Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $314.3100 (0.35%) ($312.0905 - $317.3400) on Fri. Sep. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.82% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $314.3100(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(54%)    IVW(53%)    VUG(53%)    XLY(53%)    QQQ(52%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -0.91% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-13%)    TBT(-3%)    IGOV(-0%)    SHY(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.91% (StdDev 1.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $309.04(1.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $309.54(1.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $310.97(1.07%)
To recent high   -25.3%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $8.798b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 1.69% (three month std-dev: 1.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.12%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.67%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.04%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.67%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.17%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2017	389	310.97	309.54	309.04	309	313.44	314.31(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	96	100	118	30	0.93	24%	-0.41	16.6	1.82%	0	0.6	46	INF
2	Sep_21_2017	390.61	310.38	308.14	308.8	307.37	310.16	313.22(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	127	50	160	29	0.85	23%	-0.43	1.7	1.83%	0	0.5	48	INF
3	Sep_20_2017	392.31	309.63	308.39	308.27	307.09	304.55	312.39(2.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-19	-70	-11	-41	1.68	21%	-0.45	-16.9	1.83%	0	0.4	48	INF
4	Sep_19_2017	394.09	309.29	308.8	308.11	307.76	304.58	303.41(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-150	-80	-168	-96	1.73	19%	-0.45	-30.2	1.97%	0	-0.9	47	INF
5	Sep_18_2017	395.87	309.59	309.37	309.2	310.16	309.63	301.87(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-35	-0	-33	-40	1.5	19%	-0.44	-36.5	1.98%	0	-1.3	45	INF

6	Sep_15_2017	397.63	310.09	311.16	309.85	310.01	310.95	313.09(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	20	44	3	1.38	20%	-0.43	-46.6	1.95%	0	0.5	54	INF
7	Sep_14_2017	399.36	310.27	311.45	307.24	308.18	310.68	310.59(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	70	60	8	0.7	20%	-0.44	-60.7	1.94%	0	0.1	58	INF
8	Sep_13_2017	401.11	310.7	311.88	308.57	306.68	309.07	311.6(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	40	59	31	1.29	20%	-0.41	-62	1.94%	0	0.1	62	INF
9	Sep_12_2017	402.75	311.19	311.78	309.83	308.24	305.67	308.83(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-70	10	23	0.84	20%	-0.4	-59.8	1.94%	0	-0.3	53	INF
10	Sep_11_2017	404.38	311.82	312.14	309.72	309.94	304.28	305.14(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-177	-130	-214	-64	1.34	20%	-0.44	-68.1	1.93%	0	-0.9	49	INF

11	Sep_8_2017	406.16	312.85	312.62	312.69	312.18	310.8	300.03(-5.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-154	-40	-192	-39	2.09	20%	-0.45	-64.7	1.91%	0	-1.6	44	INF
12	Sep_7_2017	407.98	314.01	313.07	316.02	315.74	315.59	317.25(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	65	-10	63	70	0.97	22%	-0.4	-69.3	1.81%	0	0.4	48	INF
13	Sep_6_2017	409.61	314.75	311.15	315.6	315.43	313.56	317.88(3.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-40	-40	-53	-0	1.25	22%	-0.37	-69.9	1.82%	0	0.4	47	INF
14	Sep_5_2017	411.14	315.42	309.89	314.1	315.08	315.89	308.32(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	30	-34	-18	2.07	17%	-0.4	-74.3	1.76%	0	-0.7	38	INF
15	Sep_1_2017	412.79	316.9	309.94	314.84	314.59	317.29	319.95(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	110	60	134	39	1.01	20%	-0.35	-60.2	1.7%	0	0.3	45	INF

16	Aug_31_2017	414.26	317.97	308.92	312.6	312.52	314.27	316.71(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	95	40	125	6	0.9	20%	-0.35	-61.5	1.71%	0	-0.1	39	INF
17	Aug_30_2017	415.7	319.27	308.86	309.65	310.03	311.88	315.13(1.53%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	60	50	90	-32	1.12	20%	-0.34	-62.2	1.71%	0	-0.3	42	INF
18	Aug_29_2017	417.11	320.94	309.17	306.04	307.52	310.77	310.37(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	82	90	128	-55	1.2	20%	-0.35	-62.5	1.69%	0	-0.7	30	INF
19	Aug_28_2017	418.58	322.71	310.27	305.07	304.81	308.19	312.02(1.05%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	85	80	136	-69	1.76	20%	-0.33	-64	1.7%	0	-0.7	31	INF
20	Aug_25_2017	419.96	324.26	311.17	304.38	303.78	304.27	308.79(2.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	22	10	69	-120	1.65	20%	-0.34	-62.2	1.69%	0	-0.9	25	INF

21	Aug_24_2017	421.4	326.31	312.82	304.87	304.54	301.42	301.92(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-147	-70	-124	-217	2.03	17%	-0.36	-60.1	1.65%	0	-1.4	16	INF
22	Aug_23_2017	422.94	328.74	314.94	308.07	307.53	303.3	297.09(-2.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-248	-100	-241	-270	1.76	16%	-0.37	-60.4	1.64%	0	-2	9	INF
23	Aug_22_2017	424.49	331.04	318.73	312.68	312.5	307.65	305.51(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-224	-110	-215	-252	1.07	17%	-0.35	-68	1.62%	0	-1.8	9	INF
24	Aug_21_2017	426	333.26	321.56	316.13	316.54	311.77	308.59(-0.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-256	-100	-254	-262	1.31	17%	-0.33	-76.7	1.62%	0	-1.9	17	INF
25	Aug_18_2017	427.39	334.95	324.64	318.89	320.35	317.35	311.24(-2.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-197	-50	-187	-225	1.22	17%		-96.7	1.62%	0	-2	23	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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