Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 18, 2009

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $46.0600 (-1.69%) ($45.9300 - $47.3700) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.89% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $46.0600(-1.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(68%)    SPY(67%)    EWG(62%)    PEJ(61%)    EEM(60%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -1.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-10%)    LQD(3%)    GLD(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.445% (StdDev 2.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

Resistance Level   $46.52
5 Day Moving Average   $47.18(-2.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.09(-2.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.52(-0.99%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   50.6%
Market Cap   $6.798b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 2.24% (three month std-dev: 2.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.18%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.24%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.75%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091018

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2009	38.65	46.52	47.09	47.18	47.32	46.97	46.06(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-40	-15	38	1.97	59%	0.31	48.7	2.89%	0	-0.4	55	NAN
2	Sep_17_2009	38.53	46.5	47.11	47.46	47.43	47.54	46.85(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	10	-3	52	3.35	59%	0.36	42.2	2.89%	0	0.3	57	NAN
3	Sep_16_2009	38.39	46.39	46.9	47.47	47.48	47.66	47.87(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	30	10	52	2.32	59%	0.44	32.3	2.91%	0	1.3	61	NAN
4	Sep_15_2009	38.22	46.24	46.54	47.34	47.2	47.33	47.64(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	10	6	32	2.79	59%	0.42	29.5	2.92%	0	1.2	46	NAN
5	Sep_14_2009	38.06	46.07	46.3	47.12	46.99	47.3	47.46(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	40	5	21	1.85	59%	0.37	11	2.97%	0	1.2	53	NAN

6	Sep_11_2009	37.92	46.02	46.1	47	47.02	47.07	47.48(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	10	14	16	2.54	59%	0.45	7.3	2.99%	0	1.3	51	NAN
7	Sep_10_2009	37.75	46.05	45.92	46.71	46.73	46.68	46.91(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10	5	7	2.78	59%	0.45	12.8	2.99%	0	0.7	57	NAN
8	Sep_9_2009	37.58	46.02	45.83	46.22	46.42	46.98	47.2(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	100	18	7	2.65	59%	0.54	7.2	2.99%	0	1	62	NAN
9	Sep_8_2009	37.38	45.91	45.83	45.6	45.87	46.77	46.55(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	160	25	6	3.07	59%	0.73	-6.6	2.99%	0	0.5	58	NAN
10	Sep_4_2009	37.11	45.91	45.87	45.35	45.31	45.86	46.87(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	80	22	9	2.54	59%	0.46	-1.9	2.97%	0	0.8	62	NAN

11	Sep_3_2009	36.94	45.94	45.86	45.09	44.97	44.98	46(3.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10	3	-4	2.17	59%	0.46	7.5	2.98%	0	0	47	NAN
12	Sep_2_2009	36.77	45.9	45.81	45.05	45.13	44.75	44.49(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-50	-11	-22	4.36	57%	0.44	20	3%	0	-1.1	36	NAN
13	Sep_1_2009	36.61	45.93	45.84	45.38	45.4	44.97	44.08(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-60	-25	-28	3.21	62%	0.38	47.4	3.01%	0	-1.5	44	NAN
14	Aug_31_2009	36.47	45.98	45.95	46.16	45.86	45.52	45.32(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-70	-15	-6	2.57	62%	0.25	85.4	3.21%	0	-0.5	53	NAN
15	Aug_28_2009	36.38	45.96	45.86	46.45	46.52	45.83	45.58(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-100	-12	-10	1.51	62%	0.44	95.9	3.21%	0	-0.3	46	NAN

16	Aug_27_2009	36.22	45.85	45.98	46.74	46.81	46.21	45.8(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-90	-16	-6	2.55	62%	0.56	88.1	3.21%	0	-0	47	NAN
17	Aug_26_2009	36.02	45.65	46.22	46.66	47.01	47.2	46.12(-3.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	50	5	13	2.55	62%	0.53	70.2	3.23%	0	0.2	54	NAN
18	Aug_25_2009	35.83	45.35	46.25	46.33	46.57	47.4	48(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	140	25	20	2.08	65%	0.53	59.4	3.21%	0	1.1	59	NAN
19	Aug_24_2009	35.64	44.98	45.95	45.72	45.74	46.81	46.74(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	170	29	8	1.45	65%	0.51	52.6	3.23%	0	0.7	57	NAN
20	Aug_21_2009	35.46	44.71	45.98	45.19	45.13	45.74	47.03(3.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	90	21	3	2.41	65%	0.51	51	3.23%	0	1	59	NAN

21	Aug_20_2009	35.28	44.44	45.97	45.15	44.69	44.66	45.42(2.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-8	-40	-12	4	2.31	63%	0.57	60.9	3.22%	0	0.4	60	NAN
22	Aug_19_2009	35.08	44.24	45.95	45.77	45.33	44.52	44.48(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-150	-16	31	2.59	63%	0.54	74	3.22%	0	0.1	63	NAN
23	Aug_18_2009	34.89	44.01	46.02	46.16	46.16	44.72	44.92(1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-220	-25	57	3.09	66%	0.61	83.1	3.24%	0	0.3	69	NAN
24	Aug_17_2009	34.68	43.77	46.04	46.18	46.43	46.15	44.12(-5.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-30	-32	72	3.47	66%	0.52	91	3.32%	0	0.1	65	NAN
25	Aug_14_2009	34.5	43.52	46.12	46.82	46.7	47.59	46.83(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	130	14	125	2.54	71%		96.7	3.23%	0	1	69	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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