Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 30, 2017

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $304.3900 (0.79%) ($301.1400 - $308.1750) on Thu. Nov. 30, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.73% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $304.3900(0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(55%)    VUG(55%)    IVW(54%)    XLY(54%)    QQQ(53%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -1.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-13%)    TBT(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)    SHY(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.365% (StdDev 2.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $289.21(5.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $286.66(6.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $282.31(7.82%)
To recent high   -7.6%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $8.52b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 2.94% (three month std-dev: 2.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.81%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.49%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.16%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.66%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.57%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.94%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171230

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_30_2017	313.19	282.31	286.66	289.21	289.72	301.43	304.39(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	263	290	298	158	1.49	46%	-0.3	49	2.73%	0	2.7	70	INF
2	Nov_29_2017	314.13	280.53	284.56	284.59	283.83	289.35	301.99(5.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	236	130	270	135	3.29	46%	-0.3	36.2	2.73%	0	3.1	70	INF
3	Nov_28_2017	315.08	278.94	282.27	280.09	279.26	278.01	285.86(4.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	-4	-40	-9	10	1.33	41%	-0.39	-22.1	2.64%	0	1.4	61	INF
4	Nov_27_2017	316.31	278.1	281.44	279.57	279.66	278.32	274.52(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-65	-30	-80	-19	0.97	37%	-0.44	-67.9	2.59%	0	-0.7	51	INF
5	Nov_24_2017	317.71	278.21	282.04	282.64	282.17	280.52	279.31(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-19	-50	-31	19	0.34	40%	-0.72	-94.1	2.6%	0	0.2	59	INF

6	Nov_22_2017	320	278.29	281.71	283.51	283.85	281.01	281.27(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-51	-70	-70	5	0.6	38%	-0.12	-129	2.61%	0	0.6	52	INF
7	Nov_21_2017	320.39	278.06	281.05	284.35	285.06	283.82	279.51(-1.32%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-40	-20	-59	17	0.77	38%	-0.44	-73.7	2.61%	0	0.1	61	INF
8	Nov_20_2017	321.79	280.05	280.63	284.63	285.36	286.7	283.25(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	40	28	56	0.76	38%	-0.41	-59.9	2.61%	0	0.2	62	INF
9	Nov_17_2017	323.13	281.68	279.89	283.48	283.81	286.31	289.84(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	88	70	90	82	1.28	37%	-0.4	-52.7	2.6%	0	0.5	72	INF
10	Nov_16_2017	324.43	283.16	278.2	281.4	280.31	284.01	283.7(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	78	80	81	68	0.8	37%	-0.41	-50.5	2.59%	0	0	57	INF

11	Nov_15_2017	325.78	285.02	277.69	279.66	278.24	281.31	285.45(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	111	60	123	76	1.06	37%	-0.4	-47.9	2.59%	0	0	52	INF
12	Nov_14_2017	327.08	286.49	276.14	277.35	276.05	276.6	280.9(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-0	48	30	0.98	37%	-0.41	-45.7	2.58%	0	-0.3	53	INF
13	Nov_13_2017	328.42	288.73	275.22	276.07	274.58	275.18	277.5(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-0	-11	-39	1.82	37%	-0.42	-42.6	2.58%	0	-0.5	26	INF
14	Nov_10_2017	329.81	290.78	274.38	275.72	275.05	275.5	279.45(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	17	0	42	-57	1.06	35%	-0.43	-38.8	2.58%	0	-0.5	29	INF
15	Nov_9_2017	331.24	293.02	273.96	274.54	274.25	273.98	275(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-45	-10	-19	-122	0.82	35%	-0.43	-37	2.6%	0	-0.8	25	INF

16	Nov_8_2017	332.68	294.99	274.53	275.43	274.62	274.6	273.9(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-34	-10	2	-142	0.6	34%	-0.46	-36	2.6%	0	-0.9	24	INF
17	Nov_7_2017	334.22	296.92	274.82	274.69	274.75	274.52	274.5(-0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-37	-10	8	-172	0.77	34%	-0.55	-37	2.61%	0	-1	30	INF
18	Nov_6_2017	336.08	298.81	279.32	274.17	273.96	274.65	275.77(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	20	11	-177	0.84	34%	-0.52	-37.6	2.61%	0	-1	27	INF
19	Nov_3_2017	337.85	300.34	283.43	272.76	272.81	274.99	273.53(-2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-12	60	41	-172	1.19	34%	-0.54	-40.4	2.61%	0	-1.2	32	INF
20	Nov_2_2017	339.69	302.17	288.29	273.28	271.93	273.28	279.46(3.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	20	38	-173	1.95	34%	-0.53	-41.8	2.61%	0	-1.1	32	INF

21	Nov_1_2017	341.51	303.81	292.63	273.69	272.91	270.63	270.2(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-70	-19	-191	1.04	31%	-0.57	-44.4	2.57%	0	-1.6	35	INF
22	Oct_31_2017	343.47	305.83	297.49	275.05	274.3	270.59	271.9(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-169	-100	-147	-233	1.31	30%	-0.56	-48	2.58%	0	-1.8	37	INF
23	Oct_30_2017	345.39	307.61	303.25	285.53	276.8	275.19	268.7(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-227	-130	-230	-216	1.77	30%	-0.56	-40.8	2.58%	0	-2.2	35	INF
24	Oct_27_2017	347.33	309.52	308.7	295.88	289.58	278	276.12(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-158	-340	-164	-140	1.64	34%	-0.53	-34.8	2.56%	0	-2.2	42	INF
25	Oct_26_2017	349.18	311.31	313.97	305.61	300.76	278.42	281.52(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-514	-570	-597	-263	3.33	33%		-22.4	2.58%	0	-2.3	43	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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