Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 14, 2008

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $51.4000 (-1.89%) ($51.2300 - $52.5800) on Thu. Feb. 14, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.56% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $51.4000(-1.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    IWM(70%)    EEM(67%)    EWG(66%)    VWO(66%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -1.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-13%)    GLD(5%)    LQD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.78% (StdDev 3.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.82(1.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.47(3.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.07(6.93%)
To recent high   -20.6%
To recent low   20.6%
Market Cap   $7.587b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 5.66% (three month std-dev: 3.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_14_2008	58.19	48.07	49.47	50.82	51.18	51.78	51.4(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	100	21	45	2.95	44%	-0.26	17	3.56%	0	1.2	56	0
2	Feb_13_2008	58.34	47.8	49.15	50.17	50.37	51.29	52.39(4.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	140	31	44	2.39	46%	-0.26	0.4	3.56%	0	1.7	65	0
3	Feb_12_2008	58.49	47.55	48.73	49.1	49.34	50.59	50.13(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	190	29	33	3.44	42%	-0.26	-24.2	3.56%	0	1.1	64	0
4	Feb_11_2008	58.64	47.59	48.54	48.59	48.54	49.45	50.96(3.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	130	25	40	2.81	42%	-0.26	-38.7	3.62%	0	1.3	71	0
5	Feb_8_2008	58.79	47.49	48.44	48.4	48.11	48.09	49.23(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-20	12	56	3.69	42%	-0.27	-59.4	3.61%	0	0.7	68	0

6	Feb_7_2008	58.95	47.62	48.4	47.94	48.08	47.64	48.14(2.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-60	-6	61	2.67	42%	-0.32	-75	3.6%	0	0.2	66	0
7	Feb_6_2008	59.14	47.79	48.24	47.98	47.92	48.14	47.02(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	30	-9	63	2.89	44%	-0.35	-85.3	3.59%	0	-0.3	54	0
8	Feb_5_2008	59.35	48.13	48.11	48.28	47.98	48.52	47.62(-4.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	60	10	69	4.14	44%	-0.22	-85.9	3.65%	0	-0.2	50	0
9	Feb_4_2008	59.48	48.58	47.67	48.42	48.01	47.69	49.98(6.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-70	0	40	4.34	46%	-0.17	-80.3	3.6%	0	0.4	45	0
10	Feb_1_2008	59.58	48.97	46.98	48.53	48.25	47.44	46.94(-2.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-15	-130	-24	13	7.51	43%	-0.23	-73.1	3.5%	0	-0.5	45	0

11	Jan_31_2008	59.72	49.71	46.64	48.94	49.02	48.33	48.35(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-90	-6	-3	4.73	43%	-0.17	-60.9	3.49%	0	-0.3	41	0
12	Jan_30_2008	59.82	50.33	46.39	48.51	49.12	49.07	48.52(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	30	4	-27	3.19	43%	-0.17	-58.4	3.49%	0	-0.3	43	0
13	Jan_29_2008	59.92	51.03	46.28	47.87	48.46	49.7	48.31(-4.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	14	220	35	-49	4.04	43%	-0.13	-59.1	3.49%	0	-0.5	39	0
14	Jan_28_2008	60	51.79	46.54	46.74	46.86	49.17	50.51(3.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	31	350	67	-77	2.83	45%	-0.12	-55.6	3.47%	0	-0.2	37	0
15	Jan_25_2008	60.07	52.4	46.37	45.22	44.56	47.22	49.02(6.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	16	370	65	-133	4.56	41%	-0.18	-52.9	3.5%	0	-0.5	32	0

16	Jan_24_2008	60.18	53.15	46.64	44.04	43.21	44.54	46.2(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	160	36	-169	3.17	39%	-0.22	-51	3.98%	0	-0.9	22	0
17	Jan_23_2008	60.31	54	47.18	44	42.95	44.54	45.33(6.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-62	-240	-12	-212	5.89	39%	-0.26	-47.5	3.97%	0	-1.1	23	0
18	Jan_22_2008	60.47	54.84	48.06	44.53	43.77	41.89	42.62(-0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-112	-350	-65	-252	3.1	36%	-0.28	-46.3	3.87%	0	-1.6	14	0
19	Jan_18_2008	60.64	55.74	49.51	46.34	45.96	44.01	42.92(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-97	-320	-51	-234	4.39	34%	-0.21	-44.6	3.9%	0	-1.7	14	0
20	Jan_17_2008	60.77	56.51	51.13	47.67	47.95	45.65	43.12(-6.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-101	-320	-59	-228	4.44	34%	-0.21	-47.7	3.9%	0	-2	15	0

21	Jan_16_2008	60.9	57.34	53.09	49.58	49.31	47.9	46.03(-3.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-91	-220	-53	-206	4.18	36%	-0.15	-47.4	3.84%	0	-1.9	17	0
22	Jan_15_2008	60.99	58	54.67	50.77	50.66	50.24	47.94(-7.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-65	-60	-26	-183	3.17	37%	-0.16	-51	3.82%	0	-1.9	23	0
23	Jan_14_2008	61.09	58.7	56.25	52.1	51.45	50.71	51.71(4.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-62	-140	-27	-166	2.39	40%	-0.11	-52.2	3.72%	0	-1.5	31	0
24	Jan_11_2008	61.16	59.24	57.49	53.23	52.81	51.08	49.56(-5.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-75	-250	-50	-151	2.91	37%	-0.11	-51	3.69%	0	-2.2	33	0
25	Jan_10_2008	61.23	59.92	58.97	55.16	54.8	52.19	52.68(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-83	-350	-71	-119	5.52	39%		-45	3.63%	0	-1.9	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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