Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 6, 2020

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $858.0200 (-0.82%) ($854.0000 - $862.8000) on Mon. Jan. 6, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $858.0200(-0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(64%)    IVW(63%)    VUG(63%)    QQQ(62%)    SKYY(61%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-47%)    VXX(-21%)    UUP(-9%)    TBT(-3%)    SHY(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $850.9(0.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $842.83(1.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $833.43(2.95%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   17.3%
Market Cap   $24.018b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 1.68% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.64%(52%) Average negative next day return: -0.48%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 0.91%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -1.02%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.16%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.63%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2020	810.94	833.43	842.83	850.9	851.51	859.92	858.02(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	296	70	328	198	0.41	55%	0.05	67.9	1.37%	0	1.8	76	0.6
2	Jan_3_2020	810.52	831.44	840.31	846.66	845.59	854.68	865.13(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	489	70	556	289	0.42	55%	0.07	66.5	1.37%	0	2.6	82	0.5
3	Jan_2_2020	809.95	828.56	836.31	841.35	839.91	843.11	858.19(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	297	20	333	188	0.49	51%	0.07	66.4	1.37%	0	2.9	68	1.3
4	Dec_31_2019	809.39	826.29	833.46	835.49	836.2	836.5	837.11(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	10	52	66	0.28	46%	0.03	73.8	1.37%	0	1.2	64	0.9
5	Dec_30_2019	809.14	825.12	832.09	833.73	833.62	836.72	836.07(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	30	43	56	0.21	51%	0.02	90.7	1.38%	0	1.2	55	0.4

6	Dec_27_2019	808.96	824.01	830.13	833.42	833.01	835.91	836.79(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	181	20	203	116	0.2	51%	0.03	114.3	1.42%	0	1.5	58	0.9
7	Dec_26_2019	808.73	822.96	827.67	832.85	832.47	830.51	838.6(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	-20	39	45	0.26	51%	0.08	140.6	1.42%	0	1.9	61	1.2
8	Dec_24_2019	808.1	821.77	825.99	830.5	831.5	830.11	828.89(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-142	-10	-176	-40	0.09	47%	0.06	179.1	1.4%	0	1	63	1.3
9	Dec_23_2019	807.61	819.79	824.91	831.13	832.47	834.43	828.29(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	88	20	93	71	0.29	47%	0.04	137.5	1.43%	0	0.8	58	1.2
10	Dec_20_2019	807.25	817.2	824.72	830.03	830.72	832.88	834.53(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	148	20	163	102	0.36	47%	0.06	105.1	1.43%	0	1.2	62	1.5

11	Dec_19_2019	806.8	814.26	823.41	826.19	827.22	830.51	833.92(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	150	30	167	97	0.34	47%	0.05	92.6	1.43%	0	1.2	62	1.8
12	Dec_18_2019	806.41	811.44	821.9	821.65	822.87	828.56	826.88(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	203	50	233	113	0.42	47%	0.03	85.8	1.43%	0	0.9	56	1.7
13	Dec_17_2019	806.19	808.57	820.21	820.82	819.55	823.93	832.05(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	229	30	265	121	0.43	52%	0.03	79.1	1.44%	0	1.2	60	2.1
14	Dec_16_2019	805.96	805.58	818.4	817.96	818.33	817.18	822.79(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	65	-10	71	48	0.27	52%	0.05	79.8	1.48%	0	0.8	71	2.2
15	Dec_13_2019	805.53	802.33	817.49	818.8	818.11	815.16	815.32(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-169	-30	-211	-44	0.3	49%	0.05	78.7	1.49%	0	0.6	74	2.2

16	Dec_12_2019	805.15	799.22	817.41	820.24	821.25	819.49	811.2(-1.4%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-55	-10	-83	30	0.38	49%	0.04	75.7	1.52%	0	0.5	73	1.6
17	Dec_11_2019	804.81	796.48	818.04	821.94	822.72	821.06	822.74(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-10	-27	77	0.21	49%	0.1	75.7	1.51%	0	1	78	0.3
18	Dec_10_2019	803.97	793.24	817.32	819.27	821.05	823.01	817.73(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	20	-11	100	0.34	42%	0.09	75.6	1.52%	0	0.9	80	-0.1
19	Dec_9_2019	803.21	789.62	814.49	818.71	819.39	824.38	827.03(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	228	50	238	196	0.38	42%	0.1	71.1	1.7%	0	1.3	81	-0.2
20	Dec_6_2019	802.4	784.92	809.3	816.06	814.97	819.08	822.48(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	197	30	201	185	0.39	42%	0.07	60.6	1.7%	0	1.3	84	1.1

21	Dec_5_2019	801.81	780.68	804.58	814.35	811.54	814.4	819.73(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	104	10	89	150	0.41	42%	0.08	52.8	1.69%	0	1.3	85	0.6
22	Dec_4_2019	801.13	776.85	800.28	813.75	812.51	810.85	809.4(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	76	-20	52	146	0.48	42%	0.06	48.9	1.69%	0	1.1	79	0.4
23	Dec_3_2019	800.65	773.4	796.22	815.04	813.11	808.68	814.91(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-98	-50	-155	74	0.42	42%	0.07	47.4	1.69%	0	1.5	79	-0.5
24	Dec_2_2019	800.09	770.1	791.85	809.36	813.14	814.18	813.78(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	69	20	41	153	0.45	42%	0.08	39.3	1.7%	0	1.6	82	0.6
25	Nov_29_2019	799.46	767.58	786.02	801.13	805.9	817.54	813.92(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	347	120	370	276	0.27	42%		29.8	1.7%	0	1.9	84	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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