Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 18, 2019

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $513.2400 (-0.85%) ($509.6319 - $523.7850) on Fri. Jan. 18, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.28% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $513.2400(-0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG advances 7.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(61%)    IVW(60%)    VUG(60%)    QQQ(59%)    SKYY(58%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -1.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-17%)    VXX(-13%)    VIXM(-11%)    TBT(-4%)    XHB(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.14% (StdDev 2.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $512.44(0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $506.51(1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $465.59(10.23%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   33%
Market Cap   $14.367b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 9.73% (three month std-dev: 2.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_18_2019	463.13	465.59	506.51	512.44	514.03	516	513.24(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	102	40	62	223	0.88	67%	0.07	39.8	2.28%	0	1.1	88	1.5
2	Jan_17_2019	462.82	461.18	501.1	511.18	510.76	515.24	517.66(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	138	60	96	262	0.75	67%	0.07	34.1	2.28%	0	1.2	92	1.4
3	Jan_16_2019	462.51	457.22	493.67	509.57	508.98	512.06	514.82(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	210	40	174	316	0.52	67%	0.05	31.5	2.28%	0	1.3	92	1.3
4	Jan_15_2019	462.29	453.36	486.74	506.31	505.8	506.27	514.49(2.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	111	0	49	297	0.72	67%	0.04	27.8	2.28%	0	1.4	94	1.7
5	Jan_14_2019	462.1	450.13	478.64	502.88	503.16	505.9	501.99(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	120	40	52	322	0.84	66%	-0.04	26.2	2.27%	0	1.3	86	1.3

6	Jan_11_2019	462.29	448.22	471.08	499.51	500.66	505.32	506.95(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	293	70	252	417	0.79	66%	-0.03	25.6	2.27%	0	1.6	84	1.3
7	Jan_10_2019	462.41	445.97	461.92	489.12	491.16	500.42	509.62(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	327	140	301	403	0.83	63%	-0.03	19.3	2.26%	0	1.8	70	0.9
8	Jan_9_2019	462.55	443.58	451.47	475.09	477.83	496	498.48(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	488	280	511	418	0.79	63%	-0.05	8.4	2.29%	0	1.7	61	0.8
9	Jan_8_2019	462.77	441.93	440.24	464.07	463.89	481.89	497.37(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	634	270	702	428	0.88	63%	-0.04	-0.9	2.29%	0	1.8	61	0.5
10	Jan_7_2019	462.96	439.98	429.67	450.95	449.33	459.65	485.15(6.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	411	150	463	253	1.04	62%	-0.06	-15.9	2.27%	0	1.6	54	0.3

11	Jan_4_2019	463.22	438.81	420.8	438.76	439.11	445.89	455(3.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	236	110	282	97	0.9	60%	-0.11	-32	2.11%	0	0.6	42	-0.1
12	Jan_3_2019	463.72	439.24	417.51	430.67	432.03	439.01	439.45(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	234	120	297	45	0.67	58%	-0.19	-40	2.09%	0	0	38	-1
13	Jan_2_2019	464.62	440.85	417.4	423.92	423.55	432.34	443.36(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	264	140	345	22	0.71	56%	-0.15	-44	2.09%	0	0.1	39	-0.8
14	Dec_31_2018	465.34	442.18	416.83	412.42	413.55	425.05	431.79(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	307	200	413	-12	0.5	54%	-0.12	-52.9	2.08%	0	-0.3	33	-1.1
15	Dec_28_2018	465.89	444.58	418.86	404.94	403.27	414.76	424.19(2.33%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	287	190	399	-51	0.71	52%	-0.14	-57	2.08%	0	-0.7	34	-1.7

16	Dec_27_2018	466.55	447.8	423.14	400.26	397.6	402.04	414.55(2.18%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	145	60	237	-133	0.57	50%	-0.16	-56.3	2.07%	0	-1.1	29	-1.9
17	Dec_26_2018	467.3	450.82	428.47	402.76	397.96	391.77	405.72(5.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-223	-140	-197	-301	0.63	49%	-0.18	-53.1	2.05%	0	-1.4	26	-1.7
18	Dec_24_2018	468.12	454.03	435.02	410.38	407.83	393.17	385.84(-2.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-512	-270	-539	-430	0.43	44%	-0.17	-52	1.92%	0	-2.3	11	-2.5
19	Dec_21_2018	468.91	458.64	444.19	421.91	422.18	404.15	394.42(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-655	-300	-719	-463	0.95	44%	-0.14	-50.2	1.9%	0	-2.6	14	-2.4
20	Dec_20_2018	469.58	462.8	451.9	434.59	435.22	422.49	400.77(-6.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-632	-200	-703	-419	1.36	44%	-0.09	-47.1	1.92%	0	-3	13	-2

21	Dec_19_2018	470.01	466.22	459.28	448.98	448.57	440.2	427.05(-3.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-361	-130	-393	-263	0.94	49%	-0.01	-48.1	1.79%	0	-2.7	15	-1.4
22	Dec_18_2018	470.08	468.39	463.73	457.83	457.82	447.95	443.8(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-347	-150	-385	-233	0.66	53%	-0.05	-50.9	1.73%	0	-2.2	36	-1.7
23	Dec_17_2018	470.3	469.96	467.03	463.54	464.21	456.95	443.5(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-377	-110	-428	-223	0.82	53%	-0.06	-52.8	1.73%	0	-2.9	42	-1.9
24	Dec_14_2018	470.59	471.55	470.23	469.87	470.08	467.68	457.83(-3.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-136	-30	-152	-87	0.7	56%	0.02	-50	1.69%	0	-2	44	-1.4
25	Dec_13_2018	470.48	472.66	472.73	471.79	472.04	471.47	472.73(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-10	-20	-19	0.34	60%		-47.7	1.65%	0	0	52	-0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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