Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 14, 2006

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $30.8100 (1.65%) ($30.3500 - $30.9000) on Thu. Dec. 14, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $30.8100(1.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(70%)    IWM(68%)    EEM(65%)    EWG(64%)    VWO(64%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-14%)    GLD(6%)    LQD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.48(1.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.5(1.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.42(1.28%)
To recent high   -10.7%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $4.548b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 1.31% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_14_2006	30.36		30.5	30.48		30.49	30.81(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	10	7	20	2.8	61%	0.07	22.9	1.74%	0	1	46	NAN
2	Dec_13_2006	30.34		30.41	30.45	30.41	30.3	30.31(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-30	-7	3	2.88	61%	0.07	28.2	1.75%	0	-0.3	42	NAN
3	Dec_12_2006	30.32	30.42	30.39	30.55	30.53	30.34	30.19(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-8	-50	-12	3	3.3	61%	0.07	38.9	1.75%	0	-0.6	48	NAN
4	Dec_11_2006	30.3	30.41	30.34	30.68	30.65	30.53	30.39(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-30	-7	7	2.35	57%	0.1	38.4	1.76%	0	-0	53	NAN
5	Dec_8_2006	30.27	30.38	30.32	30.71	30.68	30.72	30.68(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	10	8	13	2	57%	0.1	35.2	1.79%	0	0.7	53	NAN

6	Dec_7_2006	30.24	30.34	30.34	30.51	30.56	30.76	30.7(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	50	13	5	2.3	57%	0.03	12.2	1.79%	0	0.8	49	NAN
7	Dec_6_2006	30.23	30.31	30.36	30.36	30.3	30.65	30.81(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	14	70	18	0	2.11	54%	0.1	-6.8	1.79%	0	1.1	50	NAN
8	Dec_5_2006	30.2	30.27	30.32	30.2	30.1	30.35	30.81(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	16	50	23	-6	3.64	56%	0.1	-35.2	1.83%	0	1.3	54	NAN
9	Dec_4_2006	30.17	30.25	30.25	29.95	29.93	29.94	30.55(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-2	0	6	-24	3.78	56%	0.07	-79.9	1.84%	0	0.7	58	NAN
10	Dec_1_2006	30.15	30.23	30.23	29.88	29.86	29.86	29.66(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-0	-16	-33	4.01	53%	0	-113.2	1.82%	0	-1.4	50	NAN

11	Nov_30_2006	30.15	30.28	30.34	30.16	30.07	29.93	29.98(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-40	-9	-4	4.82	53%	0.03	-130.3	1.8%	0	-0.8	56	NAN
12	Nov_29_2006	30.14	30.34	30.42	30.36	30.31	29.86	30(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-110	-17	11	3.76	53%	0	-130.3	1.81%	0	-0.8	50	NAN
13	Nov_28_2006	30.14	30.42	30.46	30.45	30.53	30.21	29.56(-2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-12	-70	-22	18	4.91	53%	0	-120.7	1.8%	0	-1.6	47	NAN
14	Nov_27_2006	30.14	30.59	30.5	30.58	30.65	30.77	30.21(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	30	-2	29	3.83	56%	0.03	-84.1	1.78%	0	-0.5	47	NAN
15	Nov_24_2006	30.13	30.7	30.48	30.61	30.58	30.85	31.04(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	60	13	34	0.85	55%	0.03	-72.8	1.78%	0	0.4	59	NAN

16	Nov_22_2006	30.12	30.81	30.34	30.55	30.48	30.53	30.97(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	0	8	18	3.08	55%	0.03	-59.3	1.78%	0	0.1	52	NAN
17	Nov_21_2006	30.11	30.92	30.25	30.51	30.47	30.31	30.46(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-2	-40	-3	2	3.03	55%	0	-58.3	1.77%	0	-0.4	40	NAN
18	Nov_20_2006	30.11	31.07	30.21	30.48	30.55	30.42	30.2(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-20	-3	-17	3.5	55%	0	-57	1.77%	0	-0.6	31	NAN
19	Nov_17_2006	30.11	31.23	30.24	30.41	30.49	30.64	30.4(-1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-7	40	5	-44	3.21	58%	0	-60.7	1.78%	0	-0.6	24	NAN
20	Nov_16_2006	30.11	31.36	30.22	30.3	30.33	30.69	30.74(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	90	21	-68	3.03	58%	0.1	-60.7	1.81%	0	-0.4	31	NAN

21	Nov_15_2006	30.08	31.53	30.21	30.09	30.09	30.35	30.74(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	60	17	-110	5.38	61%	0.1	-60.2	1.82%	0	-0.5	26	NAN
22	Nov_14_2006	30.05	31.7	30.23	29.97	29.92	29.98	30.34(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-31	10	6	-142	5.99	61%	0.07	-56.9	1.85%	0	-0.8	24	NAN
23	Nov_13_2006	30.03	31.89	30.36	29.92	29.9	29.83	29.83(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-48	-20	-7	-170	3.66	61%	0.1	-54.8	1.84%	0	-1.2	17	NAN
24	Nov_10_2006	30	32.12	30.66	30.05	30	29.87	29.86(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-40	-8	-167	3.53	58%	0.07	-52.9	1.86%	0	-1.3	20	NAN
25	Nov_9_2006	29.98	32.32	30.94	30.13	30.14	29.97	29.69(-1.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-52	-40	-13	-170	4.66	56%		-51.3	1.86%	0	-1.6	24	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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