Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 28, 2017

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $426.2300 (2.72%) ($415.1100 - $428.3100) on Tue. Mar. 28, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $426.2300(2.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(53%)    IVW(52%)    VUG(52%)    XLY(52%)    QQQ(51%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-11%)    IPO(-3%)    TBT(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $417.28(2.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $409.97(3.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $409.86(3.99%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $11.931b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.8%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.85%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.05%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.96%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.56%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170428

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_28_2017	403.39	409.86	409.97	417.28	416.15	416.89	426.23(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	166	0	177	131	0.94	68%	0.11	-9.5	1.45%	0	2.2	66	INF
2	Mar_27_2017	402.93	409.35	407.52	413.54	413.64	413.63	414.96(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	0	-10	35	0.58	65%	0.11	-34.3	1.42%	0	0.8	60	INF
3	Mar_24_2017	402.47	409.58	406.53	409.82	411.77	415.4	414.02(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	133	80	153	74	0.46	65%	0.1	-51.1	1.42%	0	0.6	51	INF
4	Mar_23_2017	402.06	409.85	405.79	407.53	407.82	413.64	414.88(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	233	100	276	102	0.59	65%	0.12	-59.1	1.43%	0	0.7	47	INF
5	Mar_22_2017	401.59	410.13	405.19	404.75	404.26	408.15	416.31(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	231	60	280	82	0.98	65%	0.15	-63.9	1.43%	0	0.7	47	INF

6	Mar_21_2017	401	410.57	404.06	401.68	401.69	402	407.52(2.81%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	50	10	76	-30	1.16	62%	0.12	-62.3	1.41%	0	-0.3	36	INF
7	Mar_20_2017	400.51	411.72	403.75	400.79	400.97	400.37	396.37(-1.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-75	-10	-64	-107	0.77	57%	0.07	-56.4	1.37%	0	-1.6	21	INF
8	Mar_17_2017	400.24	413.3	405.3	402.69	401.88	401.38	402.58(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-54	-10	-39	-99	0.56	61%	0.09	-45.9	1.35%	0	-1.1	22	INF
9	Mar_16_2017	399.89	414.41	406.58	403.73	403.15	401.57	400.95(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-90	-30	-82	-115	0.58	65%	0.09	-39.4	1.36%	0	-1.4	20	INF
10	Mar_15_2017	399.54	415.57	408.09	405.63	405.18	402.39	400.96(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-126	-50	-126	-127	0.83	65%	-0.01	-25.5	1.39%	0	-1.6	19	INF

11	Mar_14_2017	399.59	416.57	409.89	406.74	406.92	404.73	403.1(-0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-129	-40	-129	-130	0.73	65%	-0.03	-13.1	1.41%	0	-1.6	17	INF
12	Mar_13_2017	399.7	417.22	411.46	407.1	407.53	407.96	405.87(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-64	10	-49	-110	0.64	65%	-0.02	-2.2	1.41%	0	-1.5	16	INF
13	Mar_10_2017	399.76	417.68	413.01	408.26	407.72	409.12	407.75(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	17	20	46	-69	0.62	70%	0.01	8	1.46%	0	-1.4	27	INF
14	Mar_9_2017	399.73	418.13	414.32	409.93	408.58	407.11	410.48(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-40	-8	-86	0.54	70%	0.01	10.3	1.47%	0	-1.1	34	INF
15	Mar_8_2017	399.68	417.88	415.48	411.09	410.12	406.31	406.5(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-191	-70	-201	-160	0.51	70%	0.03	3.3	1.47%	0	-1.5	31	INF

16	Mar_7_2017	399.55	417.66	417.59	413.62	413.3	410.06	404.9(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-191	-60	-207	-143	0.93	70%	0.03	-0.5	1.47%	0	-1.5	36	INF
17	Mar_6_2017	399.44	417.38	420.35	416.39	416.53	413.94	411.68(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-123	-40	-136	-85	0.7	57%	0.02	-2.7	1.45%	0	-0.6	51	INF
18	Mar_3_2017	399.36	417.1	421.98	418.39	418.48	416.53	416.09(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-91	-30	-105	-49	0.54	57%	0.02	-3.1	1.74%	0	-0.1	57	INF
19	Mar_2_2017	399.29	417.43	422.9	419.35	420.09	419.13	416.29(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10	-43	-13	0.47	57%	-0.01	2.2	1.76%	0	-0.1	54	INF
20	Mar_1_2017	399.32	417.62	423.69	420.57	420.24	420.43	419.15(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-30	0	-42	8	0.72	57%	-0.01	6	1.76%	0	0.2	70	INF

21	Feb_28_2017	399.36	417.7	423.83	422.26	421.37	421.06	418.74(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-10	-21	41	0.5	53%	-0.05	12.4	1.74%	0	0.1	73	INF
22	Feb_27_2017	399.56	417.65	423.53	424.98	423.84	420.04	421.67(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-57	-70	-90	41	0.55	53%	-0.02	25.4	1.77%	0	0.4	78	INF
23	Feb_24_2017	399.64	417.37	422.82	426.17	426.2	421.69	420.9(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-149	-70	-202	10	0.94	53%	-0.01	34.6	1.77%	0	0.4	65	INF
24	Feb_23_2017	399.68	417.23	422.35	426.94	428.1	427.63	422.38(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-48	0	-83	57	0.57	53%	-0.02	42	1.79%	0	0.5	49	INF
25	Feb_22_2017	399.74	417.05	420.59	427.14	427.84	430.72	427.61(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	104	50	99	120	0.67	53%		48	1.79%	0	1.1	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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