Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 11, 2005

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $21.7700 (-0.91%) ($21.6900 - $22.1600) on Fri. Nov. 11, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $21.7700(-0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(69%)    IWM(68%)    EEM(65%)    VWO(64%)    EWG(63%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-14%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.04(-1.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.82(-0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.07(3.32%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $3.213b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 3.94% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.8%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.25%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.65%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.08%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.98%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.21%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_11_2005	20.98	21.07	21.82	22.04	22.01	21.92	21.77(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	38	-30	-1	153	2.05	61%	0.14	57.1	1.53%	0	0.8	82	0
2	Nov_10_2005	20.95	21	21.74	22.01	22	22	21.97(-0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	45	-0	1	178	4.35	62%	0.19	54.4	1.52%	0	1.2	90	0
3	Nov_9_2005	20.91	20.91	21.57	21.96	21.94	22.11	22.09(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	50	10	181	3.6	62%	0.14	51.2	1.54%	0	1.5	75	0
4	Nov_8_2005	20.88	20.8	21.4	21.87	21.87	22	22.28(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	40	19	177	2.84	62%	0.19	45.9	1.54%	0	1.9	71	0
5	Nov_7_2005	20.84	20.7	21.19	21.72	21.74	21.78	22.1(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	20	12	165	2.52	62%	0.14	37.4	1.54%	0	2.1	73	0

6	Nov_4_2005	20.81	20.61	21	21.57	21.64	21.74	21.63(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	40	14	151	1.72	61%	0.19	24.1	1.53%	0	1.7	65	0
7	Nov_3_2005	20.77	20.56	20.8	21.41	21.52	21.69	21.72(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	70	28	128	2.41	61%	0.19	8.5	1.53%	0	2.1	67	0
8	Nov_2_2005	20.73	20.5	20.64	21.12	21.25	21.54	21.62(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	46	110	28	100	2.87	61%	0.19	-16	1.53%	0	2.2	69	0
9	Nov_1_2005	20.69	20.46	20.51	20.84	21.02	21.35	21.53(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	46	140	34	80	2.25	61%	0.15	-38.1	1.53%	0	2.1	68	0
10	Oct_31_2005	20.66	20.45	20.36	20.59	20.72	20.96	21.34(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	34	100	29	50	3.61	61%	0.19	-50.2	1.53%	0	1.6	64	0

11	Oct_28_2005	20.62	20.47	20.25	20.35	20.46	20.69	20.85(2.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	90	28	23	3.42	60%	0.15	-55.4	1.5%	0	0.6	53	0
12	Oct_27_2005	20.59	20.51	20.19	20.09	20.25	20.49	20.25(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	110	14	-19	3.95	58%	0.1	-65.2	1.48%	0	-0.4	40	0
13	Oct_26_2005	20.57	20.58	20.18	20.08	20.03	20.23	20.25(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	60	5	-36	2	58%	0.15	-68.1	1.49%	0	-0.5	42	0
14	Oct_25_2005	20.54	20.65	20.17	20.11	20.04	20.02	20.26(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-20	8	-45	1.53	58%	0.1	-68.9	1.49%	0	-0.5	39	0
15	Oct_24_2005	20.52	20.73	20.16	20.09	20.05	19.83	20.16(3.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-80	-13	-80	3.5	58%	0.15	-70.3	1.49%	0	-0.8	30	0

16	Oct_21_2005	20.49	20.81	20.19	20.14	20.14	20.05	19.55(-3.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-43	-30	-22	-106	5.34	61%	0.05	-68.5	1.49%	0	-1.5	16	0
17	Oct_20_2005	20.48	20.95	20.32	20.3	20.3	20.28	20.16(-1.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-23	-10	3	-101	2.66	67%	0.15	-68	1.5%	0	-1	19	0
18	Oct_19_2005	20.45	21.06	20.37	20.29	20.29	20.22	20.44(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	-20	2	-120	1.67	67%	0.2	-67.4	1.51%	0	-0.7	28	0
19	Oct_18_2005	20.41	21.16	20.41	20.22	20.29	20.31	20.16(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-38	30	-3	-144	2.08	67%	-0.05	-69	1.51%	0	-1.2	24	0
20	Oct_17_2005	20.42	21.27	20.54	20.24	20.29	20.35	20.37(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-34	40	4	-147	1.31	67%	0.2	-71.9	1.51%	0	-1	23	0

21	Oct_14_2005	20.38	21.39	20.69	20.26	20.25	20.19	20.36(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-20	-6	-149	2.13	69%	0.15	-71.8	1.51%	0	-1.1	24	0
22	Oct_13_2005	20.35	21.52	20.85	20.35	20.33	20.14	20.11(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-49	-70	-16	-149	4.15	69%	0.15	-67.6	1.55%	0	-1.6	14	0
23	Oct_12_2005	20.32	21.64	21.01	20.47	20.49	20.31	20.11(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-52	-60	-19	-151	2.01	69%	0.15	-65.6	1.55%	0	-1.8	15	0
24	Oct_11_2005	20.29	21.78	21.17	20.62	20.62	20.52	20.24(-1.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-58	-30	-26	-154	2.85	70%	0.15	-62.5	1.56%	0	-1.9	15	0
25	Oct_10_2005	20.26	21.92	21.34	20.89	20.82	20.68	20.5(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-53	-60	-25	-136	2.46	70%		-50.8	1.58%	0	-1.8	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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