Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 2, 2017

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $279.4600 (3.43%) ($268.5800 - $280.8288) on Thu. Nov. 2, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.61% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $279.4600(3.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG declines -8.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(54%)    VUG(54%)    IVW(53%)    XLY(53%)    QQQ(52%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -1.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-13%)    TBT(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)    SHY(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.305% (StdDev 2.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.5%

Resistance Level   $302.17
5 Day Moving Average   $273.28(2.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $288.29(-3.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $302.17(-7.52%)
To recent high   -20.4%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $7.823b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 7.03% (three month std-dev: 2.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 3.06%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.66%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 3.98%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -4.9%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 4.99%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.53%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2017	339.69	302.17	288.29	273.28	271.93	273.28	279.46(3.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	20	38	-173	1.95	34%	-0.53	-41.8	2.61%	0	-1.1	32	INF
2	Nov_1_2017	341.51	303.81	292.63	273.69	272.91	270.63	270.2(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-70	-19	-191	1.04	31%	-0.57	-44.4	2.57%	0	-1.6	35	INF
3	Oct_31_2017	343.47	305.83	297.49	275.05	274.3	270.59	271.9(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-169	-100	-147	-233	1.31	30%	-0.56	-48	2.58%	0	-1.8	37	INF
4	Oct_30_2017	345.39	307.61	303.25	285.53	276.8	275.19	268.7(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-227	-130	-230	-216	1.77	30%	-0.56	-40.8	2.58%	0	-2.2	35	INF
5	Oct_27_2017	347.33	309.52	308.7	295.88	289.58	278	276.12(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-158	-340	-164	-140	1.64	34%	-0.53	-34.8	2.56%	0	-2.2	42	INF

6	Oct_26_2017	349.18	311.31	313.97	305.61	300.76	278.42	281.52(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-514	-570	-597	-263	3.33	33%	-0.52	-22.4	2.58%	0	-2.3	43	INF
7	Oct_25_2017	351.01	313.21	317.64	314.36	312.35	301.16	277.01(-14.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.3	-477	-270	-565	-212	9.99	35%	-0.55	-3.8	2.58%	0	-3.2	39	INF
8	Oct_24_2017	352.96	315.26	321.65	322.6	322.65	323.09	324.3(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	10	-5	69	2.98	43%	-0.42	24.1	1.89%	0	1.1	63	INF
9	Oct_23_2017	354.46	314.92	320.38	323.6	322.02	323.54	320.45(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	46	20	29	98	0.84	43%	-0.45	37.3	1.9%	0	0.7	64	INF
10	Oct_20_2017	356.05	314.88	318.88	323.59	322.44	322.2	324.76(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	-20	39	105	0.97	39%	-0.45	49.4	1.92%	0	1.3	68	INF

11	Oct_19_2017	357.65	314.3	317.2	323.93	322.72	320.49	325.27(2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-15	-60	-44	72	0.92	39%	-0.43	54	2%	0	1.5	61	INF
12	Oct_18_2017	359.19	313.63	315.67	321.71	322.47	322.67	318.24(-3.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	10	-20	67	1.52	34%	-0.44	50.4	1.98%	0	0.7	51	INF
13	Oct_17_2017	360.78	313.32	314.58	320.36	320.3	324.94	329.3(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	133	100	138	118	1.06	36%	-0.09	44.4	2%	0	2.2	59	INF
14	Oct_16_2017	361.1	311.98	311.87	316.68	316.32	322.27	320.39(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	212	130	241	126	1.76	33%	-0.45	30.5	1.97%	0	1.3	49	INF
15	Oct_13_2017	362.73	311.06	310	313.38	312.2	315.66	326.45(3.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	167	70	198	74	2.12	33%	-0.43	15.1	1.96%	0	2.4	51	INF

16	Oct_12_2017	364.31	310.29	307.96	309.62	308.86	310.38	314.17(0.86%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	46	30	63	-7	0.78	29%	-0.46	9.2	1.89%	0	0.7	49	INF
17	Oct_11_2017	365.99	310.09	308.03	308.86	307.78	308.74	311.49(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	25	10	39	-19	1	28%	-0.45	0	1.89%	0	0.3	48	INF
18	Oct_10_2017	367.66	310.08	308.17	307.92	307.83	307.35	310.88(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	14	-10	28	-28	1.15	27%	-0.48	-9.9	1.91%	0	0.2	49	INF
19	Oct_9_2017	369.42	309.98	308.86	306.34	307.28	306.83	303.92(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-0	-21	-43	0.68	25%	-0.5	-17.7	1.89%	0	-1.1	53	INF
20	Oct_6_2017	371.26	310.1	310.5	305.92	306.22	308.31	307.64(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	19	50	28	-9	1.05	25%	-0.49	-30.6	1.89%	0	-0.4	58	INF

21	Oct_5_2017	373.07	309.79	311.17	305.96	305.37	307.74	310.35(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	64	50	81	13	0.87	25%	-0.46	-42.3	1.89%	0	0.1	48	INF
22	Oct_4_2017	374.8	310.09	311.45	307.19	306.01	304.14	306.81(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-50	-11	-15	0.94	25%	-0.51	-34	1.88%	0	-0.5	48	INF
23	Oct_3_2017	376.73	310.62	312.06	308.6	308.25	303.01	302.99(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-171	-120	-201	-82	0.83	25%	-0.52	-23.1	1.88%	0	-1.3	44	INF
24	Oct_2_2017	378.69	310.95	312.3	311.85	311.99	307.89	301.81(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-194	-90	-231	-81	1.69	25%	-0.5	-10.9	1.88%	0	-1.5	46	INF
25	Sep_29_2017	380.61	311.86	312.54	315.65	316.31	313.5	307.83(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-76	-60	-98	-8	1.2	25%		14.8	1.87%	0	-0.7	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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