Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CMG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 20, 2020

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $927.5900 (-0.67%) ($916.7500 - $940.2824) on Thu. Feb. 20, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $927.5900(-0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(64%)    IVW(63%)    VUG(63%)    QQQ(62%)    IWO(61%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-47%)    VXX(-21%)    UUP(-10%)    TBT(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $924.78(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $904.23(2.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $888.75(4.37%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   20.1%
Market Cap   $25.965b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 2.75% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 0.54%(47%) Average negative next day return: -0.63%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 1.48%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.62%(33%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 2.17%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.56%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200320

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2020	828.77	888.75	904.23	924.78	926.46	931.06	927.59(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	191	40	173	245	0.36	72%	0.15	58.2	1.1%	0	1.6	65	0.4
2	Feb_19_2020	827.54	886.14	897.05	919.33	921.06	930.72	933.84(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	622	80	689	422	0.32	72%	0.13	60.5	1.1%	0	2.1	67	1
3	Feb_18_2020	826.45	882.78	891.79	910.71	911.18	921.87	927.56(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	644	80	721	412	0.37	75%	0.12	59.1	1.1%	0	2.3	66	0.8
4	Feb_14_2020	825.47	880.06	885.54	903.3	902.74	911.4	921.94(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	691	70	784	413	0.37	75%	0.13	63.5	1.12%	0	2.5	68	0.9
5	Feb_13_2020	824.39	877.28	879.74	891.76	892.48	900.5	912.95(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	542	70	620	309	0.42	75%	0.12	56.6	1.12%	0	2.6	64	0.6

6	Feb_12_2020	823.43	874.74	876.02	880.57	880.88	894.08	900.37(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	606	110	706	305	0.4	75%	0.09	45.4	1.12%	0	2.2	56	1
7	Feb_11_2020	822.65	872.61	873.58	871.3	871.24	884.47	890.75(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	748	110	882	344	0.33	75%	0.06	25.6	1.13%	0	1.8	54	0.1
8	Feb_10_2020	822.16	871.17	872.03	870.11	866.09	867.68	890.51(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	335	-0	397	150	0.51	75%	0.07	26.6	1.14%	0	2	57	0.2
9	Feb_7_2020	821.58	869.49	869.33	865.48	867.45	858.02	864.22(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-323	-70	-370	-181	0.57	72%	0.04	9.9	1.1%	0	-0.6	45	-0.1
10	Feb_6_2020	821.25	869.48	869.95	865.98	870.17	864.5	857(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-591	-30	-686	-306	0.69	72%	0.03	13.7	1.11%	0	-1.4	46	0.2

11	Feb_5_2020	821.02	869.6	872.29	870.57	874.58	876.88	854.01(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-14	30	-14	-14	1.03	72%	0.04	39.2	1.11%	0	-1.8	48	0.1
12	Feb_4_2020	820.73	870.05	874.97	875.63	876.47	875.83	884.82(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	167	-0	190	98	0.98	76%	0.11	71.1	1.02%	0	1.8	64	-0.7
13	Feb_3_2020	819.86	868.68	873.48	874.23	876.02	872.29	867.33(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-210	-20	-253	-80	0.46	74%	0.1	81.7	1.04%	0	-0.2	54	-1.4
14	Jan_31_2020	819.04	868.59	874.59	873.77	876.8	877.11	866.76(-1.5%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-29	10	-44	15	0.39	74%	0.08	96.8	1.06%	0	-0.2	57	-2.4
15	Jan_30_2020	818.4	868.22	875.08	874.36	873.92	879.75	879.95(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	173	50	192	117	0.25	80%	0.1	112.5	1.04%	0	1.4	61	-0.4

16	Jan_29_2020	817.57	866.17	873.63	874.34	872.72	876.48	879.3(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	360	20	410	210	0.18	70%	0.12	122.6	1.05%	0	1.6	64	-0.7
17	Jan_28_2020	816.63	864.09	871.7	874.32	872.32	868.1	877.82(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-47	-40	-68	17	0.35	70%	0.05	100.9	1.1%	0	1.4	60	-0.7
18	Jan_27_2020	816.24	862.09	870.22	872.9	873.49	868.95	865.03(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-371	-30	-449	-136	0.26	68%	0.04	87.1	1.09%	0	0.3	56	-1.9
19	Jan_24_2020	815.94	860.87	869.68	875.52	876.98	876.53	869.71(-1.15%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-42	0	-64	23	0.32	68%	0.04	88.5	1.11%	0	0.7	53	0
20	Jan_23_2020	815.62	858.94	869.03	875.63	876.83	878.03	879.84(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	93	10	93	91	0.24	55%	0.05	83.5	1.1%	0	1.5	64	1.2

21	Jan_22_2020	815.19	856.39	866.7	872.68	874.63	877.43	879.18(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	151	30	164	113	0.26	50%	0.07	83.6	1.29%	0	1.7	73	1.1
22	Jan_21_2020	814.66	854.13	864.7	868.69	870.9	875.63	870.73(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	217	50	241	143	0.3	50%	0.04	78.8	1.33%	0	1.2	71	1.4
23	Jan_17_2020	814.32	852.29	863.41	867.14	866.66	871.84	878.15(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	271	40	303	174	0.36	50%	0.04	77.5	1.33%	0	1.8	76	1.9
24	Jan_16_2020	813.97	849.7	861.91	863.06	863	866.17	870.24(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	204	30	224	145	0.24	50%	0.04	76.2	1.33%	0	1.5	71	2.2
25	Jan_15_2020	813.65	847.76	860.64	861.55	860.98	861.49	865.09(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	0	47	85	0.28	50%		78.2	1.33%	0	1.2	74	2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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