Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 22, 2020

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $1055.7000 (2.82%) ($1018.0900 - $1057.6900) on Fri. May. 22, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.3% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $1055.7000(2.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG advances 7.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(63%)    IVW(61%)    QQQ(61%)    SKYY(60%)    VUG(60%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -2.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-34%)    UUP(-19%)    VXX(-14%)    TBT(-7%)    IGOV(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.65% (StdDev 5.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $1024.01(3.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $981.97(7.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $934.2(13.01%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   126.9%
Market Cap   $29.551b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 6.46% (three month std-dev: 5.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 1.96%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.43%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 3.88%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -2.5%(44%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 5.89%(78%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.44%(22%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200622

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2020	812.78	934.2	981.97	1024.01	1024.82	1033.87	1055.7(2.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	133	60	131	139	0.45	51%	0.25	80.2	5.3%	0	2	83	1.2
2	May_21_2020	810.77	925.07	968.58	1007.22	1015.31	1026.38	1026.71(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	205	100	217	169	0.46	51%	0.28	86.1	5.34%	0	1.9	82	1.1
3	May_20_2020	808.54	916.77	955.6	988.31	995.65	1015.77	1029.96(2.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	248	160	270	182	0.41	51%	0.25	92.4	5.34%	0	2.3	81	1.5
4	May_19_2020	806.55	908.88	939.23	962.84	968.59	1004.23	1009.08(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	358	280	405	218	0.46	51%	0.22	89.4	5.33%	0	2	78	0.9
5	May_18_2020	804.77	897.79	925.13	946.99	945.49	975.54	998.58(2.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	427	220	488	242	0.78	51%	0.21	85.3	5.33%	0	2.2	79	1.4

6	May_15_2020	803.1	888.16	912.34	934.06	930.66	932.95	971.75(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	178	10	198	117	0.85	51%	0.17	93.5	5.32%	0	2	70	1
7	May_14_2020	801.73	880.43	902.27	924.88	925.36	915.45	932.18(3.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-88	-70	-112	-14	0.58	51%	0.17	93.7	5.34%	0	1.2	64	0.8
8	May_13_2020	800.37	873.33	896.75	917.94	924.2	928.38	902.59(-2.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-14	50	-25	18	0.72	51%	0.1	90	5.33%	0	0.6	63	0.1
9	May_12_2020	799.6	867.05	894.77	910.83	917.75	935.27	929.85(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	214	160	245	122	0.69	51%	0.13	88.7	5.32%	0	1.3	64	1.2
10	May_11_2020	798.55	859.86	888.43	898.91	900.53	920.03	933.93(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	232	160	265	131	0.57	51%	0.13	85.7	5.32%	0	1.4	82	2.3

11	May_8_2020	797.51	850.52	882.82	887.12	887.47	900.23	925.83(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	218	100	249	126	0.74	52%	0.12	96.7	5.29%	0	1.5	73	2
12	May_7_2020	796.55	842.73	877.96	876.94	876.41	881.02	897.51(3.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	83	40	90	63	0.49	52%	0.09	107.7	5.31%	0	1.1	67	1.4
13	May_6_2020	795.82	834.38	874.78	873.15	871.35	874.71	867.04(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	20	12	39	0.29	52%	0.05	108.3	5.3%	0	0.6	69	0.8
14	May_5_2020	795.45	826.7	876.32	876.21	873.87	871.79	870.23(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-20	31	64	0.32	51%	0.06	104.2	5.3%	0	0.7	72	1.1
15	May_4_2020	794.96	818.12	868.93	875.83	874.83	867.99	875(0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-69	-60	-97	15	0.28	52%	0.08	100.1	5.32%	0	0.9	68	0.5

16	May_1_2020	794.34	805.64	862.81	877.45	878.62	875.95	874.92(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-55	-20	-84	32	0.43	52%	0.08	84.3	5.28%	0	0.9	73	0.4
17	Apr_30_2020	793.67	793.87	857.59	878.96	883.67	881.68	878.55(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	0	15	81	0.45	51%	0.07	77.4	5.28%	0	1	67	1.3
18	Apr_29_2020	793.09	781.28	848.82	876.65	881.87	881.28	882.34(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-17	10	-45	66	0.52	51%	0.08	71.2	5.28%	0	1.1	72	1.7
19	Apr_28_2020	792.42	769.9	837.92	876.64	882.56	885.66	868.36(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	75	40	59	121	0.52	52%	0.05	71.4	5.28%	0	1.1	74	1.2
20	Apr_27_2020	791.99	758.53	829.72	860.3	878.81	882.46	883.07(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	172	90	173	169	0.52	52%	0.08	68.8	5.28%	0	1.4	77	1.4

21	Apr_24_2020	791.36	746	815.97	845.43	854.57	879.46	882.47(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	147	240	140	166	0.53	51%	0.08	69.6	5.28%	0	1.6	82	0.9
22	Apr_23_2020	790.7	734.52	804.41	832.99	838.14	875.17	867.02(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	486	330	535	338	1.32	51%	0.08	77.7	5.28%	0	1.6	78	0.4
23	Apr_22_2020	790.1	723.27	790.2	816.94	821.11	829.67	882.26(12.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	381	90	410	295	2.36	51%	0.09	89.2	5.27%	0	2	80	0.3
24	Apr_21_2020	789.4	711.7	772.09	794.51	798.48	801.11	786.69(-2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-30	40	-73	99	0.98	48%	-0.04	102.2	5.05%	0	1.1	68	-0.2
25	Apr_20_2020	789.68	701.97	763.01	794.24	791.68	812.55	808.73(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	222	170	219	230	0.59	48%		101.6	5.04%	0	1.5	72	0.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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