Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 27, 2010

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $69.5900 (5.47%) ($67.7300 - $69.6200) on Thu. May. 27, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.7% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $69.5900(5.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(68%)    SPY(67%)    EWG(62%)    PEJ(61%)    EEM(59%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -1.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    TIP(-10%)    SHY(-10%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.35% (StdDev 2.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $56.93(-18.19%)
5 Day Moving Average   $66.12(5.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.46(3.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.27(0.46%)
To recent high   -8.2%
To recent low   19.7%
Market Cap   $10.271b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 5.14% (three month std-dev: 2.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100627

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_27_2010	60.82	69.27	67.46	66.12	65.92	67.7	69.59(5.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	47	180	81	-56	2.38	66%	0.36	-44.6	2.7%	0	0.1	59	0
2	May_26_2010	60.6	69.54	67.81	64.94	64.63	64.82	65.98(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	10	13	-88	3.56	64%	0.3	-43.5	2.64%	0	-1	50	0
3	May_25_2010	60.42	69.93	68.68	65.44	64.08	64.14	64.94(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-60	-32	-86	4.19	64%	0.3	-32.6	2.64%	0	-1.4	44	0
4	May_24_2010	60.24	70.32	69.38	66.44	65.38	64.44	64.23(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-150	-26	-63	2.16	64%	0.07	-19.9	2.63%	0	-1.8	42	0
5	May_21_2010	60.2	70.67	70.21	67.85	66.94	64.03	65.87(3.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-74	-340	-78	-63	4.07	64%	0.35	-3.2	2.6%	0	-1.5	40	0

6	May_20_2010	59.99	70.89	70.26	68.99	68.8	66.33	63.7(-6.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-104	-260	-113	-78	7.8	62%	0.3	13.4	2.59%	0	-2.4	39	0
7	May_19_2010	59.81	71.17	70.72	71.06	70.73	69.84	68.47(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-60	-100	-64	-47	3.78	69%	0.37	38.7	2.45%	0	-1	39	0
8	May_18_2010	59.59	71.12	70.95	72.38	72.38	71.27	69.95(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-110	-19	-15	2.63	69%	0.39	50.3	2.43%	0	-0.4	45	0
9	May_17_2010	59.36	71	71.03	72.74	72.99	71.63	71.27(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-120	-42	-23	4.03	69%	0.22	52.8	2.42%	0	0.1	49	0
10	May_14_2010	59.23	70.76	71.2	72.91	73.11	73.49	71.55(-3.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	2	40	0	6	4.57	71%	0.42	53.3	2.44%	0	0.3	54	0

11	May_13_2010	58.98	70.5	71.25	71.67	72.8	74.36	74.04(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	200	77	21	2.86	75%	0.48	41.2	2.42%	0	1.1	58	0
12	May_12_2010	58.7	70.14	71.35	70.31	70.56	72.74	75.09(4.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	51	230	64	13	2.98	75%	0.5	33	2.42%	0	1.6	63	0
13	May_11_2010	58.41	69.76	71.15	69.37	68.83	71.24	71.76(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	57	220	70	19	2.95	75%	0.45	30.3	2.36%	0	0.7	61	0
14	May_10_2010	58.15	69.48	71.2	69.15	68.34	68.38	72.13(10.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	-30	37	18	4.86	75%	0.45	29	2.45%	0	0.9	61	0
15	May_7_2010	57.89	69.14	71.02	69.37	68.35	66.42	65.31(-2.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-69	-240	-89	-10	6.75	72%	0.33	31	2.12%	0	-1.2	53	0

16	May_6_2010	57.7	69.21	71.55	70.76	70.2	68.3	67.24(-4.5%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-63	-210	-96	35	8.96	76%	0.38	49.6	2.09%	0	-0.6	57	0
17	May_5_2010	57.48	69.13	71.71	72.47	71.98	70.29	70.41(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-34	-180	-76	94	4.48	83%	0.44	68.8	2.01%	0	0.4	61	0
18	May_4_2010	57.23	68.86	71.41	73.15	73.44	72.09	70.65(-3.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-11	-120	-54	120	5.01	78%	0.44	78.1	2.01%	0	0.5	59	0
19	May_3_2010	56.98	68.59	71.1	73.5	74.13	73.67	73.25(1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-20	-22	150	2.89	83%	0.51	84.6	2%	0	1.4	71	0
20	Apr_30_2010	56.69	68.2	70.39	72.91	74.28	74.78	72.23(-4.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	52	100	22	143	3.57	87%	0.48	88.2	2.26%	0	1.3	71	0

21	Apr_29_2010	56.42	67.71	69.78	72.41	73.37	74.59	75.79(2.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	85	160	61	156	4.01	94%	0.55	83.8	2.17%	0	2.5	78	0
22	Apr_28_2010	56.11	67	68.85	70.87	71.73	73.78	73.81(1.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	95	240	80	139	4.62	94%	0.54	79.9	2.17%	0	2.4	78	0
23	Apr_27_2010	55.81	66.4	68.19	69.45	69.99	72.16	72.4(2.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	102	240	94	124	9.37	94%	0.52	73.8	2.19%	0	2.3	77	0
24	Apr_26_2010	55.52	65.92	67.52	68.38	68.29	69.69	70.31(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	72	140	65	93	2.95	93%	0.49	78.4	2.19%	0	2	70	0
25	Apr_23_2010	55.25	65.51	66.99	67.51	67.55	67.82	69.76(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	30	43	64	2.33	93%		81.5	2.18%	0	2	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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