Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 8, 2020

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $925.8300 (3.16%) ($893.4200 - $927.6100) on Fri. May. 8, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.29% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $925.8300(3.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(62%)    IVW(61%)    QQQ(61%)    SKYY(60%)    VUG(60%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -2.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-34%)    UUP(-19%)    VXX(-14%)    TBT(-7%)    IGOV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.645% (StdDev 5.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $887.12(4.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $882.82(4.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $850.52(8.85%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   99%
Market Cap   $25.916b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 5.76% (three month std-dev: 5.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 29 Average positive next day return: 2.33%(52%) Average negative next day return: -2.82%(48%) Sample size 29 Average positive next three day return: 3.77%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -3.49%(48%) Sample size 29 Average positive next weekly return: 4.78%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.88%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200608

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_8_2020	797.51	850.52	882.82	887.12	887.47	900.23	925.83(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	218	100	249	126	0.74	52%	0.12	96.7	5.29%	0	1.5	73	2
2	May_7_2020	796.55	842.73	877.96	876.94	876.41	881.02	897.51(3.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	83	40	90	63	0.49	52%	0.09	107.7	5.31%	0	1.1	67	1.4
3	May_6_2020	795.82	834.38	874.78	873.15	871.35	874.71	867.04(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	20	12	39	0.29	52%	0.05	108.3	5.3%	0	0.6	69	0.8
4	May_5_2020	795.45	826.7	876.32	876.21	873.87	871.79	870.23(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-20	31	64	0.32	51%	0.06	104.2	5.3%	0	0.7	72	1.1
5	May_4_2020	794.96	818.12	868.93	875.83	874.83	867.99	875(0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-69	-60	-97	15	0.28	52%	0.08	100.1	5.32%	0	0.9	68	0.5

6	May_1_2020	794.34	805.64	862.81	877.45	878.62	875.95	874.92(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-55	-20	-84	32	0.43	52%	0.08	84.3	5.28%	0	0.9	73	0.4
7	Apr_30_2020	793.67	793.87	857.59	878.96	883.67	881.68	878.55(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	0	15	81	0.45	51%	0.07	77.4	5.28%	0	1	67	1.3
8	Apr_29_2020	793.09	781.28	848.82	876.65	881.87	881.28	882.34(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-17	10	-45	66	0.52	51%	0.08	71.2	5.28%	0	1.1	72	1.7
9	Apr_28_2020	792.42	769.9	837.92	876.64	882.56	885.66	868.36(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	75	40	59	121	0.52	52%	0.05	71.4	5.28%	0	1.1	74	1.2
10	Apr_27_2020	791.99	758.53	829.72	860.3	878.81	882.46	883.07(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	172	90	173	169	0.52	52%	0.08	68.8	5.28%	0	1.4	77	1.4

11	Apr_24_2020	791.36	746	815.97	845.43	854.57	879.46	882.47(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	147	240	140	166	0.53	51%	0.08	69.6	5.28%	0	1.6	82	0.9
12	Apr_23_2020	790.7	734.52	804.41	832.99	838.14	875.17	867.02(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	486	330	535	338	1.32	51%	0.08	77.7	5.28%	0	1.6	78	0.4
13	Apr_22_2020	790.1	723.27	790.2	816.94	821.11	829.67	882.26(12.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	381	90	410	295	2.36	51%	0.09	89.2	5.27%	0	2	80	0.3
14	Apr_21_2020	789.4	711.7	772.09	794.51	798.48	801.11	786.69(-2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-30	40	-73	99	0.98	48%	-0.04	102.2	5.05%	0	1.1	68	-0.2
15	Apr_20_2020	789.68	701.97	763.01	794.24	791.68	812.55	808.73(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	222	170	219	230	0.59	48%	-0.01	101.6	5.04%	0	1.5	72	0.6

16	Apr_17_2020	789.74	689.88	744.14	781.31	783.85	795.85	820.27(4.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	324	120	343	267	0.66	48%	0.04	91	5.07%	0	1.8	74	1.2
17	Apr_16_2020	789.42	675.68	725.26	771.45	768.43	770.8	786.75(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	10	23	130	0.56	48%	-0.04	82.6	5.05%	0	1.5	66	1.1
18	Apr_15_2020	789.73	660.02	708.75	759.13	763.97	771.84	770.1(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	141	90	134	161	0.57	48%	-0.06	58.4	5.04%	0	1.4	66	1.1
19	Apr_14_2020	790.21	647.76	696.9	745.97	752.18	766.07	785.33(5.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	190	150	195	173	0.84	48%	-0	42.6	5.04%	0	1.7	65	1.5
20	Apr_13_2020	790.23	636.62	681.78	726.9	737.7	756.1	744.08(-3.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	299	220	326	219	0.68	46%	-0.02	32.8	4.98%	0	1.4	71	1.2

21	Apr_9_2020	790.35	630.3	670.52	700.28	715.72	738.29	771(6.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	375	290	419	243	1.03	46%	-0.01	18.1	4.93%	0	2.1	76	0.9
22	Apr_8_2020	790.4	621.19	658.35	672.12	681.34	719.31	725.12(2.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	387	430	435	244	0.61	44%	-0.05	-1.9	4.86%	0	1.7	77	0.9
23	Apr_7_2020	790.83	616.48	650.04	650.96	656.58	693.15	704.3(2.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	589	420	669	350	1	44%	-0.09	-21.1	4.85%	0	1.5	81	0.8
24	Apr_6_2020	791.53	615.35	645.21	640.98	632.44	643.37	689.99(12.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	259	80	275	211	0.98	44%	-0.09	-29.6	4.84%	0	1.3	69	0.8
25	Apr_3_2020	792.21	613.08	635.1	630.98	628	620.02	611.01(-3.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-100	-38	87	0.86	39%		-41.1	4.54%	0	-0	57	0.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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