $105.8500 (0.7%) ($104.0000 - $106.3300) on Thu. May. 26, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.93% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $105.8500(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI declines -4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(67%)    SPY(67%)    EWG(62%)    PEJ(60%)    EEM(58%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -0.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    TIP(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    GLD(1%)    IGOV(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.965% (StdDev 1.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $97.23(-8.14%)
Resistance Level   $111.3
5 Day Moving Average   $104.84(0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $106.76(-0.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $111.3(-4.9%)
To recent high   -11.9%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $15.623b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 4.8% (three month std-dev: 1.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.63%(60%) Average negative next day return: -5.67%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.8%(100%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.31%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.32%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110626

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2011	107.93	111.3	106.76	104.84	104.16	104.42	105.85(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-37	-0	2	-152	2.4	59%	-0.06	-45.8	1.93%	0	-1	28	0
2	May_25_2011	108	111.89	107.44	105.57	104.77	103.72	105.11(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-65	-90	-32	-163	3.52	59%	-0.06	-34.8	1.94%	0	-1.3	30	0
3	May_24_2011	108.07	112.6	108.3	106.19	106.2	103.89	102.68(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-96	-150	-71	-169	3.59	58%	-0.08	-21.6	1.93%	0	-1.9	34	0
4	May_23_2011	108.16	113.33	109.84	106.95	107.06	105.82	104.16(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-114	-80	-97	-164	3.05	55%	-0.06	-6.7	1.92%	0	-1.9	31	0
5	May_20_2011	108.22	113.61	111.18	108.14	108.04	108.51	106.41(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	30	-12	-107	2.55	52%	-0.04	3.4	2.07%	0	-1.6	31	0

6	May_19_2011	108.26	113.8	112.27	108.92	108.72	108.31	109.51(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-30	3	-99	2.39	54%	0	12.7	2.05%	0	-1	31	0
7	May_18_2011	108.26	113.79	112.91	109.64	109.29	107.58	108.19(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-84	-120	-70	-124	3.81	53%	-0.02	19.9	2.06%	0	-1.3	35	0
8	May_17_2011	108.28	113.73	113.42	110.81	110.76	109.14	106.49(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-105	-100	-95	-134	3.82	53%	-0.04	26.2	2.06%	0	-1.6	30	0
9	May_16_2011	108.32	113.64	114.43	113.2	112.75	111.01	110.12(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-81	-120	-75	-97	2.92	56%	0.02	34.3	2.02%	0	-0.7	41	0
10	May_13_2011	108.3	113.46	115.26	114.69	114.68	112.38	110.29(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-80	-140	-87	-59	2.45	57%	0	37.9	2.01%	0	-0.6	57	0

11	May_12_2011	108.3	113.27	116.26	116.08	116.16	114.5	113.12(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-67	-100	-85	-12	2.25	59%	0.01	39.8	2%	0	-0	59	0
12	May_11_2011	108.29	112.94	116.75	116.63	117.37	116.98	114.04(-3.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-0	-12	48	3.02	59%	0.03	38	2.01%	0	0.2	62	0
13	May_10_2011	108.26	112.56	117.27	116.36	116.93	117.83	118.41(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	70	19	92	1.25	63%	0.09	31.6	1.96%	0	1	72	0
14	May_9_2011	108.16	112	117.06	115.86	116.07	117.76	117.59(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	110	46	132	1.23	63%	0.09	27.2	1.96%	0	1	75	0
15	May_6_2011	108.06	111.54	116.2	116	115.83	116.04	117.24(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	10	31	141	2.14	65%	0.08	26.8	1.94%	0	1	68	0

16	May_5_2011	107.97	111.16	115.43	116.59	116.28	114.38	115.89(2.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	-120	-55	129	3.72	65%	0.06	31.6	1.95%	0	0.9	67	0
17	May_4_2011	107.9	110.85	114.72	116.96	117.57	115.62	112.66(-2.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-36	-100	-92	133	3.72	64%	0.05	35.2	1.93%	0	0.3	63	0
18	May_3_2011	107.85	110.75	114.1	118.25	118.5	118.19	115.93(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10	-40	182	2.19	68%	0.08	45.6	1.91%	0	1	69	0
19	May_2_2011	107.76	110.46	112.88	118.34	118.79	119.52	118.29(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	95	50	54	217	2.36	70%	0.13	53.4	1.89%	0	1.5	68	0
20	Apr_29_2011	107.62	110.06	111.56	116.32	117.76	118.8	120.18(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	110	100	83	191	2.84	70%	0.15	51.8	1.86%	0	2.1	68	0

21	Apr_28_2011	107.46	109.48	110.03	114.07	115.16	118.07	117.75(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	106	210	92	146	2.27	64%	0.13	51	1.86%	0	2	61	0
22	Apr_27_2011	107.32	109.02	108.78	112.15	112.84	116.72	119.08(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	171	260	182	137	3.34	64%	0.12	51.9	1.93%	0	2.7	64	0
23	Apr_26_2011	107.19	108.4	107.34	109.4	110.26	112.26	116.39(7.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	134	150	155	69	6.04	64%	0.11	49.1	1.91%	0	2.7	58	0
24	Apr_25_2011	107.07	107.79	106.33	106.69	107.57	108.96	108.2(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	34	120	55	-31	1.94	57%	0.07	32.7	1.68%	0	0.2	40	0
25	Apr_21_2011	106.99	107.63	106.35	106.07	106.04	108.27	108.94(0.73%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	57	150	88	-37	1.91	54%		32.4	1.67%	0	0.5	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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