Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 28, 2017

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $312.0200 (1.05%) ($305.3300 - $314.2700) on Mon. Aug. 28, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $312.0200(1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG declines -3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(54%)    IVW(53%)    VUG(53%)    QQQ(52%)    XLY(52%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-12%)    TBT(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)    SHY(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

Resistance Level   $322.71
5 Day Moving Average   $305.07(2.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $310.27(0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $322.71(-3.31%)
To recent high   -35.5%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $8.734b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 4.95% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.32%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.87%(33%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.63%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -2.58%(42%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.97%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.36%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170928

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_28_2017	418.58	322.71	310.27	305.07	304.81	308.19	312.02(1.05%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	85	80	136	-69	1.76	20%	-0.33	-64	1.7%	0	-0.7	31	INF
2	Aug_25_2017	419.96	324.26	311.17	304.38	303.78	304.27	308.79(2.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	22	10	69	-120	1.65	20%	-0.34	-62.2	1.69%	0	-0.9	25	INF
3	Aug_24_2017	421.4	326.31	312.82	304.87	304.54	301.42	301.92(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-147	-70	-124	-217	2.03	17%	-0.36	-60.1	1.65%	0	-1.4	16	INF
4	Aug_23_2017	422.94	328.74	314.94	308.07	307.53	303.3	297.09(-2.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-248	-100	-241	-270	1.76	16%	-0.37	-60.4	1.64%	0	-2	9	INF
5	Aug_22_2017	424.49	331.04	318.73	312.68	312.5	307.65	305.51(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-224	-110	-215	-252	1.07	17%	-0.35	-68	1.62%	0	-1.8	9	INF

6	Aug_21_2017	426	333.26	321.56	316.13	316.54	311.77	308.59(-0.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-256	-100	-254	-262	1.31	17%	-0.33	-76.7	1.62%	0	-1.9	17	INF
7	Aug_18_2017	427.39	334.95	324.64	318.89	320.35	317.35	311.24(-2.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-197	-50	-187	-225	1.22	17%	-0.32	-96.7	1.62%	0	-2	23	INF
8	Aug_17_2017	428.75	336.75	327.95	321.93	323.22	321.32	317.92(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-106	-30	-84	-173	1.1	17%	-0.27	-114.6	1.63%	0	-1.6	22	INF
9	Aug_16_2017	429.93	338.67	330.65	322.87	324.21	323.35	320.13(-0.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-108	-10	-87	-172	1.02	17%	-0.25	-116.7	1.66%	0	-1.5	24	INF
10	Aug_15_2017	431.02	341.24	333.68	325.77	325.47	325.12	322.78(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-66	-10	-44	-130	2.24	19%	-0.22	-110.9	1.66%	0	-1.3	38	INF

11	Aug_14_2017	431.96	343.78	336.14	327.94	327.57	325.07	322.4(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-93	-60	-79	-134	0.82	19%	-0.21	-95.8	1.68%	0	-1.3	33	INF
12	Aug_11_2017	432.89	347.14	338.38	331.35	330.04	325.82	326.41(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-206	-100	-218	-168	0.97	19%	-0.21	-84.7	1.68%	0	-1.1	43	INF
13	Aug_10_2017	433.8	350.49	340.82	334.98	334.43	330.07	322.65(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-195	-100	-213	-142	1.24	21%	-0.22	-76.4	1.67%	0	-1.4	37	INF
14	Aug_9_2017	434.75	354.27	343.68	339.52	338.44	334.25	334.61(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-201	-100	-225	-128	0.67	25%	-0.17	-71.8	1.65%	0	-0.9	37	INF
15	Aug_8_2017	435.5	357.29	344.43	342.81	342.61	338.79	333.64(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-170	-80	-186	-123	1.08	25%	-0.15	-68.8	1.67%	0	-1.1	29	INF

16	Aug_7_2017	436.14	360.36	346.02	345.53	346.03	342.62	339.45(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-127	-60	-132	-111	0.96	26%	-0.15	-66.4	1.66%	0	-0.9	30	INF
17	Aug_4_2017	436.78	363.65	346.21	346.4	346.79	346.43	344.56(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-122	-0	-113	-147	0.83	25%	-0.13	-63.3	1.66%	0	-0.8	26	INF
18	Aug_3_2017	437.36	366.98	346.32	347.59	347.82	349.43	345.36(-1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	11	30	54	-120	0.92	24%	-0.13	-60.8	1.67%	0	-0.8	25	INF
19	Aug_2_2017	437.92	370.25	347.3	348.48	348.42	347.16	351.06(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	-30	57	-154	1	27%	-0.12	-59.2	1.67%	0	-0.7	25	INF
20	Aug_1_2017	438.45	373.26	349.18	346.39	347.23	346.21	347.24(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-151	-10	-116	-256	0.9	27%	-0.14	-61.6	1.68%	0	-0.9	25	INF

21	Jul_31_2017	439.05	376.7	351.73	346.67	347.9	349.69	343.77(-1.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	50	58	-205	1.23	27%	-0.15	-60	1.68%	0	-1.2	23	INF
22	Jul_28_2017	439.7	380.32	356.26	345.91	347.19	348.24	350.5(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	33	30	111	-202	1.74	27%	-0.14	-61.3	1.68%	0	-1.1	22	INF
23	Jul_27_2017	440.32	383.74	360.49	344.88	344.69	346.12	349.84(2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-95	30	-33	-280	1.7	27%	-0.13	-62.8	1.68%	0	-1.2	20	INF
24	Jul_26_2017	440.89	387.14	365.27	346.12	346.27	346.13	340.6(-2.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-82	-0	-13	-287	3.62	27%	-0.15	-63.4	1.63%	0	-1.7	14	INF
25	Jul_25_2017	441.55	390.95	370.92	352.56	350.52	343.27	348.62(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-263	-160	-233	-353	3.53	28%		-64.1	1.66%	0	-1.6	15	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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